Tame-Flight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$287

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$39.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$452

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 08-28 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 100% +$176

Politics

10% 100% +$45

Sports

7% 100% +$62

Other

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,007	+1,007	No	+$5	08-28 15:27
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$984	1,000	+1,000	No	+$16	07-11 01:08
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$950	973	+973	No	+$23	07-08 18:09
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$940	962	+962	No	+$22	07-05 01:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$921	935	+935	No	+$14	06-25 22:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$908	920	+920	No	+$12	06-06 14:04
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	1	$896	910	+910	No	+$14	06-05 00:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$886	887	+887	Yes	+$1	05-19 00:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$884	886	+886	Yes	+$2	05-20 00:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	1	$883	885	+885	No	+$2	05-16 15:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	3	$881	882	+882	Yes	+$1	05-13 22:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	1	$867	868	+868	Yes	+$1	05-03 20:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$865	870	+870	Yes	+$5	05-09 13:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$863	869	+869	No	+$6	05-06 01:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8?	1	$859	860	+860	Yes	+$1	05-08 14:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	1	$858	871	+871	No	+$13	05-22 01:40
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$856	861	+861	No	+$5	04-21 13:56
bitcoin above 70k on april 20	1	$850	856	+856	Yes	+$6	04-20 01:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	2	$848	850	+850	Yes	+$2	05-11 22:51
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	1	$838	842	+842	Yes	+$4	04-17 11:38
bitcoin above 72k on april 19	4	$837	845	+845	Yes	+$8	04-18 16:31
bitcoin above 68k on april 16	1	$836	838	+838	Yes	+$2	04-15 16:07
bitcoin above 66k on april 7	2	$813	820	+820	Yes	+$7	04-07 14:45
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	2	$807	820	+820	Yes	+$13	04-09 16:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	1	$799	800	+800	Yes	+$1	05-14 20:54
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	4	$795	810	+810	Yes	+$15	03-31 22:07
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	3	$792	799	+799	Yes	+$7	03-31 14:37
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$788	793	+793	No	+$5	03-15 11:18
bitcoin above 76k on march 14	1	$787	788	+788	No	+$1	03-14 04:11
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$787	787	+787	Yes	+$1	03-13 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 15:27:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,002	0xa2337d…
08-14 11:20:18	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	482	99¢	$479	0x02c347…
07-11 01:08:10	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	988	98¢	$972	0x9212b7…
07-08 18:09:41	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9e0174…
07-08 18:09:23	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	973	98¢	$950	0x58a55e…
07-05 01:26:46	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	962	98¢	$940	0x8c24a9…
06-25 22:10:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	935	98¢	$921	0x656cb1…
06-06 14:04:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	790	99¢	$779	0x7ca613…
06-06 14:03:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1478ea…
06-06 13:50:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	128	99¢	$126	0xd51de5…
06-06 13:21:18	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb4aac1…
06-05 00:20:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	910	98¢	$896	0x2cc524…
06-05 00:11:57	bitcoin above 70k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9d613d…
05-22 01:40:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	871	99¢	$858	0x83f35d…
05-20 00:37:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	886	100¢	$884	0x339898…
05-19 00:37:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	887	100¢	$886	0xd3ea3e…
05-17 23:23:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xfe3ae6…
05-17 23:23:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0x5ec3a8…
05-16 15:10:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	885	100¢	$883	0x293a90…
05-14 20:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	800	100¢	$799	0xb9b9ba…
05-14 20:53:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x413809…
05-14 20:53:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x926f5f…
05-13 22:31:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0xef6956…
05-13 22:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x6569e5…
05-13 22:22:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	484	100¢	$483	0xe0892b…
05-12 01:14:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe2f062…
05-11 22:51:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	842	100¢	$841	0x566c0a…
05-11 22:42:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb63085…
