Silent-Trachoma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$3.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-03 08:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$1

Politics

23% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-10

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+8	$5	82¢	$6	+$1	06-30 08:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	5	$280	146	146	+0	open	—	01-30 17:44
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$74	96	96	+0	open	—	01-31 13:27
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-24 14:31
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	3	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	02-03 17:01
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$47	26	26	+0	open	—	03-16 07:10
spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	1	$47	55	0	+55	open	—	02-26 14:09
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	02-09 13:44
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$43	53	0	+53	open	—	02-28 09:44
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	04-12 22:06
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	03-24 14:31
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$42	223	151	+73	open	—	02-09 13:45
will powell say inflation 60 times during january press conference	2	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	01-28 22:52
ackman vs sp january	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	01-30 17:47
spx up or down on january 30 2026	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	01-30 17:48
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	01-30 12:09
will powell say inflation 50 times during january press conference	2	$38	26	26	+0	open	—	01-28 22:52
will kendrick lamar win 1 grammy	2	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	02-01 00:15
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	03-24 14:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$35	30	30	+0	open	—	04-25 08:23
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	3	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	02-23 13:01
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	02-17 14:05
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	02-04 23:02
spx opens up or down on february 25 2026	1	$33	39	0	+39	open	—	02-25 12:10
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-27 14:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-27 14:40
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	2	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	02-03 17:01
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$31	42	0	+42	open	—	03-02 07:26
will luther kendrick lamar and sza win record of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	3	$31	56	0	+56	open	—	02-01 16:02
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$30	48	0	+48	open	—	02-03 18:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$30	44	0	+44	open	—	02-27 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 08:06:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x0b54c5…
07-01 06:15:38	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x11e5b0…
06-30 08:16:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7bfabe…
06-30 08:15:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x07ee50…
06-30 08:13:17	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xcaa485…
06-26 12:46:23	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x68b994…
06-26 12:46:11	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xba98dc…
06-22 09:39:47	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x359131…
06-21 16:13:32	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x359a62…
06-20 07:09:43	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xffcc85…
06-20 07:04:43	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x641151…
06-19 21:31:40	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x1ca0ee…
06-19 21:31:32	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc6e5da…
06-19 21:30:32	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x92aae3…
06-19 21:26:56	btc updown 5m 1781904300	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x227ffd…
06-19 21:15:28	btc updown 5m 1781903700	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xaf2d65…
06-19 20:27:08	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x829b5f…
06-19 19:06:47	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0d9d3b…
06-19 19:05:53	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x6117f6…
06-19 19:03:05	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0xf85d2b…
06-19 19:02:46	Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x8c28a4…
06-17 23:07:50	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x27772d…
06-17 23:06:08	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xea7e0f…
06-14 10:44:25	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x082eae…
06-14 10:44:00	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x6ea855…
06-09 15:59:37	Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x7e9f21…
06-08 22:37:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x53ac73…
06-08 22:36:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x52b5d8…
06-02 22:50:13	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$9	0x699549…
05-31 11:03:48	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc468f7…
05-02 14:18:42	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x52b811…
04-25 08:27:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd7939f…
04-25 08:27:36	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6c3874…
04-25 08:26:48	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x271c1c…
04-25 08:26:40	Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaf93fc…
04-25 08:25:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9cf9ef…
04-25 08:23:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe27669…
04-23 22:36:54	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x42fc01…
04-21 11:55:20	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x624ac0…
04-21 11:55:10	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2c46f4…
04-21 11:54:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbc35c5…
04-21 11:54:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x58a9be…
04-21 11:54:22	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc2feb8…
04-21 11:52:50	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x9d071d…
04-19 15:21:44	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdf449b…
04-18 13:05:36	epl bre ful 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7ef97e…
04-18 13:05:26	epl new bou 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xec9eef…
04-18 13:05:20	epl lee wol 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x507694…
04-18 13:05:16	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf8edbe…
04-18 13:05:10	epl che mun 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfc634a…
04-18 07:10:14	btc updown 5m 1776496200	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9229b2…
04-18 07:09:26	btc updown 5m 1776495900	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9e189d…
04-18 07:00:30	btc updown 5m 1776495600	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x215977…
04-17 19:01:48	btc updown 5m 1776452400	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x356e97…
04-17 19:01:16	will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	No	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xf8f00b…
04-14 21:59:40	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1da625…
04-14 21:58:22	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x9cd934…
04-13 12:48:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9385de…
04-13 12:48:37	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9dcab1…
04-13 12:47:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xa330ee…
04-12 22:06:47	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x3767ef…
04-08 08:12:57	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2216cb…
04-08 08:12:49	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5d0cc7…
04-08 08:12:33	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 btts	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x510e49…
04-08 07:45:41	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xc0d5a9…
04-08 07:45:07	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x50a24b…
04-08 07:44:59	will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x22990a…
04-08 07:44:39	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x382c8b…
04-08 07:44:17	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf6d8b3…
04-08 07:42:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0xf9ba53…
04-08 07:42:45	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xa078e7…
04-07 18:17:27	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x3a2437…
04-01 10:52:59	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x6cbff4…
04-01 10:52:39	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x7e0511…
04-01 10:52:29	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xbfcb1b…
04-01 10:52:01	will min woo lee win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xf26cd0…
04-01 10:51:45	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x2b72a9…
04-01 10:51:37	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xf212d1…
04-01 10:50:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x53f97b…
04-01 10:50:21	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0x76e976…
04-01 10:50:07	will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x3ffaf0…
04-01 10:49:57	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x7140ca…
04-01 10:48:11	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x234cd1…
03-28 08:29:35	cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x942357…
03-28 08:28:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x29976c…
03-28 08:24:39	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x1b5055…
03-28 08:23:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x92e150…
03-28 08:21:47	will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xedfc4b…
03-28 08:19:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xff9932…
03-27 14:44:41	cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	Michigan State Spartans	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc85ea1…
03-27 14:44:31	cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	Duke Blue Devils	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2bc0d8…
03-27 14:40:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc301b2…
03-27 14:40:29	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd3356d…
03-27 14:40:25	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x76d89e…
03-24 14:34:11	another us bank failure by march 31	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xf7bf6d…
03-24 14:32:33	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xc69c35…
03-24 14:32:09	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x6a08f8…
03-24 14:32:03	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x271d41…
03-24 14:31:59	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xcebcb7…
03-24 14:31:53	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xfba70d…