Realized P&L
+$7.02K
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved
330
Trades
1,913
lifetime
Volume
$189.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$3.99K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 11-01 06:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Politics
64% 72% +$6,872
Other
28% 66% +$156
Tech
6% 77% +$206
Sports
1% 33% -$240
Crypto
1% 65% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -968 -$1,019 97¢ $-940 +$78 07-01 22:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,176 $766 55¢ $647 -$119 10-18 20:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +1,480 $701 38¢ $555 -$146 10-24 13:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +560 $458 84¢ $468 +$9 10-31 14:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +424 $279 68¢ $290 +$11 10-28 13:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +209 $141 100¢ $209 +$68 10-17 09:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +253 $63 64¢ $161 +$98 10-29 13:04
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +229 $171 68¢ $157 -$14 10-28 13:01
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +190 $138 80¢ $151 +$13 08-22 17:57
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +200 $104 74¢ $147 +$43 08-20 20:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$1 10-31 13:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +52 $32 82¢ $43 +$11 09-07 09:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +130 $43 30¢ $38 -$5 10-31 11:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +544 $21 6¢ $34 +$13 07-26 06:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +20 $12 92¢ $18 +$6 07-17 04:23
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +681 $70 2¢ $15 -$55 10-03 07:42
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +10 -$25 94¢ $9 +$34 10-01 20:19
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $25 5¢ $5 -$20 10-03 09:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +20 $7 26¢ $5 -$2 10-10 08:46
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +50 $4 5¢ $2 -$1 07-27 20:59
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 09-23 14:21