Evergreen-Crystallography — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$31

Unrealized P&L

-$54

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

116 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$553 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$45

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-26 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

49% 7% +$6

Other

48% 6% -$143

Sports

3% 0% -$16

Crypto

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+51	$25	58¢	$30	+$5	10-24 21:39
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+116	$6	4¢	$4	-$1	08-07 02:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+357	$59	1¢	$4	-$55	10-26 21:32
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	Yes	+126	$4	2¢	$3	-$1	08-07 02:21
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+780	$2	0¢	$2	$0	08-11 22:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+68	$2	3¢	$2	-$1	10-26 03:23
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+108	$1	1¢	$1	$0	08-11 22:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$59	357	0	+357	open	—	10-26 21:32
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$38	33	33	+0	Yes	+$27	03-17 23:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	10-24 21:39
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$22	51	0	+51	Yes	-$22	03-17 01:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$20	112	0	+112	Yes	-$20	10-20 18:39
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$18	3,230	0	+3,230	Yes	+$1	03-30 22:27
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	1	$14	52	0	+52	No	-$14	01-03 19:48
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$14	125	0	+125	No	-$14	04-01 03:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$11	19	0	+19	Yes	+$8	04-01 02:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$11	222	0	+222	No	-$11	01-21 22:00
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$11	48	0	+48	No	-$11	03-17 01:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$11	150	0	+150	Yes	+$140	02-06 02:47
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	1	$10	28	0	+28	No	-$10	03-29 01:28
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	01-03 19:49
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23?	1	$10	59	0	+59	No	-$10	05-23 19:08
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$10	106	0	+106	No	-$10	03-26 21:42
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$9	90	0	+90	No	-$9	04-01 03:00
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	1	$8	155	0	+155	No	-$8	01-03 19:47
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$8	163	0	+163	Yes	-$8	02-06 02:50
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$8	44	0	+44	No	-$8	03-17 01:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	3	$8	116	0	+116	Yes	-$8	10-26 21:40
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	1	$8	320	0	+320	No	-$8	03-28 05:17
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	1	$8	42	0	+42	No	-$8	03-26 21:44
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$7	397	0	+397	No	-$7	03-26 21:54
khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	1	$6	156	0	+156	No	-$6	02-28 20:01
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	1	$6	116	0	+116	open	—	08-07 02:20
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	1	$6	2,775	0	+2,775	No	-$6	01-21 22:01
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	1	$6	21	0	+21	Yes	+$15	03-17 23:40
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	455	0	+455	No	-$5	02-06 02:45
uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	1	$5	50	0	+50	No	-$5	02-14 03:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:40:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x679105…
10-26 21:32:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	71	12¢	$8	0x13120c…
10-26 21:31:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x92b63d…
10-26 21:27:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0xbcaff4…
10-26 03:23:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$2	0x60d77a…
10-26 03:23:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x5579d8…
10-25 19:00:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	192	1¢	$1	0x67b7cc…
10-25 18:59:50	Nothing Ever Happens: October	Something	BUY	117	3¢	$4	0x7fe739…
10-25 18:58:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb4c823…
10-24 21:51:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	101	18¢	$18	0xe822c5…
10-24 21:51:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x63e644…
10-24 21:39:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x5d3713…
10-20 18:39:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xd362cb…
10-20 18:38:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	104	20¢	$21	0xf285b9…
10-16 19:37:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x29789b…
10-16 19:36:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x32acf6…
10-16 19:36:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x5250ba…
10-06 23:36:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x2320c9…
10-06 23:23:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	No	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xacab2a…
08-11 22:35:55	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	780	0¢	$2	0xf77ce8…
08-11 22:34:51	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x631f12…
08-11 22:32:24	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt3t by august 31 20260730182630757	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xb8548b…
08-11 22:27:00	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xb54c30…
08-11 22:24:49	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x9096cb…
08-07 02:23:34	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x0b6050…
08-07 02:21:06	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	Yes	BUY	126	3¢	$4	0x467de5…
08-07 02:20:10	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	5¢	$6	0x053ab9…
05-23 19:11:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xd645fa…
05-23 19:08:56	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x22256b…
