Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
33
lifetime
Volume
$37
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$12
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-16
last 07-08 16:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
71%
Politics
18%
Tech
9%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +15 $2 11¢ $2 $-0 06-21 23:34
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 06-21 23:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 06-17 13:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 06-16 22:32
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-17 13:16
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-17 13:27
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-17 13:26
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-19 12:26
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +9 $1 $1 $-0 06-16 22:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +16 $1 $1 $-0 06-19 12:23
US defaults on debt by 2027? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-0 06-16 22:30
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +9 $1 $0 $-0 06-17 13:24
Japan recession in 2026? Yes +3 $1 11¢ $0 $-1 06-17 13:28