Far-Off-Webinar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.77K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.0%

Resolved

Trades

886

lifetime

Volume

$235.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$266

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

31% 0% $-1,747

Crypto

22% 100% +$16

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	8	$31.7K	21,243	10,561	+10,682	open	—	03-31 19:02
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	26	$19.6K	20,392	0	+20,392	open	—	03-03 07:58
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	15	$16.5K	16,747	0	+16,747	open	—	01-30 15:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	313	$13.6K	18,482	19,936	-1,454	Yes	$-1,747	04-26 09:58
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$11.6K	11,666	0	+11,666	open	—	04-01 19:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$9.4K	9,505	0	+9,505	open	—	03-31 14:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$8.9K	9,010	9,010	+0	open	—	04-08 06:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$8.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-05 13:22
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	38	$7.0K	7,223	0	+7,223	open	—	02-15 17:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	9	$6.6K	6,927	0	+6,927	open	—	07-08 17:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	19	$6.6K	4,358	2,305	+2,053	open	—	04-29 01:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$4.9K	4,906	0	+4,906	open	—	04-01 11:05
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	5	$4.7K	2,413	2,412	+0	open	—	04-28 07:49
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	11	$4.6K	2,316	2,316	+0	open	—	04-30 02:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$4.0K	2,065	2,065	+0	open	—	04-07 23:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	13	$4.0K	2,355	1,657	+698	open	—	05-30 01:43
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	11	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-29 08:45
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	18	$3.8K	4,354	0	+4,354	open	—	03-01 18:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	11	$3.1K	6,758	0	+6,758	open	—	04-07 21:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	12	$3.0K	1,493	1,493	+0	open	—	05-26 10:07
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	5	$2.9K	2,951	0	+2,951	open	—	04-30 20:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$2.6K	2,006	900	+1,106	open	—	07-01 07:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	7	$2.6K	0	2,560	-2,560	open	—	06-21 20:58
nothing ever happens elon edition	14	$2.4K	2,407	125	+2,281	open	—	03-22 17:21
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	17	$2.1K	1,214	1,148	+66	open	—	06-28 09:24
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	9	$2.1K	82	1,978	-1,896	open	—	06-28 14:03
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	4	$2.0K	1,705	359	+1,346	open	—	06-29 15:17
will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	2	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	03-31 07:19
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	12	$2.0K	1,003	1,003	+0	open	—	05-27 14:37
will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	16	$2.0K	2,023	2,023	+0	open	—	02-28 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 18:15:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x30ee7d…
07-27 19:36:15	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x720db0…
07-27 19:33:04	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	188	97¢	$182	0x8e2b67…
07-11 17:25:35	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x68b8fb…
07-10 08:04:16	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x9d7b45…
07-09 22:56:55	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x178c6f…
07-08 20:26:55	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	110	78¢	$86	0x4fbfb3…
07-08 17:58:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	374	96¢	$359	0x1bef30…
07-08 13:00:34	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x12bf42…
07-02 07:58:05	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0xc6bead…
07-02 07:19:40	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xefcf85…
07-01 21:20:07	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x63d360…
07-01 20:50:25	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x8dfe47…
07-01 20:49:26	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x22a722…
07-01 20:44:26	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x307594…
07-01 20:42:35	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xa443fd…
07-01 20:42:10	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x964d31…
07-01 17:42:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1,502	96¢	$1,445	0x82ee62…
07-01 16:13:11	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x47fe62…
07-01 13:20:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x817e3c…
07-01 12:36:26	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x6bc656…
07-01 12:36:05	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa4315b…
07-01 12:14:10	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb34aaf…
07-01 10:28:23	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$145	0x3be6fd…
07-01 08:27:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	112	96¢	$107	0xac2fb7…
07-01 07:33:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,006	92¢	$1,846	0x27c5ab…
07-01 07:33:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	2,003	96¢	$1,921	0x0b8f43…
07-01 07:32:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	2,003	96¢	$1,921	0x419c38…
07-01 07:32:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	302	96¢	$290	0x84b5e3…
07-01 07:31:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	319	96¢	$305	0xe4693a…
07-01 07:31:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0x8d4cb0…
07-01 07:30:55	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xecbac3…
07-01 07:26:40	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	121	96¢	$116	0x233689…
07-01 07:26:25	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	118	96¢	$113	0xe57a0e…
07-01 07:26:11	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0x628442…
07-01 07:25:58	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb8f7c2…
07-01 07:25:43	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb16e67…
07-01 07:25:19	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x347e70…
07-01 07:25:04	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$481	0xae505a…
07-01 07:24:47	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x7bdf0b…
07-01 07:24:31	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0x41d533…
06-30 13:21:16	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0xa476d9…
06-30 13:20:17	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe2cbab…
06-30 13:19:49	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x5ff373…
06-29 21:37:28	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xfca627…
06-29 15:17:40	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xcbf79d…
06-29 13:53:26	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0x998d6e…
06-29 13:52:49	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x68bd79…
06-29 13:52:11	will qatar send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x0aedca…
06-29 13:51:41	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbd1bc1…
06-29 08:43:37	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	107	94¢	$101	0x614c3e…
06-29 08:39:46	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x82ad39…
06-29 08:33:04	will qatar send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8be468…
06-29 08:32:23	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x8f6e17…
06-29 08:30:56	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0xb57575…
06-28 14:03:56	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x7094b3…
06-28 09:41:56	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xecdddb…
06-28 09:39:50	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xfbd0ed…
06-28 09:38:41	will south korea send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xcc8d17…
06-28 09:37:55	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xea4e05…
06-28 09:30:14	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xf6def7…
06-28 09:29:38	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa1135f…
06-28 09:29:23	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb8345…
06-28 09:29:05	will bahrain send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2688ce…
06-28 09:28:29	will pakistan send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9c021e…
06-28 09:28:11	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3443ba…
06-28 09:26:56	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6aff4a…
06-28 09:26:34	will pakistan send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x08846f…
06-28 09:26:10	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x085f24…
06-28 09:25:46	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xf0acdc…
06-28 09:24:40	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x3cdcf6…
06-28 09:24:17	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0c7b32…
06-28 09:24:01	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa44f00…
06-28 09:23:44	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef62e1…
06-28 09:23:28	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd2016d…
06-28 09:23:11	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef00a7…
06-28 09:22:55	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x872dba…
06-28 09:22:40	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x25bad0…
06-28 09:22:22	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4e4a65…
06-28 09:22:07	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xff59a6…
06-28 09:21:52	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8f082c…
06-28 09:21:34	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb00105…
06-28 09:20:52	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	295	100¢	$295	0x7e067d…
06-28 09:18:13	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x7585f5…
06-28 09:16:31	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	444	97¢	$432	0x15f0a9…
06-28 09:15:58	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x213756…
06-28 09:15:11	will pakistan send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd82c06…
06-28 09:14:46	will pakistan send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x1a458c…
06-28 09:14:31	will pakistan send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x722c02…
06-28 09:14:11	will pakistan send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x53b75d…
06-28 09:13:40	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xfdd3b8…
06-25 14:26:20	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x3f414b…
06-25 14:19:19	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	490	99¢	$485	0xad4603…
06-25 14:08:23	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	709	100¢	$707	0xc64d3a…
06-21 21:21:07	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,705	99¢	$1,690	0x969f8e…
06-21 21:15:52	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	307	99¢	$303	0x88e5ce…
06-21 21:15:32	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0xa8251d…
06-21 20:58:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xb58359…
06-21 20:46:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1,333	100¢	$1,329	0x6761b6…
06-21 20:17:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x984a5f…