05-23 19:08:15	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x651fa1…
04-25 22:07:24	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x474f81…
04-14 18:04:06	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x38c712…
04-10 02:23:27	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0xdcc487…
04-10 02:22:07	Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x717ebb…
04-10 02:21:57	Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	0¢	$1	0xe3c38c…
04-10 02:21:43	Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x520777…
04-10 02:21:31	Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	0¢	$1	0x7b8472…
04-10 02:21:25	Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x5163e4…
04-10 02:17:21	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x16c80f…
04-10 02:16:13	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0x4d7223…
04-10 02:12:47	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0x701763…
04-10 02:10:51	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	1¢	$3	0x66f865…
04-10 02:06:49	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x886ef2…
04-01 03:00:51	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3b12ed…
04-01 03:00:33	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x8f086c…
04-01 03:00:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	125	11¢	$14	0x1851bb…
04-01 02:41:31	lol hle1 bro2 2026 04 01	HANJIN BRION	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xe98ae6…
04-01 02:40:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x5dad02…
03-30 22:27:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	3,210	0¢	$3	0x3bd81c…
03-29 01:31:54	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x483903…
03-29 01:30:04	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x85b1f9…
03-29 01:28:46	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc696da…
03-29 01:28:08	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x05c4b5…
03-28 05:17:05	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	Yes	BUY	320	2¢	$8	0xfa4bd2…
03-26 22:05:17	will iran strike germany by march 31	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x0eb7d6…
03-26 22:05:07	will iran strike afghanistan in march	Yes	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0xf68976…
03-26 22:04:43	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xced469…
03-26 22:02:29	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x5e3d53…
03-26 22:01:13	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 26 2026 253	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfffed4…
03-26 22:00:05	Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x74957b…
03-26 21:54:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xcc18e4…
03-26 21:51:47	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x71e5cc…
03-26 21:51:37	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	304	0¢	$1	0xb19aca…
03-26 21:50:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	61	4¢	$3	0xe40e19…
03-26 21:49:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x00a289…
03-26 21:47:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0xd0dc66…
03-26 21:44:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0xf21811…
03-26 21:44:31	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xf0c8fc…
03-26 21:44:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x912a98…
03-26 21:42:01	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0xf43299…
03-26 21:34:47	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0xf62c1a…
03-21 02:56:37	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x88e177…
03-21 02:55:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0xb15eab…
03-21 02:54:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x3f4fa0…
03-21 02:53:53	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4b655a…
03-21 02:51:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8d3c44…
03-21 02:50:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0x618f46…
03-21 02:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xdcb2b1…
03-17 23:52:01	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x746888…
03-17 23:40:23	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x229ae2…
03-17 01:56:35	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0xf56b88…
03-17 01:53:31	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x995f5f…
03-17 01:52:21	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0x9f1785…
03-17 01:50:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x3319bc…
03-17 01:46:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0xe3c503…
03-17 01:44:57	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0xecb3ac…
03-17 01:42:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0x556440…
02-28 20:01:45	khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	Yes	BUY	156	4¢	$6	0xc5ad37…
02-28 20:01:01	khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xce5741…
02-28 20:00:49	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xe7665b…
02-14 03:53:47	will team falcons win blast slam vi	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0xf1af66…
02-14 03:53:33	will heroic win blast slam vi	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$1	0x9fe99e…
02-14 03:52:37	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa3964f…
02-14 03:49:05	will arirang bts debut week album sales be between 3m and 3pt5m	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xe1b092…
02-14 03:48:11	will the fall off debut week album sales be at least 400k	Yes	BUY	1,110	0¢	$1	0xb7be02…
02-14 03:47:55	will the fall off debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x76c019…
02-14 03:47:41	will the fall off debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc1cfa7…
02-06 03:02:01	will drake maye win the 202526 nfl mvp award	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0xd1840f…
02-06 02:56:35	nothing ever happens february 452	Nothing	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0xdaf25a…
02-06 02:50:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	163	5¢	$8	0xc38c90…