Narrow-Clipper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$958

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

200

Trades

3,001

lifetime

Volume

$30.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

19 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 10-24 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

64% 37% -$635

Politics

36% 49% -$324

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+1	-$6	97¢	$1	+$7	09-04 10:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	09-04 10:32
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No		+1	$1	76¢	$1	-$1	09-15 21:48
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No		+1	$0	92¢	$1	+$0	09-15 21:50
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes		+1	$3	46¢	$0	-$3	09-15 21:48
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes		+0	$13	50¢	$0	-$12	09-15 21:48
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+0	-$13	100¢	$0	+$13	09-15 21:48
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No		+1	$3	23¢	$0	-$3	09-15 21:48
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No		+0	$4	52¢	$0	-$4	09-15 21:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	-$5	47¢	$0	+$5	09-15 21:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	$4	34¢	$0	-$4	09-15 21:50
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	09-15 21:48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	$3	4¢	$0	-$3	09-15 21:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No		+0	$0	30¢	$0	$0	09-15 21:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+1	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	09-15 21:50
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+1	$7	2¢	$0	-$7	09-15 21:48
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	-$1	4¢	$0	+$1	09-15 21:51
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-01 20:49
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	—	+0	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	08-31 15:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	183	$3.0K	2,925	2,925	+1	Yes	-$168	09-15 21:48
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	93	$2.5K	2,393	2,392	+0	Yes	+$164	09-15 21:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	66	$2.5K	2,515	2,514	+1	No	-$206	09-15 21:48
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	52	$1.7K	1,528	1,528	+0	Yes	+$78	09-15 21:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	62	$1.5K	1,923	1,922	+0	Yes	+$179	09-15 21:48
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	346	$1.1K	67,691	67,691	+0	open	—	08-26 20:38
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	129	$1.0K	522	522	+0	No	-$11	09-15 21:50
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	265	$991	136,041	136,041	+0	open	—	08-15 22:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	19	$924	903	212	+691	No	+$90	07-29 14:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	50	$918	5,185	5,185	+0	No	-$17	08-28 11:23
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	17	$852	1,722	1,722	+0	open	—	09-15 21:48
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	33	$819	961	961	+0	No	+$62	09-15 21:48
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$617	310	310	+0	open	—	08-26 20:38
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	32	$585	686	686	+1	No	-$72	09-15 21:48
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	31	$565	633	633	+0	Yes	+$34	09-15 21:48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	7	$488	1,545	1,545	+0	open	—	07-22 09:24
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	20	$479	8,880	8,880	+0	No	-$154	09-15 21:48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	6	$435	252	252	+0	open	—	07-28 21:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	9	$386	280	280	+0	Yes	+$12	08-26 20:38
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	9	$385	1,697	577	+1,121	Yes	-$207	07-26 22:24
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	11	$369	2,534	2,534	+0	Yes	-$69	07-21 18:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	7	$365	228	228	+0	open	—	07-22 09:25
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	43	$350	508	508	+0	open	—	09-15 21:48
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	21	$312	1,096	781	+316	No	-$43	07-28 04:37
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	7	$305	3,536	3,536	+0	Yes	-$190	07-26 10:31
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	38	$281	257	257	+0	No	-$12	07-27 01:30
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	23	$274	6,682	6,681	+1	No	-$105	09-15 21:50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$274	308	308	+0	open	—	07-26 23:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	17	$252	491	491	+0	No	+$16	09-15 21:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	12	$224	428	165	+263	Yes	+$53	07-28 22:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 21:13:02	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x9b14d5…
09-15 21:51:58	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xf3e846…
09-15 21:51:58	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xdafafd…
09-15 21:51:58	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x79d763…
09-15 21:51:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xfab5d0…
09-15 21:51:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xa17e7a…
09-15 21:51:55	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x9de22d…
09-15 21:51:55	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x9cebd6…
09-15 21:51:55	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x79f253…
09-15 21:51:55	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x63b0d2…
09-15 21:51:55	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x17d2f8…
09-15 21:51:54	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf6e740…
09-15 21:51:54	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x7f8786…
09-15 21:51:54	Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x126ede…
09-15 21:51:52	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xd5d5ea…
09-15 21:51:52	Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x2e2f2d…
09-15 21:51:52	Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0x2b32b8…
09-15 21:51:51	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x939d28…
09-15 21:51:51	Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x85c013…
09-15 21:51:51	Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x336c07…
09-15 21:51:51	Will the Green Party (MP) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1cf473…
09-15 21:51:49	Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc4b86d…
