Ambitious-Toot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$162

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

458

Trades

2,550

lifetime

Volume

$32.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-15 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

97% 63% -$143

Crypto

2% 74% +$4

Politics

1% 36% -$13

Sports

0% 35% -$11

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 12c	36	$1.9K	1,536	1,499	+37	No	+$458	04-06 07:09
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 15c	113	$1.7K	2,507	2,481	+26	No	-$898	04-02 08:41
highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 18c	23	$1.5K	926	956	-30	Yes	+$130	03-30 14:16
highest temperature in los angeles on march 29 2026 74 75f	36	$1.4K	651	862	-211	No	+$160	03-30 03:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 13c	15	$1.3K	889	688	+201	No	+$87	04-01 05:13
highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 17corhigher	7	$1.2K	997	974	+23	Yes	+$760	04-04 03:31
highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 11c	23	$1.1K	948	921	+27	Yes	+$765	04-07 15:15
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 16c	8	$1.0K	697	679	+18	Yes	+$354	04-07 15:15
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	19	$822	609	604	+6	Yes	+$298	04-03 06:10
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 18c	22	$821	595	579	+16	Yes	+$347	04-06 10:58
highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 19c	11	$815	550	550	+0	No	$0	03-30 14:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	48	$783	1,333	1,309	+24	Yes	-$294	04-02 08:41
highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 20corhigher	11	$766	400	400	+0	No	+$33	03-30 14:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 11c	30	$663	588	574	+13	No	+$99	04-06 05:42
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	15	$637	504	531	-28	Yes	+$337	04-06 10:58
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 14c	5	$518	209	390	-181	No	+$78	03-25 14:37
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 14c	26	$495	350	348	+2	Yes	+$182	04-01 09:54
highest temperature in beijing on april 8 2026 22c	48	$464	1,186	0	+1,186	No	-$464	04-08 04:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 12c	16	$444	244	244	+0	No	+$44	04-01 05:14
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 16c	16	$442	398	393	+5	No	-$47	04-03 04:11
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 20corhigher	2	$420	269	266	+3	No	+$5	04-06 04:24
highest temperature in beijing on april 8 2026 21c	56	$399	934	0	+934	No	-$399	04-08 05:27
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 12c	15	$367	199	200	-1	No	+$32	04-02 03:22
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 13c	61	$320	827	820	+7	No	-$172	04-02 02:42
highest temperature in seoul on april 8 2026 12c	45	$312	751	0	+751	No	-$312	04-08 06:18
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 15c	52	$294	1,965	0	+1,965	No	-$294	04-07 02:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 16corhigher	5	$292	161	160	+0	No	+$29	04-01 07:51
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	71	$250	1,314	0	+1,314	No	-$250	04-05 05:58
highest temperature in los angeles on march 26 2026 72 73f	7	$248	138	138	+0	No	+$27	03-27 02:35
highest temperature in seoul on april 8 2026 11c	36	$246	1,434	0	+1,434	No	-$246	04-08 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 19:44:19	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1aad38…
07-15 19:44:11	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x06b3e4…
07-15 19:44:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbfe690…
07-15 19:43:53	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9905c3…
07-15 19:00:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x822bf9…
07-15 18:36:59	wti closes above 78 on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x05dec9…
07-15 18:24:08	wti closes above 78 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5ddc02…
07-15 17:56:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x33d72a…
07-15 16:29:23	bitcoin above 62k on july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9c3495…
07-15 15:26:22	ethereum above 1900 on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbf0662…
07-15 15:01:07	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x36ba4e…
07-15 14:11:41	ethereum above 1900 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x04ce62…
07-15 13:54:22	ethereum above 1800 on july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7461f2…
07-15 10:02:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7b30d7…
07-15 10:02:17	ethereum above 1800 on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2f605f…
07-15 04:00:28	bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xafd550…
07-15 02:06:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbd24b6…
07-14 23:38:38	ethereum above 1800 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe5f822…
07-14 21:50:50	Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x12a07a…
07-14 19:00:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots lamine yamal gte1	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe74a19…
07-14 18:20:59	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4819d5…
07-14 18:10:32	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xafe5e1…
07-14 16:25:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5a3100…
07-14 16:01:11	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x017851…
07-14 16:00:08	bitcoin above 62k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd536f0…
07-14 15:02:53	ethereum above 1800 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x86d440…
07-14 14:37:43	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4be90e…
07-14 14:16:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x951375…
07-14 14:15:04	wti closes above 78 on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x3dedd7…