05-11 22:40:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x902114…
05-09 13:51:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	870	99¢	$865	0x35e1ff…
05-08 14:55:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	860	100¢	$859	0x4d3134…
05-07 13:56:55	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdabc0b…
05-06 01:18:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	869	99¢	$863	0x4b8139…
05-03 20:59:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	868	100¢	$867	0xf772ac…
05-03 00:44:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	580	100¢	$578	0x2048fb…
05-03 00:06:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x490d3b…
05-02 00:43:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0xc0fa5b…
05-02 00:41:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	504	100¢	$503	0x1c25fb…
04-26 13:35:50	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$247	0xa0dbc3…
04-26 13:35:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x9acb10…
04-26 13:35:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebc4a1…
04-26 13:35:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x539e82…
04-26 13:35:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x600bb5…
04-26 13:35:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ec8e7…
04-26 13:34:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x833146…
04-21 13:56:30	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	861	99¢	$856	0xbb409c…
04-20 01:21:54	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	856	99¢	$850	0xd6f903…
04-18 16:31:30	bitcoin above 72k on april 19	Yes	BUY	610	99¢	$604	0xc61499…
04-18 16:25:30	bitcoin above 72k on april 19	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x567f5a…
04-18 16:20:44	bitcoin above 72k on april 19	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9eafe9…
04-18 16:20:42	bitcoin above 72k on april 19	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x5e65c6…
04-17 11:38:14	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	842	100¢	$838	0xc616a1…
04-15 16:07:06	bitcoin above 68k on april 16	Yes	BUY	838	100¢	$836	0x854f67…
04-09 16:50:39	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	544	98¢	$535	0xdcbb1e…
04-09 16:40:31	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	276	98¢	$272	0x46de5c…
04-07 14:45:25	bitcoin above 66k on april 7	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x333c93…
04-07 14:45:03	bitcoin above 66k on april 7	Yes	BUY	816	99¢	$809	0xa4cdfc…
03-31 22:07:57	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	224	98¢	$219	0x86c3a5…
03-31 22:07:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	550	98¢	$540	0x31847a…
03-31 22:00:25	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x481e18…
03-31 21:54:51	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfc9900…
03-31 14:37:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	Yes	BUY	655	99¢	$649	0xb16525…
03-31 14:32:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	Yes	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x6408a1…
03-31 14:31:47	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x8e8a8d…
03-15 11:18:39	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	793	99¢	$788	0xd24cf6…
03-14 04:11:47	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	788	100¢	$787	0xc3fddc…
03-13 01:37:15	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	787	100¢	$787	0x3983a6…
03-12 11:45:59	bitcoin above 68k on march 12	Yes	BUY	787	98¢	$772	0x9fe834…
03-11 06:12:33	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	395	100¢	$394	0xbcd34d…
03-11 06:07:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x8d2866…
03-11 06:07:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6147fd…
03-11 06:07:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x335290…
03-10 09:29:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 10	Yes	BUY	770	100¢	$768	0xb215e9…
03-09 12:53:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 9	Yes	BUY	768	100¢	$765	0xef88de…
03-08 12:15:43	ethereum above 2100 on march 8	No	BUY	765	99¢	$757	0xd34481…
03-07 04:33:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 7	Yes	BUY	757	99¢	$748	0x67780e…
03-06 12:48:37	bitcoin above 74k on march 6	No	BUY	748	99¢	$744	0xa9ace1…
03-05 05:55:27	bitcoin above 66k on march 5	Yes	BUY	744	99¢	$739	0x473a2b…
03-04 09:38:49	bitcoin above 64k on march 4	Yes	BUY	739	99¢	$733	0x67148a…
03-03 05:51:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	532	100¢	$531	0x5f905e…
03-03 05:50:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 3	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x5227b8…
03-02 06:07:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 2	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x203ca8…
03-02 06:06:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	No	BUY	602	100¢	$600	0x8a768c…
02-28 07:04:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	129	99¢	$127	0xb86163…
02-28 07:03:29	bitcoin above 70k on february 28	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x959190…
02-28 07:03:13	ethereum above 2100 on february 28	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x6bf883…
02-21 06:35:50	ethereum above 2300 on february 21	No	BUY	727	100¢	$726	0x07e315…