Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
7,873
lifetime
Volume
$1.40M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$177
Open exposure
$145
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 01:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
98% 100% +$7
Politics
1% 100% +$0
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +103 $70 64¢ $66 $-4 05-29 01:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +67 $50 72¢ $48 $-2 06-22 21:25
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +34 $20 52¢ $18 $-2 06-22 21:20
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? Yes +35 $7 11¢ $4 $-3 05-29 01:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 $-0 06-20 20:47
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +833 $20 $2 $-18 06-22 21:39
Japan recession in 2026? Yes +10 $4 14¢ $1 $-3 05-29 01:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 05:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -164 $-7 $-0 +$7 06-22 12:29