Realized P&L (90d)
+$58
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved (90d)
206
Trades (90d)
693
2,988 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$754
$3.77K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$80
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-10 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Other
65% 54% -$14
Politics
24% 48% +$25
Crypto
6% 50% -$2
Tech
5% 50% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026 No +20 $4 88¢ $18 +$14 08-05 22:04
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +30 $8 19¢ $6 -$2 06-12 23:44
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +15 $3 38¢ $6 +$2 08-05 18:22
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +50 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 06-22 13:57
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +10 $7 48¢ $5 -$2 08-04 11:43
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes +9 $2 50¢ $5 +$3 08-03 01:38
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 Yes +20 $7 22¢ $4 -$3 08-06 20:10
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? Yes +45 $6 8¢ $4 -$2 07-25 07:40
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +18 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 08-03 02:39
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $5 8¢ $3 -$2 06-21 13:49
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$1 08-04 20:50
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +20 $4 10¢ $2 -$2 08-04 12:28
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 06-23 00:38
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +25 $5 6¢ $2 -$4 07-21 05:40
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 07-30 22:45
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +15 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 06-15 00:02
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 07-24 15:31
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +96 $11 1¢ $1 -$10 07-18 13:39
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +20 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 06-17 03:47
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +8 $2 13¢ $1 $0 07-14 08:17
will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31 Yes +20 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 08-07 16:53
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$0 07-27 08:54
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +20 $7 4¢ $1 -$6 06-15 03:46
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +1 -$3 94¢ $1 +$4 06-13 13:52
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533 Yes +10 $3 7¢ $1 -$2 06-09 22:18
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 08-04 22:50
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +15 $0 5¢ $1 +$0 08-05 09:23
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +15 $1 4¢ $1 $0 07-23 02:20
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 Yes +15 $1 4¢ $1 -$1 08-05 02:28
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +5 -$2 12¢ $1 +$3 08-02 05:36