Physical-Taxpayer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,785

lifetime

Volume

$104.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-08 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

89% — —

Other

6% 0% $-5

Sports

4% — —

Politics

1% 33% $-4

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 1029 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No		+9	$5	54¢	$5	$-0	06-04 21:25
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	No		+8	$5	44¢	$4	$-1	06-08 17:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	55	$952	1,735	0	+1,735	open	—	04-26 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	27	$784	638	351	+288	open	—	04-25 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	21	$596	400	400	+0	open	—	04-25 07:45
eth updown 5m 1777026900	3	$551	400	384	+16	open	—	04-24 10:39
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	5	$334	461	0	+461	open	—	04-25 13:15
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	44	$311	938	0	+938	open	—	04-26 12:58
btc updown 5m 1777015500	18	$301	400	102	+298	open	—	04-24 07:29
solana up or down april 16 2026 9am et	25	$299	152	152	+0	open	—	04-16 13:54
btc updown 5m 1777026600	8	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	3	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	04-25 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	5	$287	189	189	+0	open	—	04-26 00:34
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	16	$257	189	158	+30	open	—	04-25 16:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	33	$254	364	54	+309	open	—	04-26 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	12	$252	166	162	+3	open	—	04-25 12:55
sol updown 5m 1776583200	5	$244	218	133	+85	open	—	04-19 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$238	396	0	+396	open	—	04-29 03:25
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	17	$237	189	141	+47	open	—	04-25 15:35
eth updown 15m 1776438900	2	$235	221	216	+5	open	—	04-17 15:27
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	26	$235	364	35	+329	open	—	04-25 11:50
btc updown 5m 1776687900	2	$234	146	142	+4	open	—	04-20 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$233	421	0	+421	open	—	04-28 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$233	456	0	+456	open	—	04-28 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$233	480	0	+480	open	—	04-29 02:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$228	427	0	+427	open	—	04-28 22:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$228	391	0	+391	open	—	04-28 21:20
btc updown 5m 1776495000	17	$221	217	100	+116	open	—	04-18 06:55
sol updown 5m 1776592200	3	$220	212	108	+104	open	—	04-19 09:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$220	351	0	+351	open	—	04-28 21:45
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	2	$215	218	0	+218	open	—	05-16 07:05
eth updown 5m 1776579900	3	$211	221	98	+123	open	—	04-19 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:30:21	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe97cc5…
06-04 21:25:54	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8dd225…
06-02 08:17:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1dbced…
05-24 23:07:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0e885c…
05-21 09:38:04	Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfd47d6…
05-20 01:12:57	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7612d1…
05-19 07:49:18	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x56e1fc…
05-17 00:04:06	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1a74d1…
05-16 15:16:21	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7ed0bc…
05-16 07:05:16	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x30557a…
05-16 07:05:08	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xedd5f7…
05-15 21:00:09	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x68de78…
05-15 15:33:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x69c455…
05-14 00:12:42	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa4e925…
05-12 14:41:57	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x42b180…
05-11 23:43:44	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x289c3d…
05-08 18:32:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf8967b…
05-08 18:29:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5c45e3…
05-07 18:06:45	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1f0449…
05-07 11:03:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd4b640…
05-06 15:46:48	Canada recession before 2027?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb57cac…
05-06 15:46:11	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3f4965…
05-06 12:23:02	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb32bee…
05-06 11:02:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc76473…
05-06 09:39:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa5c74c…
05-06 09:38:54	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x11a77a…
05-06 09:38:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd393b6…
05-06 09:37:28	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe3e3c0…
05-06 09:36:38	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd5c351…
05-06 09:36:12	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9e21cb…
05-06 09:29:24	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5ce03e…
05-06 09:27:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x71d694…
05-06 09:26:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb8092e…
05-06 09:26:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdd93a6…
05-06 06:30:58	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3807d9…
05-06 04:58:14	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe17592…
04-30 17:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	92	64¢	$59	0x1995a5…
04-30 10:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	56¢	$29	0x4c71d5…
04-30 10:30:28	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0x7ce803…
04-30 08:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	196	60¢	$118	0x7056b4…
04-30 08:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x41f196…
04-30 07:45:14	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	92	53¢	$48	0xba018a…
04-30 07:45:14	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x03871e…
04-30 07:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0xbad5e4…
04-30 07:45:12	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x5e2539…
04-30 07:45:12	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x4cc130…
04-30 07:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	66¢	$13	0x422019…
04-30 07:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0xb6afd9…
04-30 07:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x9e4022…
04-30 07:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x845d88…
04-30 07:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x78c380…
04-30 07:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0xd8ddd7…
04-30 07:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x76d38b…
04-30 07:30:12	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xa101d5…
04-30 07:30:12	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x8a0448…
04-30 07:30:12	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	52¢	$13	0x4218fb…
04-30 07:30:10	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xe21591…
04-30 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xd2b558…
04-30 07:30:10	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xab7f0b…
04-30 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x9fba15…
04-30 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x61b7a5…
04-30 07:15:12	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x54a656…
04-30 07:15:10	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x487740…
04-30 07:15:10	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x4789cc…
04-30 07:15:10	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x34c6d5…
04-30 07:15:08	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x51807c…
04-30 05:00:20	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x84e2d0…
04-30 05:00:20	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$11	0x2baee6…
04-30 05:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xb184f5…
04-30 05:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x6276d9…
04-30 05:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x5cba1f…
04-29 12:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	134	55¢	$74	0x3ced9d…
04-29 12:30:16	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	55¢	$39	0xbb98c5…
04-29 12:30:16	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	72	54¢	$39	0xad700a…
04-29 12:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	56¢	$37	0x4e0750…
04-29 12:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	56¢	$37	0xaed8ed…
04-29 12:30:14	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0x30fa16…
04-29 12:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	56¢	$37	0x000527…
04-29 12:15:16	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xe78974…
04-29 12:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0x887b1a…
04-29 12:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0x7536a3…
04-29 12:15:14	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x97bae3…
04-29 12:15:14	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x72adb3…
04-29 12:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xc31e3c…
04-29 10:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	61¢	$17	0x7beec0…
04-29 10:30:14	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	68	54¢	$37	0x056d8e…
04-29 10:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	61¢	$17	0xf51cbe…
04-29 10:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0xc73585…
04-29 10:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	61¢	$17	0x5ffa61…
04-29 10:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x556476…
04-29 10:30:12	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x26edea…
04-29 10:30:10	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0xa8e303…
04-29 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xa4c8de…
04-29 04:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	62	56¢	$35	0x608632…
04-29 04:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	62	56¢	$35	0xc6908e…
04-29 04:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	54¢	$20	0xa38da6…
04-29 04:40:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x5b5992…
04-29 04:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe4e288…
04-29 04:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	56¢	$19	0xceb3e3…
04-29 04:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	56¢	$19	0xbc82bf…