Pessimistic-Ski-Texture 0xcfdcea…f85a2e
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$184
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
16
Trades
1,606
lifetime
Volume
$66.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$2.94K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-01 11:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
62% 44% +$120
Other
28% 60% +$81
Crypto
8% 50% $-17
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +737 $599 80¢ $593 $-6 06-19 06:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -511 $-367 99¢ $-508 $-141 06-15 09:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $460 44¢ $440 $-20 06-24 03:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,000 $-480 30¢ $-305 +$175 05-31 13:02
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +300 $243 83¢ $249 +$6 06-30 08:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -200 $-142 74¢ $-149 $-7 06-29 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +210 $238 70¢ $146 $-93 06-28 07:51
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No +100 $94 94¢ $94 +$0 06-15 11:10
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -83 $-74 87¢ $-72 +$2 05-31 05:28
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -201 $-60 28¢ $-56 +$4 06-08 09:36
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +100 $37 54¢ $54 +$16 06-29 20:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +58 $61 86¢ $50 $-11 06-16 13:31
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +100 $38 40¢ $40 +$2 06-29 20:18
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +100 $41 38¢ $38 $-3 06-17 17:56
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +39 $37 95¢ $37 +$0 06-30 08:37
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +30 $27 90¢ $27 +$0 06-29 22:56
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +30 $25 89¢ $27 +$1 06-08 09:33
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -15 $-14 95¢ $-14 +$0 06-18 06:52
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +20 $13 68¢ $14 +$0 07-01 09:17
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +20 $11 54¢ $11 $-0 07-01 07:30
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +25 $6 24¢ $6 $-0 07-01 08:59
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 83¢ $6 +$0 07-01 09:20
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 07-01 07:18