Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8?
open
Total volume
$956
$8,230 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$12,696
Latest YES mid
97¢
Latest NO mid
3¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 00:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+13.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $146
vs crowd: 87% YES on $950)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $125 | $102 | +$23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $698 | $25 | +$673 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $146 | — | +$146 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $455 | $1 | +$454 |
| Median | 4 | $175 | — | +$175 |
| Below median | 4 | $25 | $1 | +$24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 16 | $17 | $125 | $108 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +2,258 | $102 | $102 | 4 | 05-07 16:06 |
| Imperturbable-Plot 0x56b2…c148 | Yes | +255 | $250 | $250 | 2 | 05-06 17:57 |
| Runny-Running 0x65ed…151d | Yes | +153 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 05-06 17:57 |
| Questionable-Collar 0xb037…341c | Yes | +102 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 05-06 17:57 |
| Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Yes | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 05-07 18:06 |
| Meek-Touch 0xccd9…3f28 | No | +64 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 00:14 |
| Weary-Drinking 0xa6b9…48fe | No | +63 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 20:00 |
| Embarrassed-Socialist 0x9a86…84ec | Yes | +58 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-07 16:06 |
| Critical-Mocha 0x8f74…c9c5 | No | +56 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 00:20 |
| Mature-Litter 0x63af…2de6 | No | +55 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 00:37 |
| Key-Coal 0x58e3…772f | No | +54 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 20:21 |
| Bitter-Ferry 0xc138…7877 | No | +54 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 20:26 |
| Slight-Ore 0x6fb8…5839 | No | +54 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 19:25 |
| Reliable-Pinworm 0xae45…1e75 | Yes | +51 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-06 17:57 |
| Juvenile-Caffeine 0x8bc4…d884 | No | +48 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 19:41 |
| Enchanted-Cleft 0xc351…0525 | No | +45 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 20:46 |
| Kindly-Sentencing 0x437b…1840 | Yes | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-07 21:07 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-07 10:54 |
| Polite-Hash 0x75d9…e3b8 | No | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 22:04 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | +22 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-07 21:21 |
| Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 18:31 |
| Multicolored-Albatross 0x7b77…41f0 | Yes | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-07 23:36 |
| Happy-Village 0x1864…8ca9 | No | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 16:01 |
| Classic-Helium 0x3f2a…37d7 | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 15:27 |
| Incredible-Phosphate-Doe 0x5a4d…0b8f | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 14:46 |
| Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 03:09 |
| Powerful-Fit 0x268e…dfae | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 21:15 |
| Famous-Allowance 0xec8f…8df8 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4847…cd99 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fc8…b73c | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:36 |
| Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 08:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 00:37:12 | Mature-Litter 0x63af…2de6 | No | BUY | 55 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x6c8883… |
| 05-08 00:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x6fc8…b73c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x99a12a… |
| 05-08 00:35:59 | Famous-Allowance 0xec8f…8df8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x56b6a2… |
| 05-08 00:34:09 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4f6f5e… |
| 05-08 00:20:14 | Critical-Mocha 0x8f74…c9c5 | No | BUY | 56 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe5352c… |
| 05-08 00:14:08 | Meek-Touch 0xccd9…3f28 | No | BUY | 64 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xbae1a5… |
| 05-07 23:36:41 | Multicolored-Albatross 0x7b77…41f0 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x0b1c18… |
| 05-07 22:04:33 | Polite-Hash 0x75d9…e3b8 | No | BUY | 24 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd63a4d… |
| 05-07 21:21:00 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $16 | 0x73da08… |
| 05-07 21:15:08 | Powerful-Fit 0x268e…dfae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1bbd81… |
| 05-07 21:07:23 | Kindly-Sentencing 0x437b…1840 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0xfd87d1… |
| 05-07 21:02:15 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x230ddb… |
| 05-07 20:46:44 | Enchanted-Cleft 0xc351…0525 | No | BUY | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x53b732… |
| 05-07 20:26:49 | Bitter-Ferry 0xc138…7877 | No | BUY | 54 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x78b47c… |
| 05-07 20:21:11 | Key-Coal 0x58e3…772f | No | BUY | 54 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcfdac5… |
| 05-07 20:00:49 | Weary-Drinking 0xa6b9…48fe | No | BUY | 63 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xc5d81e… |
| 05-07 19:41:33 | Juvenile-Caffeine 0x8bc4…d884 | No | BUY | 48 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x288586… |
| 05-07 19:25:56 | Slight-Ore 0x6fb8…5839 | No | BUY | 54 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x13e317… |
| 05-07 18:31:15 | Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x753a65… |
| 05-07 18:06:17 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x1dfa81… |
| 05-07 16:06:42 | Embarrassed-Socialist 0x9a86…84ec | Yes | BUY | 58 | 95¢ | $55 | 0x2bc4dc… |
| 05-07 16:06:40 | (anonymous) 0x4847…cd99 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x94515b… |
| 05-07 16:06:39 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 88 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xd70411… |
| 05-07 16:01:31 | Happy-Village 0x1864…8ca9 | No | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1cb027… |
| 05-07 15:27:00 | Classic-Helium 0x3f2a…37d7 | No | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x659682… |
| 05-07 15:26:59 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 651 | 8¢ | $55 | 0xa84826… |
| 05-07 15:21:24 | Vivacious-Thickness 0xcb5f…4f34 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x314a7f… |
| 05-07 14:46:47 | Incredible-Phosphate-Doe 0x5a4d…0b8f | No | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x898561… |
| 05-07 10:54:13 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x272792… |
| 05-07 10:12:37 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 151 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x0498fb… |
| 05-07 09:15:32 | Jumbo-Dealer 0x7769…da8e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x34e3a3… |
| 05-06 17:57:35 | Runny-Running 0x65ed…151d | Yes | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0x4fa5b7… |
| 05-06 17:57:35 | Imperturbable-Plot 0x56b2…c148 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x13dc72… |
| 05-06 17:57:33 | Questionable-Collar 0xb037…341c | Yes | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x49671b… |
| 05-06 17:57:33 | Reliable-Pinworm 0xae45…1e75 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4af18b… |
| 05-06 17:51:13 | Runny-Running 0x65ed…151d | Yes | BUY | 92 | 98¢ | $90 | 0x8f67f0… |
| 05-06 17:51:11 | Imperturbable-Plot 0x56b2…c148 | Yes | BUY | 153 | 98¢ | $150 | 0x01acd9… |
| 05-06 17:51:11 | Reliable-Pinworm 0xae45…1e75 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x3f4fe0… |
| 05-06 17:51:10 | Questionable-Collar 0xb037…341c | Yes | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0xdc31ca… |
| 05-06 17:47:06 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 1,368 | 3¢ | $39 | 0xc7b4f2… |
| 05-06 17:39:51 | Jumbo-Dealer 0x7769…da8e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3d92a9… |
| 05-06 08:51:30 | Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdc15e1… |
| 05-06 03:09:52 | Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x95e657… |