Visible-Hedgehog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.77K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.09K

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

405

Trades

1,527

lifetime

Volume

$74.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$3.82K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-26 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Politics

49% 57% +$1,679

Other

36% 39% +$1,830

Crypto

14% 80% -$50

Sports

0% 25% +$310

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	+1,446	$1,172	98¢	$1.4K	+$249	09-29 22:16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+1,297	$607	59¢	$765	+$158	10-26 22:13
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,000	$50	44¢	$436	+$386	06-04 15:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+800	$204	47¢	$376	+$172	10-26 16:50
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	+1,320	$191	18¢	$244	+$53	10-08 22:43
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+4,500	$216	5¢	$225	+$9	09-02 17:13
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	+221	$118	81¢	$179	+$61	10-26 08:29
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	+188	-$24	42¢	$80	+$104	10-26 12:07
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3,568	-$134	2¢	$71	+$206	10-26 10:59
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-736	$218	1¢	$-5	-$223	07-07 18:12
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+21	-$7	19¢	$4	+$11	10-23 06:55
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	+220	$35	2¢	$4	-$32	10-02 13:36
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+1,084	$67	0¢	$3	-$64	09-05 17:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+12	$1	8¢	$1	+$0	10-22 19:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1	$1	92¢	$1	$0	10-22 19:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	42	$10.5K	11,508	10,708	+800	open	—	10-26 16:50
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?	52	$5.9K	4,321	4,098	+223	Yes	+$606	07-14 04:10
netanyahu out by march 31 854	20	$3.9K	3,164	969	+2,195	No	+$220	03-14 13:55
Netanyahu out by June 30?	24	$3.6K	1,000	2,670	-1,670	No	-$12	06-10 15:29
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	14	$2.4K	1,650	1,350	+300	No	+$270	06-23 13:42
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	5	$2.1K	1,118	1,118	+0	No	+$129	09-22 18:32
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	21	$1.9K	2,364	1,404	+960	No	+$131	05-15 13:23
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	23	$1.9K	1,046	1,046	+0	No	+$144	06-25 16:47
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	16	$1.8K	1,517	1,275	+242	open	—	10-26 08:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	13	$1.6K	846	846	+0	Yes	+$84	03-03 15:00
will trump say n word in february	22	$1.5K	1,191	400	+791	No	+$67	02-28 21:03
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?	5	$1.4K	1,866	784	+1,082	No	-$104	10-13 14:29
Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	7	$1.2K	1,987	34	+1,953	Yes	+$757	09-23 14:35
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	11	$1.2K	710	710	+0	open	—	10-05 07:50
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	14	$1.2K	1,446	0	+1,446	open	—	09-29 22:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$77	09-08 15:31
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	16	$1.0K	1,119	0	+1,119	No	+$77	04-22 12:39
will trump say n word in march	15	$1.0K	575	575	+0	No	+$23	03-14 21:24
israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	10	$829	826	283	+543	No	-$414	10-01 16:45
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	4	$818	730	730	+0	open	—	10-19 18:16
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	5	$767	2,520	1,200	+1,320	open	—	10-08 22:43
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	3	$647	1,209	50	+1,159	open	—	10-25 10:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$626	1,312	15	+1,297	open	—	10-26 22:13
israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	3	$612	768	0	+768	No	+$156	06-04 17:30
Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	4	$531	572	105	+466	open	—	10-26 22:18
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	14	$506	13,568	10,000	+3,568	open	—	10-26 10:59
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	74	$482	1,504	1,504	+0	No	-$65	07-12 14:09
Will Otzma win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	11	$466	256	256	+0	open	—	10-09 12:52
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	10	$462	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	10-23 06:55
Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?	9	$458	843	400	+443	No	+$697	08-28 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:18:36	Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	105	80¢	$84	0xde89b2…
10-26 22:13:15	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x7c9528…
10-26 18:07:26	Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x6d684b…
10-26 16:50:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	800	44¢	$353	0xb0e7fa…
10-26 13:04:24	Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?	Yes	SELL	72	49¢	$35	0xeaf6e4…
10-26 12:07:50	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x7ace4d…
10-26 10:59:12	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	165	1¢	$2	0xdcd118…
10-26 10:58:59	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	246	1¢	$2	0x2d202a…
10-26 10:55:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	166	1¢	$2	0x93c0c0…
10-26 10:55:03	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0ee905…
10-26 10:54:50	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x847e45…
10-26 10:54:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	252	1¢	$3	0x6da8b5…
10-26 10:54:14	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0xcbc10d…
10-26 10:53:51	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	191	1¢	$2	0x55ae03…
10-26 10:53:41	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x496a22…
10-26 09:19:03	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	47¢	$38	0x10c50d…
10-26 08:29:36	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	250	80¢	$200	0xb07ba3…
10-25 23:33:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,600	50¢	$792	0x607fa6…
10-25 19:27:08	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0x6268b9…
10-25 12:35:33	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	203	1¢	$2	0xfbf0f6…
