Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
36
Trades
1,033
lifetime
Volume
$5.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$37
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 06-23 09:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 100% +$6
Other
31% 100% +$9
Politics
21% 100% +$7
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +15 $14 92¢ $13 $-0 06-22 21:38
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +11 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-04 00:16
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +9 $9 97¢ $9 +$0 06-23 07:53
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 48¢ $3 $-2 06-04 01:18
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +3 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-12 22:54