Realized P&L
-$233
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
47.6%
Resolved
357
Trades
805
lifetime
Volume
$2.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$2
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 09-19 23:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
55% 25% -$189
Crypto
28% 43% -$29
Sports
12% 28% -$11
Politics
5% 57% -$4
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +30 $5 5¢ $2 -$4 07-08 08:44
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +20 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 06-01 02:44
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 6¢ $0 $0 06-23 18:07
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 06-01 14:24
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 06-20 05:28
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-09 15:24