Realized P&L
-$398
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
44.0%
Resolved
124
Trades
815
lifetime
Volume
$2.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$95
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 06:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 10% -$484
Other
27% 42% -$10
Tech
8% 67% +$51
Sports
5% 35% +$46
Politics
1% 33% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -75 -$22 96¢ $-72 -$50 05-30 09:53
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes +181 $21 3¢ $6 -$15 10-31 06:48
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -150 -$14 3¢ $-5 +$9 05-30 09:51
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -94 -$65 3¢ $-3 +$62 05-30 09:53
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +333 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 09-17 01:24
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -52 -$10 4¢ $-2 +$8 05-30 09:47
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +5 $0 37¢ $2 +$2 05-31 21:36
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,004 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 09-05 23:19
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +329 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 09-06 06:49
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +33 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-04 17:06
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -168 -$10 0¢ $-0 +$10 06-10 10:17
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 07-13 07:02
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -6 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 07-13 03:10
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-04 16:53