Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
346
lifetime
Volume
$390
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$54
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 07-01 11:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67%
Crypto
17%
Politics
11%
Tech
5%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $13 24¢ $16 +$3 07-01 13:49
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -16 $-5 33¢ $-5 $-0 06-25 19:23
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes -25 $-5 19¢ $-5 +$1 06-17 00:18
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -7 $-2 68¢ $-5 $-3 06-22 21:36
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes -25 $-4 16¢ $-4 +$0 06-21 19:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +15 $4 24¢ $4 $-0 07-01 15:26
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $3 22¢ $3 +$0 06-29 17:30
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes -9 $-1 34¢ $-3 $-2 06-18 15:56
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +8 $2 27¢ $2 +$0 06-26 00:18
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +10 $1 20¢ $2 +$1 06-02 01:16
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $-1 25¢ $2 +$3 06-18 01:29
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026? Yes +16 $1 $1 +$0 06-15 11:36
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-2 19¢ $-1 +$1 06-19 08:24
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-16 12:33
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$1 06-12 01:03
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +1 $-0 24¢ $0 +$0 06-25 20:51