10-25 12:27:21	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	576	1¢	$6	0xe31e49…
10-25 12:27:03	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,102	1¢	$11	0xc320ce…
10-25 10:19:53	Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xe258ed…
10-25 07:56:14	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	175	55¢	$96	0x10bd90…
10-24 21:29:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0xe62883…
10-24 19:33:24	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	134	4¢	$5	0xe1d71b…
10-24 19:33:24	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0xd6b3bd…
10-24 19:33:24	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xd0fec9…
10-24 19:33:24	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6e0238…
10-24 19:33:24	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5e3cff…
10-24 19:33:24	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x58ab5a…
10-24 19:33:24	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x46269d…
10-24 19:33:24	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x3a8b08…
10-24 17:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x59883b…
10-24 16:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xfe4451…
10-24 16:35:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x5411b4…
10-24 15:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0x731df0…
10-24 15:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xd76cb2…
10-24 15:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x9c3621…
10-23 20:56:23	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	400	70¢	$280	0x135ae7…
10-23 13:28:05	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	450	74¢	$333	0x1f5db7…
10-23 13:20:24	Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Speaker of the Knesset?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x8ea51b…
10-23 09:28:18	Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Speaker of the Knesset?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x94de16…
10-23 09:26:54	Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Speaker of the Knesset?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe7bfcb…
10-23 06:55:32	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	575	19¢	$109	0x8d6f80…
10-23 06:55:32	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	234	19¢	$44	0x0efe57…
10-23 06:55:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	112	19¢	$21	0xfff0d3…
10-22 19:33:21	Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x9d0f64…
10-22 19:33:08	Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x92e4b0…
10-22 19:22:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe615cd…
10-22 19:19:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd13a34…
10-21 23:30:36	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	450	18¢	$81	0xf45247…
10-21 23:29:38	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	434	28¢	$121	0xa30aec…
10-21 13:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x2b29d2…
10-21 06:58:02	Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0x87a1e6…
10-20 21:21:20	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	88	17¢	$15	0x21c523…
10-20 21:13:38	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	106	17¢	$18	0xe37fc4…
10-20 20:38:41	Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$43	0xce3e0d…
10-20 08:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x2f9842…
10-19 19:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x1fa719…
10-19 19:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x4ce04b…
10-19 19:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xf5e2b4…
10-19 18:16:21	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	430	74¢	$318	0x518570…
10-19 17:34:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,453	50¢	$1,214	0x4508ba…
10-19 17:24:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	188	50¢	$93	0x36d41b…
10-19 17:21:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	187	49¢	$93	0xd5f6fa…
10-19 17:20:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc0346e…
10-19 17:10:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$99	0x7383d6…
10-19 17:00:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x685653…
10-19 16:58:15	Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf3da92…
10-19 16:51:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x94c880…
10-19 16:36:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	91	50¢	$45	0x0ddb4b…
10-19 16:21:41	Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0xac0894…
10-19 14:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc229cf…
10-19 14:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xa48fcd…
10-19 14:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x44715e…
10-19 14:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x82d143…
10-19 14:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x79fc6f…
10-19 13:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x34eb1b…
10-19 13:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xa3ddda…
10-19 13:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x271178…
10-19 13:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x018bcc…
10-19 13:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x2473b5…
10-19 13:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xf4e0f1…
10-19 13:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xb81a3e…
10-19 13:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x615365…
10-19 12:55:39	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10,000	3¢	$320	0xff187a…
10-19 12:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xf58c1d…
10-19 12:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x1df469…
10-19 12:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x2812c3…
10-19 12:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x53542d…
10-19 12:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x19a8dd…
10-19 12:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x320f95…
10-19 12:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x775c4b…
10-19 12:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x5c5166…
10-18 22:16:33	Will Michael Malchieli be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x90bfcb…
10-18 20:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xcf9a28…
10-18 18:26:05	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x8f4505…
10-18 15:32:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,292	53¢	$685	0xe3a1bd…
10-18 15:30:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x8c9f97…