Realized P&L
-$378
Unrealized P&L
+$338
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved
1,539
Trades
6,274
lifetime
Volume
$10.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$1.31K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 10-26 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Other
54% 22% -$282
Politics
37% 29% +$93
Sports
8% 26% -$167
Crypto
0% 13% -$24
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$4
Tech
0% 14% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,326 $467 26¢ $616 +$149 08-27 16:41
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,004 $319 30¢ $296 -$23 07-24 17:43
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,446 $113 9¢ $137 +$24 10-25 18:29
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +65 $33 100¢ $64 +$31 05-24 14:40
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,470 $2 1¢ $32 +$30 10-25 18:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +50 $1 63¢ $32 +$30 08-05 15:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +32 $3 96¢ $31 +$28 08-04 13:23
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +147 $1 20¢ $29 +$28 10-26 12:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +220 $5 10¢ $22 +$17 10-07 10:18
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +20 $11 80¢ $16 +$5 10-26 15:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25 $11 46¢ $12 +$1 07-25 15:24
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +50 $4 19¢ $10 +$5 06-23 04:56
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +270 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 10-26 13:35
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 10-05 21:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +220 $2 1¢ $2 $0 09-13 15:44
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +46 $2 4¢ $2 -$1 10-08 12:49
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +80 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 09-29 19:12
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +40 $1 3¢ $1 +$1 10-26 21:58
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +90 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 09-16 18:04
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +250 -$11 0¢ $1 +$12 09-08 15:49
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? No +38 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-25 11:54
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +20 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 09-03 09:44
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +200 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-08 21:42
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 Yes +30 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-04 16:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-15 01:20
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +160 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-12 23:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-21 12:15