Pessimistic-Ski-Texture 0xcfdcea…f85a2e
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.26K
Unrealized P&L
-$322
Hit rate
47.2%
Resolved
642
Trades
3,279
lifetime
Volume
$135.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$5.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 09-30 07:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Politics
52% 51% -$1,077
Other
34% 51% -$438
Crypto
11% 45% -$111
Sports
4% 70% +$368
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -584 -$530 96¢ $-563 -$33 05-19 20:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 -$470 96¢ $-479 -$9 08-18 04:45
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$452 95¢ $-476 -$24 05-12 21:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -500 -$425 94¢ $-472 -$47 05-02 11:19
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -378 -$363 98¢ $-369 -$6 08-21 13:08
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -379 -$299 93¢ $-352 -$53 09-30 07:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -279 -$262 97¢ $-270 -$8 08-21 13:06
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +332 $259 80¢ $267 +$8 09-25 14:09
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -260 -$247 96¢ $-250 -$3 08-21 13:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,080 -$78 18¢ $-195 -$117 09-29 22:12
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo No -200 -$162 96¢ $-192 -$30 05-10 02:32
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -198 -$191 95¢ $-188 +$3 08-10 08:12
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -200 -$179 94¢ $-188 -$9 05-31 05:28
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -180 -$170 95¢ $-171 -$1 09-30 07:40
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -179 -$164 94¢ $-167 -$3 09-30 07:40
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -150 -$122 94¢ $-142 -$20 05-26 12:48
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -150 -$135 94¢ $-140 -$5 08-28 08:06
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 No -100 -$86 97¢ $-97 -$11 08-01 14:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -100 -$80 81¢ $-81 -$1 07-24 02:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -80 -$77 98¢ $-78 -$1 08-11 09:41
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -80 -$82 98¢ $-78 +$4 08-10 17:29
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,580 $18 2¢ $39 +$21 09-12 11:57
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $50 12¢ $34 -$15 05-18 16:20
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +36 $28 94¢ $34 +$6 09-06 14:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -290 -$41 10¢ $-29 +$12 07-27 13:28
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +23 $14 94¢ $22 +$8 08-21 13:09
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +22 $21 97¢ $21 +$0 08-27 11:20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +110 $22 19¢ $21 -$1 07-27 13:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +20 $7 99¢ $20 +$13 09-12 07:10
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 07-27 09:59