Cheap-Offer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

+$48

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

Trades

215

lifetime

Volume

$6.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$337

12 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-07 23:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 50% +$36

Politics

35% — —

Sports

10% 0% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	+91	$68	72¢	$66	$-2	06-07 23:35
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	+50	$32	94¢	$47	+$15	05-28 05:05
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	-50	$-46	92¢	$-46	+$0	06-02 06:11
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+50	$40	88¢	$44	+$4	05-30 22:40
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	+50	$18	75¢	$38	+$20	06-04 01:46
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	+38	$32	98¢	$37	+$5	06-01 01:11
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+50	$18	43¢	$22	+$3	05-31 20:40
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	-28	$-21	70¢	$-20	+$1	05-30 23:40
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	-14	$-12	86¢	$-12	$-0	06-04 21:40
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	-4	$-4	62¢	$-2	+$1	06-04 08:23
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	-3	$-2	78¢	$-2	+$0	05-30 00:49
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	-11	$-2	18¢	$-2	+$0	06-04 17:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	23	$1.7K	1,868	800	+1,068	open	—	05-25 14:56
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	25	$1.0K	1,398	203	+1,196	open	—	04-28 08:35
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?	3	$909	988	0	+988	open	—	04-27 08:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	27	$523	1,127	213	+914	open	—	05-22 13:14
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	16	$507	617	904	-287	open	—	05-06 20:41
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	10	$331	306	48	+258	open	—	05-21 11:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$225	225	0	+225	open	—	05-22 21:22
highest temperature in paris on april 22 2026 21corhigher	1	$210	210	0	+210	open	—	04-22 17:55
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	3	$156	160	0	+160	open	—	05-16 04:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	12	$155	859	0	+859	open	—	05-25 14:20
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-16 04:32
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 26c	1	$106	106	0	+106	open	—	04-08 18:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$104	104	0	+104	open	—	05-22 21:15
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 18c	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	04-19 20:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	5	$78	150	100	+50	open	—	05-20 06:02
highest temperature in paris on april 7 2026 28corhigher	2	$76	76	0	+76	open	—	04-07 17:44
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	5	$68	91	0	+91	open	—	06-07 23:35
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	3	$64	100	0	+100	No	+$36	04-27 17:44
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$46	0	50	-50	open	—	06-02 06:11
Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?	6	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	05-20 01:39
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	05-30 22:40
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 25c	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-17 14:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	14	$32	171	171	+0	open	—	05-22 20:49
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	05-28 05:05
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?	3	$32	38	0	+38	open	—	06-01 01:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	2	$24	42	42	+0	open	—	05-20 06:03
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 19c	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-07 21:45
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$21	0	28	-28	open	—	05-30 23:40
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$18	50	0	+50	open	—	05-31 20:40
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$18	50	0	+50	open	—	06-04 01:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 23:35:55	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xd8b79d…
06-07 23:35:52	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x65d1e2…
06-07 23:35:45	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x031c9a…
06-07 23:35:15	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6598dc…
06-07 23:30:22	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$16	0x746968…
06-05 22:09:18	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xd6ee36…
06-04 21:40:48	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xb9a83f…
06-04 17:25:42	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x8841bd…
06-04 08:23:39	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xbad8d7…
06-04 01:46:10	Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xd09d6c…
06-03 11:09:48	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xe218e2…
06-02 06:11:21	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x031caf…
06-01 01:11:25	Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x5c263d…
05-31 21:04:22	Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xdceb79…
05-31 20:40:29	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x274158…
05-31 18:17:57	Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x95fba2…
05-31 09:55:21	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe9165f…
05-31 09:54:07	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd1e965…
05-30 23:40:48	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x37dfa9…
05-30 22:40:33	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x12c160…
05-30 00:49:13	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x7e1479…
05-29 02:51:01	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xcdbb5d…
05-28 13:56:09	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x9f7e99…
05-28 13:09:55	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xe6ff71…
05-28 05:05:45	Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x03e865…
05-25 14:56:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	64¢	$81	0x8559b6…
05-25 14:56:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd40d64…
05-25 14:54:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa22345…
05-25 14:54:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x774799…
05-25 14:53:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe71e64…
05-25 14:53:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x7ba413…
05-25 14:52:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x8affb8…
05-25 14:24:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	237	69¢	$164	0x4617b9…
05-25 14:20:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x44c641…
05-25 14:20:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x263f80…
05-25 14:15:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0xbd9de7…
05-25 13:49:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	231	70¢	$162	0xb7ffe8…
05-25 13:48:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x1d6803…
05-25 13:48:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa9ee0f…
05-25 13:48:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x48409e…
05-25 13:48:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0x277909…
05-25 13:48:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	109	19¢	$21	0x3aad20…
05-25 13:29:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xe5db10…
05-25 13:28:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x5cd641…
05-25 13:22:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	81	19¢	$16	0xbb31f6…
05-25 13:09:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x2dacc4…
05-25 12:57:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xc36642…
05-24 22:09:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	148	74¢	$109	0x89462c…
05-24 22:09:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xf00c7e…
05-24 22:09:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0x767ed6…
05-24 18:17:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	74¢	$42	0xf0ccf9…
05-24 18:17:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	129	74¢	$96	0x4fc73c…
05-24 18:17:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x3b80b8…
05-24 15:37:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0xa13cee…
05-24 14:30:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xc59951…
05-24 14:14:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$141	0xcfad96…
05-24 14:11:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x238f30…
05-24 13:57:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x69e937…
05-24 12:19:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x65f89b…
05-24 12:07:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x7f3685…
05-22 21:22:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x332500…
05-22 21:15:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x429a3a…
05-22 20:49:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0xd3d46f…
05-22 16:14:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x5d4746…
05-22 13:14:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x5ba8f9…
05-22 13:13:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xd0bed2…
05-22 12:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xfb32bf…
05-22 12:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xddf2e5…
05-22 12:19:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x059a7b…
05-22 12:19:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x762713…
05-22 11:48:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	29¢	$20	0xf50316…
05-22 11:34:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x469f00…
05-22 11:34:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x642d54…
05-22 11:31:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x0e424d…
05-22 10:12:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xa5210e…
05-22 10:12:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x848423…
05-22 09:11:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x02e77c…
05-22 01:52:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	30¢	$63	0xbb1f6a…
05-22 01:51:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	29¢	$46	0x66dda4…
05-22 01:39:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x71d2c6…
05-22 00:32:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xece73f…
05-22 00:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xab3d21…
05-22 00:10:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x2488a6…
05-22 00:09:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x4c162d…
05-21 22:44:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	42¢	$63	0x483b30…
05-21 22:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9e5863…
05-21 22:17:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x2a8596…
05-21 21:19:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0xa693fb…
05-21 20:34:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe01fef…
05-21 18:55:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x9257ee…
05-21 18:15:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x275bf9…
05-21 18:13:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0xad4ea6…
05-21 17:51:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x0040ce…
05-21 17:40:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x595782…
05-21 17:21:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x60209d…
05-21 11:10:44	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x1de468…
05-21 05:59:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0x222706…
05-21 03:12:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x72548b…
05-21 03:10:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x5f5c7a…
05-21 02:58:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xe234ff…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	24	$59.4K	5,749	06-07 03:56
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	24	$7.05K	771	06-01 02:10
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	23	$72.3K	1,407	06-10 00:03
Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367	19	$22.4K	1,603	06-10 01:27
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	19	$8.67K	1,436	04-26 00:58
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	19	$3.10K	221	06-04 01:46
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	18	$1.43K	253	06-06 14:30
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	17	$2.21K	698	04-28 08:41