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whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.54K
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved
186
Trades
10,183
lifetime
Volume
$2.88M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$282
Open exposure
$208.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
53% 82% -$450
Other
46% 85% -$3,944
Crypto
1% 100% +$294
Tech
1% 0% -$23
Sports
0% 100% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +33,856 $31,552 98¢ $33.2K +$1,610 11-10 09:19
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +21,488 $19,876 94¢ $20.2K +$311 11-08 06:08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +16,387 $14,723 98¢ $16.1K +$1,361 11-07 04:16
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -10,000 -$9,742 99¢ $-9880 -$138 10-12 08:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No -8,013 -$7,681 98¢ $-7840 -$159 11-09 13:37
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? No +7,683 $6,368 98¢ $7.5K +$1,139 11-08 18:31
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? No +7,463 $7,262 100¢ $7.4K +$179 11-10 10:59
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +7,808 $6,909 92¢ $7.2K +$313 11-08 14:38
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +7,290 $6,804 97¢ $7.1K +$264 10-25 22:03
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -6,693 -$6,279 99¢ $-6616 -$337 10-29 14:18
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +6,687 $5,811 97¢ $6.5K +$706 10-30 22:27
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -6,361 -$4,871 97¢ $-6183 -$1,312 11-06 10:46
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +6,235 $5,818 98¢ $6.1K +$310 11-05 16:22
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +6,082 $5,698 98¢ $6.0K +$272 11-09 06:17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +5,918 $5,260 97¢ $5.7K +$477 10-29 15:02
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -5,706 -$6,158 98¢ $-5606 +$551 11-11 04:32
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? No +5,734 $5,451 98¢ $5.6K +$154 11-05 04:32
Trump impeached and removed before 2028? No +5,623 $3,522 82¢ $4.6K +$1,111 11-09 20:06
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,480 $3,901 90¢ $4.0K +$131 11-10 20:38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,896 -$4,946 99¢ $-3840 +$1,107 10-05 19:42
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +3,778 $3,697 98¢ $3.7K +$22 11-10 08:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,697 $3,512 92¢ $3.4K -$93 10-25 09:40
Will Christine Lagarde advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +3,615 $3,278 92¢ $3.3K +$47 11-10 13:45
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? No +3,257 $3,149 98¢ $3.2K +$51 11-05 04:39
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +3,439 $2,497 90¢ $3.1K +$616 11-09 20:50
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -3,072 -$2,946 99¢ $-3052 -$107 10-29 14:16
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -3,018 -$2,836 98¢ $-2971 -$134 06-05 05:48
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,474 $2,927 86¢ $3.0K +$44 10-27 19:49
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +2,889 $1,647 97¢ $2.8K +$1,151 11-01 11:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? No +3,430 $2,829 80¢ $2.7K -$102 11-11 04:52