Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$319
Trades
90
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$585
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-06-09
last 07-19 07:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $28 | $17 | +$10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $9 | $3 | +$6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $62 | $1 | +$61 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $33 | $30 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $38 | $17 | +$21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 5 | $56 | $2 | +$53 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | $26 | $20 |
| unranked | 7 | $32 | $5 | +$27 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +74 | $28 | $28 | 8 | 06-18 13:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +54 | $16 | $16 | 10 | 06-19 19:02 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-13 06:50 |
| Rosy-Midline 0x1faf…f652 | Yes | +40 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-16 21:39 |
| Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | +10 | $23 | $80 | 24 | 06-12 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 04:51 |
| Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | +6 | $-7 | $51 | 10 | 07-14 21:00 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $5 | 3 | 07-16 21:39 |
| Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | No | +1 | $1 | $9 | 3 | 07-19 07:02 |
| Damaged-Nucleotide 0x6938…1eaf | Yes | +1 | $1 | $15 | 4 | 07-13 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xcea8…41f0 | Yes | +1 | $6 | $12 | 2 | 06-18 13:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 07:02:46 | Simple-Goddess 0xda37…f8cc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x3d83d6… |
| 07-19 07:02:46 | Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x3d83d6… |
| 07-16 21:39:34 | Simple-Goddess 0xda37…f8cc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0c646d… |
| 07-16 21:39:34 | Rosy-Midline 0x1faf…f652 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 22¢ | $9 | 0x0c646d… |
| 07-16 21:39:34 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x0c646d… |
| 07-16 21:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x0c646d… |
| 07-14 21:00:23 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x31013d… |
| 07-14 21:00:23 | (anonymous) 0xb7b4…4adb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x31013d… |
| 07-14 20:51:58 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x3851c6… |
| 07-14 20:51:58 | Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x3851c6… |
| 07-14 20:51:58 | (anonymous) 0xb7b4…4adb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x3851c6… |
| 07-14 20:35:38 | (anonymous) 0xb7b4…4adb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xadc024… |
| 07-14 20:35:38 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xadc024… |
| 07-14 17:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xb7b4…4adb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xde0f2e… |
| 07-14 17:59:44 | Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xde0f2e… |
| 07-13 07:02:23 | Damaged-Nucleotide 0x6938…1eaf | Yes | SELL | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd77e6f… |
| 07-13 07:02:23 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | SELL | 25 | 82¢ | $20 | 0xd77e6f… |
| 07-13 07:01:44 | Damaged-Nucleotide 0x6938…1eaf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x8d4515… |
| 07-13 07:01:44 | (anonymous) 0x3946…3ee9 | No | SELL | 12 | 80¢ | $9 | 0x8d4515… |
| 07-13 06:50:46 | Damaged-Nucleotide 0x6938…1eaf | Yes | BUY | 36 | 21¢ | $8 | 0xe5e717… |
| 07-13 06:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xe5e717… |
| 07-13 06:50:46 | Simple-Goddess 0xda37…f8cc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xe5e717… |
| 07-13 06:50:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xe5e717… |
| 07-13 06:50:46 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xe5e717… |
| 07-13 06:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x3d7e…6be6 | Yes | SELL | 127 | 23¢ | $30 | 0xe5e717… |
| 06-19 19:02:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x8c28a4… |
| 06-19 19:02:46 | Silent-Trachoma 0x7ce3…ed34 | No | SELL | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x8c28a4… |
| 06-18 16:39:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x3ff1a9… |
| 06-18 16:39:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x3ff1a9… |
| 06-18 13:21:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x0eaf99… |
| 06-18 13:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x0eaf99… |
| 06-18 13:21:34 | (anonymous) 0xcea8…41f0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x0eaf99… |
| 06-18 13:21:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xfab01d… |
| 06-18 13:21:16 | (anonymous) 0xcea8…41f0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xfab01d… |
| 06-12 04:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xeddee2… |
| 06-12 04:51:01 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xeddee2… |
| 06-12 04:50:42 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x6ea3a4… |
| 06-12 04:50:42 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x6ea3a4… |
| 06-11 20:54:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x91fa66… |
| 06-11 20:54:45 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x91fa66… |
| 06-11 20:53:31 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2b7910… |
| 06-11 20:53:31 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x2b7910… |
| 06-11 20:53:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xef0d4d… |
| 06-11 20:53:10 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xef0d4d… |
| 06-11 20:53:10 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xde84e2… |
| 06-11 20:53:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xde84e2… |
| 06-11 20:52:31 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x21cf29… |
| 06-11 20:52:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x21cf29… |
| 06-11 20:52:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x05a55a… |
| 06-11 20:52:27 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x05a55a… |
| 06-11 20:52:10 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x4e721c… |
| 06-11 20:52:10 | Damaged-Nucleotide 0x6938…1eaf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x4e721c… |
| 06-11 20:52:10 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x4e721c… |
| 06-11 20:52:10 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x5a7f42… |
| 06-11 20:52:10 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x5a7f42… |
| 06-11 20:52:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x51c346… |
| 06-11 20:52:00 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x51c346… |
| 06-11 20:51:55 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xabb028… |
| 06-11 20:51:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xabb028… |
| 06-11 20:51:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x2e4712… |
| 06-11 20:51:43 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x2e4712… |
| 06-11 20:51:43 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xbe4a0f… |
| 06-11 20:51:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xbe4a0f… |
| 06-11 20:48:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x3cf1f9… |
| 06-11 20:48:18 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x3cf1f9… |
| 06-11 20:48:13 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xadb315… |
| 06-11 20:48:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xadb315… |
| 06-11 18:03:58 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 39¢ | $16 | 0x5302df… |
| 06-11 18:03:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 39¢ | $16 | 0x5302df… |
| 06-11 15:13:36 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x0ff3fb… |
| 06-11 15:13:36 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x0ff3fb… |
| 06-11 15:13:34 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x6f6965… |
| 06-11 15:13:34 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x198b94… |
| 06-11 15:13:34 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x198b94… |
| 06-11 15:13:34 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x6f6965… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xd249e8… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x3d560e… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x59ce75… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x59ce75… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xd249e8… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xd249e8… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x3d560e… |
| 06-11 15:13:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x377d57… |
| 06-11 15:13:31 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x377d57… |
| 06-10 14:50:19 | All-Snakebite 0x5571…bdcf | Yes | SELL | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x45cf8e… |
| 06-10 14:50:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x45cf8e… |
| 06-09 19:13:00 | Red-Hunt 0xdd62…cf51 | No | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x4fd154… |
| 06-09 19:13:00 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x4fd154… |
| 06-09 15:59:37 | All-Snakebite 0x5571…bdcf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x7e9f21… |
| 06-09 15:59:37 | Silent-Trachoma 0x7ce3…ed34 | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x7e9f21… |