07-14 14:08:20	wti closes above 78 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7e6dd6…
07-14 13:23:29	bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7e62cb…
07-14 13:23:04	bitcoin above 60k on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5fb1e9…
07-14 13:21:31	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x93a7ff…
07-14 12:56:35	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x741606…
07-14 12:32:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x08d0bf…
07-14 10:27:41	ethereum above 1700 on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xab4bbd…
07-14 08:31:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe92e98…
07-14 07:32:01	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4029dc…
07-14 05:03:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x188926…
07-14 01:20:35	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x337230…
07-13 23:13:19	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xea76a2…
07-13 18:43:11	spy closes above 745 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfc825c…
07-13 16:49:02	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x23e11f…
07-13 15:02:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xba83cb…
07-13 14:29:34	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb8f286…
07-13 14:21:19	wti closes above 71 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0c4316…
07-13 09:08:35	spy closes above 745 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe7bb03…
07-13 09:06:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0f6caa…
07-13 08:18:38	wti closes above 71 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa653b4…
07-13 07:39:22	ethereum above 1700 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x53c87a…
07-13 03:11:31	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xd8ad78…
07-13 01:19:32	Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x96f477…
07-13 00:38:23	Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb9b530…
07-12 22:22:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x19d655…
07-12 21:54:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa70166…
07-12 20:50:47	Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb03aa1…
07-12 20:02:52	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd9c825…
07-12 19:16:59	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x139f4b…
07-12 17:10:38	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcd2cf1…
07-12 17:03:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xda1213…
07-12 16:16:58	ethereum above 1700 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2c181c…
07-12 16:05:49	Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc83237…
07-12 16:00:28	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4836ad…
07-12 10:49:13	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x05ab3f…
07-12 10:19:29	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x609c65…
07-12 07:45:43	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xfe8c04…
07-12 05:03:10	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x67a3c3…
07-12 03:48:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 12 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbdae3a…
07-12 02:27:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x225b99…
07-12 00:34:50	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9d4232…
07-11 23:35:19	ethereum above 1700 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0266b1…
07-11 23:35:11	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x18fec4…
07-11 18:14:26	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 shots harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x50467e…
07-11 13:48:02	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x74f05d…
07-11 11:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad66b7…
07-11 10:03:22	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0fe307…
07-11 09:29:20	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x789cd0…
07-11 08:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc9f365…
07-11 06:47:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xef603d…
07-11 05:51:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x383dd0…
07-11 05:04:25	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0575d2…
07-11 05:04:23	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf85be6…
07-11 05:04:20	ethereum above 1700 on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x224684…
07-11 03:06:17	Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcc61c2…
07-11 00:53:04	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7a2162…
07-10 12:30:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8014dc…
07-10 06:58:32	wti closes above 70 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x65c87a…
07-10 05:48:05	ethereum above 1700 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x47a0b8…
07-10 05:47:58	bitcoin above 62k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x903ffe…
07-10 05:47:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x96f64f…
07-10 05:47:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9e93f0…
07-10 05:47:41	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb7791d…
07-10 05:47:40	ethereum above 1700 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeac4e7…
07-10 02:54:11	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x12770c…
07-10 01:50:08	bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9c415b…
07-10 00:08:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x3ed178…
07-09 22:24:55	ethereum above 1700 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbf7496…
07-09 17:48:58	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8aaf49…
07-09 16:14:52	meta close above 600 on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd6722e…
07-09 08:10:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x83aeed…