Realized P&L (90d)
+$58
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved (90d)
206
Trades (90d)
670
2,988 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$736
$3.77K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$77
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-10 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Other
65% 54% -$14
Politics
24% 48% +$25
Crypto
6% 50% -$2
Tech
5% 50% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026 No +20 $4 89¢ $18 +$14 08-05 22:04
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +30 $8 21¢ $6 -$2 06-12 23:44
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 Yes +20 $7 25¢ $5 -$2 08-06 20:10
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +50 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 06-22 13:57
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +15 $3 32¢ $5 +$2 08-05 18:22
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes +9 $2 49¢ $4 +$3 08-03 01:38
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +10 $7 40¢ $4 -$3 08-04 11:43
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? Yes +45 $6 8¢ $3 -$3 07-25 07:40
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $5 8¢ $3 -$2 06-21 13:49
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +18 $5 13¢ $2 -$2 08-03 02:39
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +20 $4 10¢ $2 -$2 08-04 12:28
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5 $2 31¢ $2 $0 08-04 20:50
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 06-23 00:38
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +25 $5 6¢ $2 -$4 07-21 05:40
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 07-30 22:45
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +15 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 06-15 00:02
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 07-24 15:31
will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31 Yes +20 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 08-07 16:53
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +96 $11 1¢ $1 -$11 07-18 13:39
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +8 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 07-14 08:17
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$0 07-27 08:54
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +20 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 06-17 03:47
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +1 -$3 94¢ $1 +$4 06-13 13:52
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +20 $7 4¢ $1 -$7 06-15 03:46
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 08-04 22:50
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533 Yes +10 $3 7¢ $1 -$2 06-09 22:18
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +15 $0 4¢ $1 +$0 08-05 09:23
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +15 $1 4¢ $1 $0 07-23 02:20
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 Yes +15 $1 4¢ $1 -$1 08-05 02:28
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +5 -$2 12¢ $1 +$3 08-02 05:36