Barren-Mutation 0x73972a…281968
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Realized P&L
+$592
Unrealized P&L
-$143
Hit rate
48.8%
Resolved
1,672
Trades
4,176
lifetime
Volume
$26.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$153
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 00:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Other
60% 52% +$940
Politics
29% 50% -$335
Sports
6% 54% +$36
Crypto
4% 49% -$36
Pop-Culture
1% 69% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +474 $85 12¢ $59 -$26 10-16 14:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +449 $115 8¢ $34 -$81 10-28 00:16
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +20 $12 55¢ $11 -$1 10-25 18:38
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? No +10 $7 71¢ $7 $0 10-25 18:38
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $12 4¢ $7 -$5 10-25 21:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +50 $8 14¢ $7 -$2 09-19 20:23
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +182 $14 4¢ $7 -$8 10-19 23:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $6 12¢ $6 +$1 10-21 13:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5 -$3 78¢ $-4 -$1 06-09 04:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 16¢ $3 -$7 06-17 03:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -50 -$7 6¢ $-3 +$4 07-13 18:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +13 $7 18¢ $2 -$4 07-26 01:49
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +30 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 07-10 04:57
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes +30 $4 3¢ $1 -$3 06-14 13:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +20 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 10-20 21:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +4 $1 13¢ $1 $0 07-08 02:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $7 1¢ $0 -$7 06-17 16:24