Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
65.1%
Resolved
264
Trades
4,403
lifetime
Volume
$4.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$77
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-10 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
65% 55% +$4
Politics
24% 48% +$25
Crypto
6% 50% -$2
Tech
5% 50% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026 No +20 $4 89¢ $18 +$14 08-05 22:04
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +15 $3 35¢ $5 +$2 08-05 18:22
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +30 $8 16¢ $5 -$3 06-12 23:44
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 Yes +20 $7 23¢ $5 -$2 08-06 20:10
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes +9 $2 47¢ $4 +$3 08-03 01:38
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +10 $7 40¢ $4 -$3 08-04 11:43
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +18 $5 18¢ $3 -$1 08-03 02:39
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +50 $4 6¢ $3 $0 06-22 13:57
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $5 8¢ $3 -$2 06-21 13:49
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +20 $4 14¢ $3 -$1 08-04 12:28
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$1 08-07 09:42
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? Yes +45 $6 6¢ $3 -$3 07-25 07:40
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $4 8¢ $2 -$2 07-30 22:45
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +15 $3 12¢ $2 -$2 06-15 00:02
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +5 $1 33¢ $2 +$1 06-19 04:33
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 06-23 00:38
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +25 $5 6¢ $2 -$4 07-21 05:40
will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31 Yes +20 $2 7¢ $1 -$1 08-07 16:53
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 07-24 15:31
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +20 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 06-17 03:47
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +8 $2 13¢ $1 $0 07-14 08:17
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +20 $7 5¢ $1 -$6 06-15 03:46
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $0 88¢ $1 +$0 07-27 08:54
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +1 -$3 96¢ $1 +$4 06-13 13:52
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 08-04 22:50
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +15 $0 5¢ $1 +$0 08-05 09:23
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +15 $1 4¢ $1 $0 07-23 02:20
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +5 -$2 12¢ $1 +$3 08-02 05:36
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $0 07-31 14:21
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $2 2¢ $1 -$2 07-25 03:20