Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
36
Trades
1,033
lifetime
Volume
$5.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$54
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 06-23 09:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 100% +$6
Other
31% 100% +$9
Politics
21% 100% +$7
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +15 $14 94¢ $14 $-0 06-22 21:38
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-09 04:23
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +11 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-04 00:16
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +9 $9 94¢ $9 $-0 06-23 07:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-16 22:42
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 74¢ $4 $-1 06-04 01:18
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +3 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-12 22:54