Realized P&L
+$1.96K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.27K
Hit rate
81.5%
Resolved
121
Trades
2,891
lifetime
Volume
$312.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$12.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-30 01:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
51% 78% +$1,866
Crypto
47% 66% -$19
Politics
2% 50% +$127
Sports
0% 25% -$16
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +3,587 $3,170 87¢ $3.1K -$50 10-22 13:27
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +3,000 $2,154 86¢ $2.6K +$424 10-30 00:08
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +3,001 $1,888 78¢ $2.3K +$456 10-28 12:50
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -1,282 -$1,288 92¢ $-1173 +$115 07-27 02:40
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +1,099 $732 72¢ $786 +$54 10-29 23:12
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No +814 $562 94¢ $762 +$199 10-18 16:25
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +1,264 $685 55¢ $695 +$10 10-29 17:50
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -500 -$400 89¢ $-445 -$45 05-02 07:16
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +500 $365 74¢ $368 +$2 10-15 00:15
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -304 -$277 92¢ $-281 -$5 07-02 06:55
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No +163 $61 96¢ $155 +$94 10-16 21:34
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +370 $4 2¢ $6 +$2 10-30 00:38
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 09-01 18:22
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$15 99¢ $0 +$15 06-07 10:44