09-15 21:51:49	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x9c6b89…
09-15 21:51:49	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	56	5¢	$3	0x5bc7cb…
09-15 21:51:48	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	49	9¢	$4	0xe1784b…
09-15 21:50:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	57	29¢	$17	0xc38411…
09-15 21:50:13	Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xad6791…
09-15 21:50:12	Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xdfb60b…
09-15 21:50:12	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0x122ede…
09-15 21:50:12	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x086977…
09-15 21:50:10	Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe30bfa…
09-15 21:50:10	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0xcdba96…
09-15 21:50:10	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x6dddff…
09-15 21:50:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x1aa4a3…
09-15 21:50:09	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x35bb73…
09-15 21:50:09	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$3	0x324262…
09-15 21:50:07	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x9e9f4a…
09-15 21:50:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x67fba5…
09-15 21:50:07	Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x41823a…
09-15 21:50:07	Will the Left Party (V) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x287d78…
09-15 21:50:07	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	527	0¢	$1	0x10bdf4…
09-15 21:50:06	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb28910…
09-15 21:50:06	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win at least 33% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa8a8f5…
09-15 21:50:06	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x67c7a2…
09-15 21:50:04	Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x35faeb…
09-15 21:50:04	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	245	0¢	$0	0x122dbe…
09-15 21:48:22	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x8593f7…
09-15 21:48:22	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	169	0¢	$1	0x4b505c…
09-15 21:48:21	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0xd439b9…
09-15 21:48:21	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x77b280…
09-15 21:48:21	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x553df3…
09-15 21:48:21	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x172213…
09-15 21:48:19	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	17	80¢	$14	0xafb1a2…
09-15 21:48:19	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0xa2379b…
09-15 21:48:19	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x7c76a5…
09-15 21:48:18	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0xa98101…
09-15 21:48:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	48	53¢	$25	0xa30c5f…
09-15 21:48:18	Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x15d250…
09-15 21:48:16	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	182	3¢	$5	0xe12edb…
09-15 21:48:16	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or MP?	V	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x811695…
09-15 21:48:16	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x563bb9…
09-15 21:48:15	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	142	30¢	$43	0xab5a65…
09-15 21:48:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	148	1¢	$1	0xa15015…
09-15 21:48:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	203	1¢	$2	0x77ae21…
09-15 21:48:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	148	37¢	$55	0x657385…
09-15 21:48:15	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	81	61¢	$49	0x632744…
09-15 21:48:15	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	68	86¢	$59	0x2633e8…
09-15 21:48:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	239	87¢	$208	0xdbfa6d…
09-15 21:48:13	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	202	6¢	$12	0xc2b819…
09-15 21:48:13	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x61ddaf…
09-15 21:48:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	807	11¢	$89	0xfc78b3…
09-15 21:48:12	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	183	88¢	$161	0x23d2ac…
09-15 21:48:12	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	332	87¢	$289	0x2173ec…
09-15 21:48:12	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	353	6¢	$21	0x0f2a9e…
09-15 21:48:10	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	551	90¢	$496	0xb715b8…
09-15 21:48:09	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	398	99¢	$394	0x13c593…
09-15 20:18:46	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb88455…
09-15 17:45:04	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x80fa5a…
09-15 16:59:39	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x93c971…
09-15 16:59:36	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xdad5b2…
09-15 16:59:19	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xb57f20…
09-15 16:59:19	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x59fdbf…
09-15 16:57:57	Will Unity win 0.75-1% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xcd0830…
09-15 16:16:06	Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x091e4d…
09-15 16:12:27	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x466bb4…
09-15 16:11:45	Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x76eee4…
09-15 16:05:43	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x69cc75…
09-15 15:35:19	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0x68d992…
09-15 15:04:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	47	10¢	$5	0x0de956…
09-14 22:38:22	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xa5eac0…
09-14 22:33:19	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xb37f31…
09-14 12:02:55	Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x025890…
09-14 11:59:54	Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x36099f…
09-14 11:23:04	Will Unity win 0.75-1% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xae6378…
09-14 02:27:48	Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x97b2c0…
09-14 00:16:15	Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x34984c…
09-14 00:07:06	Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8330f3…
09-14 00:05:28	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or MP?	V	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x239af8…
09-14 00:05:04	Will the Green Party (MP) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x813324…
09-14 00:05:00	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83a5f2…