Far-Off-Webinar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.77K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

10.0%

Resolved

Trades

749

lifetime

Volume

$208.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$278

Open exposure

$224

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-01 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% — —

Politics

35% 0% $-1,747

Crypto

22% 100% +$16

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No		+150	$134	96¢	$143	+$10	05-30 20:27
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No		+82	$81	99¢	$81	+$1	06-01 20:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	8	$31.7K	21,243	10,561	+10,682	open	—	03-31 19:02
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	26	$19.6K	20,392	0	+20,392	open	—	03-03 07:58
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	15	$16.5K	16,747	0	+16,747	open	—	01-30 15:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	313	$13.6K	18,482	19,936	-1,454	Yes	$-1,747	04-26 09:58
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$11.6K	11,666	0	+11,666	open	—	04-01 19:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$9.4K	9,505	0	+9,505	open	—	03-31 14:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$8.9K	9,010	9,010	+0	open	—	04-08 06:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$8.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-05 13:22
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	38	$7.0K	7,223	0	+7,223	open	—	02-15 17:35
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	19	$6.6K	4,358	2,305	+2,053	open	—	04-29 01:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$4.9K	4,906	0	+4,906	open	—	04-01 11:05
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	5	$4.7K	2,413	2,412	+0	open	—	04-28 07:49
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	11	$4.6K	2,316	2,316	+0	open	—	04-30 02:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$4.0K	2,065	2,065	+0	open	—	04-07 23:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	13	$4.0K	2,355	1,657	+698	open	—	05-30 01:43
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	11	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-29 08:45
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	18	$3.8K	4,354	0	+4,354	open	—	03-01 18:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	11	$3.1K	6,758	0	+6,758	open	—	04-07 21:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	12	$3.0K	1,493	1,493	+0	open	—	05-26 10:07
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	5	$2.9K	2,951	0	+2,951	open	—	04-30 20:06
nothing ever happens elon edition	14	$2.4K	2,407	125	+2,281	open	—	03-22 17:21
will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	2	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	03-31 07:19
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	12	$2.0K	1,003	1,003	+0	open	—	05-27 14:37
will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	16	$2.0K	2,023	2,023	+0	open	—	02-28 09:03
will the us strike 4 countries in february 2026	16	$1.6K	849	849	+0	open	—	03-03 07:57
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	3	$1.6K	820	820	+0	open	—	01-11 04:46
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	2	$1.6K	787	787	+0	open	—	04-30 23:00
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$1.5K	826	704	+121	No	+$16	04-14 19:55
over 160m committed to the ranger public sale 697 445 524 768 983	8	$1.4K	725	725	+0	open	—	01-10 15:20
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	3	$1.3K	526	800	-274	open	—	01-10 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 20:35:36	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$81	0x9992f5…
06-01 20:02:38	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x703573…
06-01 20:02:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	No	BUY	287	95¢	$272	0x28b7e9…
05-31 15:15:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	No	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0x97b71b…
05-31 10:07:44	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0x3235a1…
05-31 09:37:56	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	No	BUY	238	96¢	$229	0x131865…
05-31 02:12:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8662f5…
05-30 22:49:11	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xefb17d…
05-30 20:27:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	BUY	145	89¢	$129	0x0afa47…
05-30 19:35:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8f6354…
05-30 19:34:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x1544a4…
05-30 19:30:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xb9110d…
05-30 14:09:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeb15e7…
05-30 14:07:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xec3198…
05-30 07:13:22	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0x50f77c…
05-30 07:12:47	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x6356a7…
05-30 07:12:03	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	208	84¢	$175	0x726f87…
05-30 01:43:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	1,610	100¢	$1,609	0xcec153…
05-30 01:11:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x911059…
05-28 08:40:46	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	84¢	$83	0xbb98ca…
05-28 08:40:08	Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2f5335…
05-28 08:39:38	Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfe098d…
05-28 08:39:24	Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x4ef61f…
05-28 08:38:49	will saudi arabia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x89b949…
05-28 08:38:28	will saudi arabia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xcf656a…
05-28 08:37:36	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x04651f…
05-28 08:35:51	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xf00f31…
05-28 08:35:31	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x28d209…
