Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$34
Hit rate
29.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
5,882
lifetime
Volume
$113.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$221
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-04 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
82%
Other
13% 0% $-5
Sports
4%
Politics
1% 33% $-4
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? No -48 $-34 82¢ $-39 $-5 06-18 15:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -9 $-5 99¢ $-9 $-4 06-19 20:29
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No -8 $-7 90¢ $-8 $-1 06-18 15:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -9 $-5 78¢ $-7 $-2 06-19 20:29
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? No -9 $-7 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-18 15:57
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -9 $-7 82¢ $-7 $-0 06-18 15:57
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -8 $-7 91¢ $-7 $-0 06-18 15:57
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -8 $-5 86¢ $-7 $-2 06-18 16:00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -9 $-6 78¢ $-7 $-1 06-18 15:58
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-0 06-18 15:57
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -8 $-6 80¢ $-6 $-1 06-18 15:58
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? No -8 $-4 83¢ $-6 $-3 06-18 16:02
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -8 $-7 76¢ $-6 +$1 06-18 15:56
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No -8 $-5 74¢ $-6 $-1 06-19 20:29
Spain snap election called in 2026? No -8 $-5 77¢ $-6 $-1 06-18 16:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -8 $-6 78¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 15:59
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -8 $-6 77¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 15:59
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No -7 $-5 86¢ $-6 $-1 06-18 16:01
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -9 $-4 70¢ $-6 $-2 06-19 20:29
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No -7 $-6 82¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 15:58
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -8 $-6 76¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 15:59
Blue tsunami in 2026? No -10 $-5 60¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 15:58
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No -8 $-5 70¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 16:00
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-3 76¢ $-6 $-3 06-19 20:29
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -8 $-5 68¢ $-6 $-1 06-18 16:01
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -8 $-5 68¢ $-5 $-1 06-18 16:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -9 $-4 60¢ $-5 $-1 06-19 20:30
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? No -8 $-3 65¢ $-5 $-2 06-19 20:29
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -11 $-5 50¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 16:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -10 $-5 53¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 16:01