Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$164
Trades
56
Unique wallets
10
Liquidity
$585
Latest YES mid
60¢
Latest NO mid
40¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-06-09
last 06-12 04:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $26 | $15 | +$11 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $52 | — | +$52 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $2 | $24 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $26 | $14 | +$12 |
| Below median | 4 | $53 | $2 | +$51 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $22 | $22 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +70 | $26 | $26 | 7 | 06-11 20:54 |
| Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | +41 | $22 | $22 | 7 | 06-11 15:13 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +41 | $14 | $14 | 8 | 06-11 20:52 |
| Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | +10 | $23 | $80 | 24 | 06-12 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 20:53 |
| Silent-Trachoma 0x7ce3…ed34 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 15:59 |
| Damaged-Nucleotide 0x6938…1eaf | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 20:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 04:51:01 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xeddee2… |
| 06-12 04:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xeddee2… |
| 06-12 04:50:42 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x6ea3a4… |
| 06-12 04:50:42 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x6ea3a4… |
| 06-11 20:54:45 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x91fa66… |
| 06-11 20:54:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x91fa66… |
| 06-11 20:53:31 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x2b7910… |
| 06-11 20:53:31 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2b7910… |
| 06-11 20:53:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xde84e2… |
| 06-11 20:53:10 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xef0d4d… |
| 06-11 20:53:10 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xde84e2… |
| 06-11 20:53:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xef0d4d… |
| 06-11 20:52:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x21cf29… |
| 06-11 20:52:31 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x21cf29… |
| 06-11 20:52:27 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x05a55a… |
| 06-11 20:52:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x05a55a… |
| 06-11 20:52:10 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x5a7f42… |
| 06-11 20:52:10 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x4e721c… |
| 06-11 20:52:10 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x5a7f42… |
| 06-11 20:52:10 | Damaged-Nucleotide 0x6938…1eaf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x4e721c… |
| 06-11 20:52:10 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x4e721c… |
| 06-11 20:52:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x51c346… |
| 06-11 20:52:00 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x51c346… |
| 06-11 20:51:55 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xabb028… |
| 06-11 20:51:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xabb028… |
| 06-11 20:51:43 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xbe4a0f… |
| 06-11 20:51:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x2e4712… |
| 06-11 20:51:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xbe4a0f… |
| 06-11 20:51:43 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x2e4712… |
| 06-11 20:48:18 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x3cf1f9… |
| 06-11 20:48:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x3cf1f9… |
| 06-11 20:48:13 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xadb315… |
| 06-11 20:48:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xadb315… |
| 06-11 18:03:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 39¢ | $16 | 0x5302df… |
| 06-11 18:03:58 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 39¢ | $16 | 0x5302df… |
| 06-11 15:13:36 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x0ff3fb… |
| 06-11 15:13:36 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x0ff3fb… |
| 06-11 15:13:34 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x6f6965… |
| 06-11 15:13:34 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x198b94… |
| 06-11 15:13:34 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x6f6965… |
| 06-11 15:13:34 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x198b94… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x3d560e… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x59ce75… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xd249e8… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x59ce75… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xd249e8… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xd249e8… |
| 06-11 15:13:33 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x3d560e… |
| 06-11 15:13:31 | Ambitious-Toot 0x2ea9…7927 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x377d57… |
| 06-11 15:13:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x377d57… |
| 06-10 14:50:19 | All-Snakebite 0x5571…bdcf | Yes | SELL | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x45cf8e… |
| 06-10 14:50:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x45cf8e… |
| 06-09 19:13:00 | Supportive-Final 0x3903…1db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x4fd154… |
| 06-09 19:13:00 | Red-Hunt 0xdd62…cf51 | No | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x4fd154… |
| 06-09 15:59:37 | All-Snakebite 0x5571…bdcf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x7e9f21… |
| 06-09 15:59:37 | Silent-Trachoma 0x7ce3…ed34 | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x7e9f21… |