05-27 14:37:19	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xbc804d…
05-27 14:32:37	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6fdd68…
05-27 14:31:05	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x0201ab…
05-27 14:27:29	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe38df5…
05-27 14:20:10	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x921f58…
05-27 14:16:17	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x084ed5…
05-27 13:51:46	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa97b16…
05-27 13:05:13	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	651	100¢	$650	0x96a435…
05-26 10:07:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x0e5480…
05-26 09:57:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x850a02…
05-26 09:48:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd10bfc…
05-26 09:35:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf73506…
05-26 09:28:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6eeed0…
05-26 09:23:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x090ac0…
05-26 09:19:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0x971b50…
05-26 09:15:38	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x639d0f…
05-26 08:58:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,092	100¢	$1,090	0x898680…
05-25 15:32:27	Centurion: Patrick Zahraj vs Giles Hussey	Giles Hussey	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x936ffc…
05-25 07:13:20	Roland Garros ATP: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xc3a1b3…
05-24 19:53:53	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x1aeafa…
05-24 13:50:04	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0xff76fe…
05-14 11:59:09	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	748	98¢	$730	0x5e0446…
05-14 11:58:29	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$988	0xca5cc8…
05-12 13:48:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	143	97¢	$139	0xedadb2…
05-11 20:02:25	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	350	97¢	$341	0x03d7ce…
05-11 17:09:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	506	98¢	$498	0x4bf02f…
05-09 17:21:36	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xfac7d4…
05-09 15:01:04	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xeb8c40…
05-09 14:13:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	227	97¢	$221	0x1c7283…
05-09 14:13:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xd9cc27…
05-09 14:12:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xaa579b…
05-09 14:12:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x9b0a63…
05-09 14:12:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xc02ce1…
05-09 14:12:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	961	97¢	$936	0x3bfa92…
05-03 15:46:22	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x554f05…
05-02 15:19:34	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	199	95¢	$189	0x31a219…
05-02 14:10:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x23abfd…
05-02 13:46:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	168	98¢	$165	0x70f910…
05-01 21:13:38	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	652	84¢	$548	0xce30d9…
05-01 21:05:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x83cad5…
05-01 21:04:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0xfff5c4…
05-01 20:58:54	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	252	79¢	$200	0x51eaec…
05-01 08:27:06	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	400	70¢	$280	0x1b6bd8…
04-30 23:00:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	787	100¢	$786	0xa5b498…
04-30 20:09:52	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x1689c1…
04-30 20:06:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x984852…
04-30 17:54:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$998	0x970b64…
04-30 08:48:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	243	98¢	$239	0xd371ab…
04-30 06:57:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,482	0x478da3…
04-30 06:55:46	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	787	100¢	$784	0xdee762…
04-30 02:55:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	330	100¢	$329	0x03ba7d…
04-30 02:54:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	1,066	100¢	$1,065	0xf7dc09…
04-30 02:53:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	670	100¢	$670	0xca69ec…
04-29 23:20:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xb77387…
04-29 22:23:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0x2cc948…
04-29 20:04:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x821ca7…
04-29 20:02:34	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x19fc4b…
04-29 10:10:04	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x76cb69…
04-29 10:07:18	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xade7b0…
04-29 08:45:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	397	100¢	$397	0x3fa98b…
04-29 07:26:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,394	99¢	$1,387	0x3c64e4…
04-29 07:21:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc96c3e…
04-29 07:12:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	590	99¢	$587	0x3866fc…
04-29 01:18:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	1,486	100¢	$1,484	0x0e0249…
04-29 01:18:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	819	100¢	$818	0x48d668…
04-28 10:11:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	922	98¢	$907	0x851033…
04-28 09:35:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0ad729…
04-28 09:33:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x875b54…
04-28 09:26:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xaa828c…
04-28 09:04:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x981428…
04-28 08:57:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x867eef…
04-28 08:43:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xfb4048…