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whale cold
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.17K
Hit rate
89.0%
Resolved (30d)
31
Trades (30d)
1,323
10,094 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$644.5K
$2.82M lifetime
Avg / trade
$280
Open exposure
$213.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 11:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
53% 82% -$450
Other
46% 85% -$3,981
Crypto
1% 100% +$294
Tech
1% 0% -$23
Sports
0% 100% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +28,646 $26,465 98¢ $28.1K +$1,594 11-05 16:14
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +21,085 $19,503 93¢ $19.6K +$53 11-07 11:42
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +18,119 $16,978 98¢ $17.7K +$705 11-05 17:22
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +16,387 $14,723 97¢ $15.9K +$1,164 11-07 04:16
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -10,000 -$9,742 99¢ $-9890 -$148 10-12 08:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No -8,172 -$7,836 97¢ $-7923 -$87 11-03 18:39
Trump impeached and removed before 2028? No +9,623 $6,855 82¢ $7.9K +$1,011 11-06 02:42
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? No +7,443 $7,242 100¢ $7.4K +$171 11-06 08:41
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +7,290 $6,804 96¢ $7.0K +$209 10-25 22:03
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +7,981 $6,499 85¢ $6.8K +$297 11-06 14:12
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -6,693 -$6,279 98¢ $-6593 -$314 10-29 14:18
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +6,687 $5,811 98¢ $6.6K +$753 10-30 22:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6,532 $5,712 97¢ $6.3K +$608 11-06 17:02
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -6,361 -$4,871 97¢ $-6151 -$1,280 11-06 10:46
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +6,235 $5,818 98¢ $6.1K +$310 11-05 16:22
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +5,850 $5,470 98¢ $5.7K +$252 11-04 09:46
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +5,918 $5,260 96¢ $5.7K +$421 10-29 15:02
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? No +5,734 $5,451 98¢ $5.6K +$154 11-05 04:32
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,896 -$4,946 98¢ $-3832 +$1,114 10-05 19:42
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,279 $3,721 90¢ $3.8K +$109 11-05 21:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,697 $3,512 90¢ $3.3K -$204 10-25 09:40
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -3,340 -$3,829 98¢ $-3280 +$550 11-04 20:33
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? No +3,257 $3,149 98¢ $3.2K +$53 11-05 04:39
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +3,388 $2,451 90¢ $3.1K +$615 11-06 23:11
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -3,072 -$2,946 99¢ $-3028 -$82 10-29 14:16
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -3,018 -$2,836 98¢ $-2944 -$107 06-05 05:48
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,474 $2,927 84¢ $2.9K +$9 10-27 19:49
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +2,889 $1,647 97¢ $2.8K +$1,152 11-01 11:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? No +3,256 $2,692 80¢ $2.6K -$103 10-29 11:49
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +2,252 $2,002 98¢ $2.2K +$194 11-02 14:52