Realized P&L
-$125
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
21.2%
Resolved
92
Trades
116
lifetime
Volume
$553
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$72
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 21:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
49% 7% +$34
Other
48% 6% -$140
Sports
3% 0% -$16
Crypto
1% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51 $25 74¢ $38 +$13 10-24 21:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +357 $59 4¢ $16 -$42 10-26 21:32
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +116 $6 3¢ $4 -$2 08-07 02:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +112 $20 3¢ $3 -$16 10-20 18:39
Will Venezuela become 51st state? Yes +126 $4 2¢ $3 -$1 08-07 02:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +68 $2 4¢ $3 +$0 10-26 03:23
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +780 $2 0¢ $2 $0 08-11 22:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +116 $8 1¢ $1 -$7 10-26 21:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? Yes +250 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-26 03:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? Yes +192 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:00
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +108 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-11 22:34