Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.80K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

208

Trades

4,671

lifetime

Volume

$40.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 09-27 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

40% 55% -$1,383

Politics

32% 47% -$2,707

Tech

27% 46% +$1,541

Sports

2% 44% -$248

Pop-Culture

0% 25% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?	546	$4.2K	2,579	2,356	+223	Yes	+$72	08-24 18:45
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	8	$3.1K	2,226	2,226	+0	Yes	+$1,339	07-03 10:53
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	6	$2.3K	1,740	1,304	+436	Yes	-$136	06-30 22:51
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	5	$2.3K	1,575	1,457	+118	Yes	+$248	06-30 22:48
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	3	$2.2K	2,508	2,508	+0	No	-$2,036	07-07 19:50
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	6	$1.9K	1,091	1,091	+0	No	+$140	06-26 09:13
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	315	$1.6K	790	787	+3	Yes	-$13	08-21 21:32
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	19	$1.4K	1,350	1,346	+4	No	-$691	08-01 09:53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	130	$1.4K	898	602	+296	No	+$20	08-26 11:51
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,686	1,686	+0	Yes	-$1,355	07-07 11:58
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	20	$1.1K	1,671	128	+1,543	No	+$550	06-22 15:37
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	71	$1.1K	564	564	+0	No	+$46	07-29 15:36
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	161	$1.0K	816	816	+0	No	+$0	08-20 23:32
Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	15	$928	470	465	+5	Yes	+$2	08-25 16:28
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	4	$788	760	46	+715	No	+$17	09-02 11:53
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	106	$766	523	523	+0	No	-$1	08-21 21:58
will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	270	$754	626	606	+20	Yes	+$38	08-21 21:32
will claude be restored for international customers by september 30 20260629151305733	1	$636	678	0	+678	Yes	+$42	06-30 23:58
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	196	$625	316	316	+0	No	-$6	08-21 12:59
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	113	$593	302	297	+5	Yes	-$3	08-21 10:55
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	12	$551	1,576	13	+1,563	No	-$536	07-16 09:49
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	132	$484	458	439	+19	No	+$5	09-22 03:31
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	88	$441	464	409	+55	No	+$6	09-27 02:16
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?	2	$408	438	0	+438	No	+$30	09-09 12:47
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	35	$363	878	878	+0	No	+$18	08-02 12:29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$345	368	0	+368	Yes	+$23	06-11 18:03
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	4	$319	181	138	+43	No	+$0	08-25 16:22
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	26	$315	160	160	+0	No	+$0	08-17 10:35
moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260818	33	$312	310	3	+307	Yes	$0	08-21 21:32
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	167	$277	269	265	+4	No	-$41	08-04 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 02:16:32	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x3b804c…
09-27 00:05:30	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8ecf21…
09-27 00:05:30	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x164d18…
09-27 00:05:23	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x9dbbd0…
09-27 00:05:23	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x395d58…
09-27 00:05:21	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xdd47f5…
09-27 00:05:21	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xa7eac3…
09-27 00:05:21	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x87287e…
09-26 23:59:15	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xf3ad1d…
09-26 23:59:15	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xe540a3…
09-26 23:59:15	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x42adf3…
09-26 23:48:51	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x2fa94c…
09-26 23:36:56	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xef0aa6…
09-26 23:36:56	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0xdd46df…
09-26 23:36:56	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xcb9cd1…
09-26 23:36:56	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x9ba2f4…
09-26 23:36:56	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x8f74f0…
09-26 23:36:56	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x86a106…
09-26 23:36:56	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x5c0605…
09-26 22:25:59	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x11f4da…
09-26 21:58:11	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xfc5746…
09-26 21:33:56	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x945f9a…
09-26 20:58:39	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x8de7c6…
09-26 20:54:35	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xfc357b…
09-26 20:54:35	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xea145d…
09-26 20:54:27	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xebfe80…
09-26 20:54:27	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x88bfb4…
09-26 20:54:26	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xf4c293…
09-26 20:54:26	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xcbabd6…
09-26 20:54:26	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xba96d4…
09-26 20:54:26	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$3	0xa45b63…
09-26 20:53:56	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xeae599…
09-26 20:53:56	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe61244…
09-26 20:53:56	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x8f0bc7…
09-26 20:53:56	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x71999a…
09-26 20:53:56	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x1c5897…
09-26 20:53:47	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x10518a…
09-26 20:53:45	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf88424…
09-26 20:53:45	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xf8449f…
09-26 20:53:45	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xb1e3f0…
09-26 20:53:45	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xa7a23f…
09-26 20:53:45	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x6f0e85…
09-26 20:53:27	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x8f9640…
09-26 17:00:56	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xe9971e…
09-26 17:00:56	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2b86ab…
09-26 16:59:32	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xef1144…
09-26 16:02:47	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x1a52e7…
09-26 15:45:18	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x5a3695…
09-26 15:36:41	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc8de45…
09-26 14:50:09	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x56f2d9…
09-26 14:49:42	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x2968d9…
09-26 14:46:35	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x42dcb2…
09-26 14:46:35	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x30356b…
09-26 14:46:35	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x28bfed…
09-26 08:42:50	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x27eaa0…
09-26 08:42:42	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xec7052…
09-26 08:42:41	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xf7d713…
09-26 08:42:41	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0xbe8dce…
09-26 08:42:41	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa48fd9…
09-26 08:42:41	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x8d01ea…
09-26 08:42:41	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x782358…
09-26 08:29:23	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf345e1…
09-26 08:29:23	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0xc99294…
09-26 08:29:23	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc6669b…
09-26 08:29:23	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x5af945…
09-26 08:29:23	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x3af8dc…
09-26 08:29:23	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0c1f90…
09-26 08:29:21	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x164ceb…
09-26 08:29:21	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x134a80…
09-26 07:50:20	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8bc420…
09-26 06:16:56	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x2c049c…
09-26 05:58:06	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9f65c6…
09-26 05:48:02	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x509d6c…
09-26 05:37:41	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0x8bd88d…
09-26 05:37:23	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0xda7905…
09-26 05:37:02	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	79	7¢	$6	0x0d30b1…
09-26 05:25:17	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x06d751…
09-26 05:00:32	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xcc4c88…
09-26 04:52:42	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xa372a9…
09-26 04:52:42	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x1e8684…
09-26 04:52:39	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xc90004…
09-26 03:46:45	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd26191…
09-26 03:46:45	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x903e5c…
09-26 03:46:29	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0x8a53b4…
09-26 03:46:11	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x684eb9…
09-26 03:42:48	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x63d209…
09-26 03:42:48	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5931cf…
09-26 03:42:48	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x49861b…
09-26 03:42:48	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3a8159…
09-26 03:02:29	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x1bcfbc…
09-26 03:02:21	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xaadddc…
09-26 03:02:21	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x11ccfb…
09-26 03:02:09	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa9ee5e…
09-26 03:02:02	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x8ab10e…
09-26 03:02:02	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x820d11…
09-26 03:02:02	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x3db830…
09-26 03:02:02	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x2eede7…
09-26 03:02:02	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x01a67a…
09-26 03:01:50	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xdeb3a2…
09-26 02:54:32	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe6c9c5…