(anonymous) 0x780092…363fe1
new
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
33
lifetime
Volume
$249
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$38
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 06-11 06:45
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
84% — —
Other
16% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $-0 06-08 02:53
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-08 02:46
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-08 02:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 06-08 03:14
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 06-11 06:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $-0 06-08 02:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 06-08 02:46
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $-0 06-08 02:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:09
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-08 02:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $-0 06-08 02:49
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-08 02:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 $-0 06-08 02:50