Realized P&L
-$1.38K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.54K
Hit rate
43.0%
Resolved
263
Trades
3,579
lifetime
Volume
$57.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$8.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-12 07:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
54% 16% -$4,423
Politics
46% 29% +$3,045
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Crypto
0% 14% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,412 $967 92¢ $1.3K +$325 08-29 16:30
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +907 $610 94¢ $857 +$247 09-01 06:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,663 $638 44¢ $723 +$85 10-09 11:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +758 $481 82¢ $618 +$137 10-06 17:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,748 $853 34¢ $595 -$258 08-29 21:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +917 $262 63¢ $577 +$316 08-27 16:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +6,220 $1,147 9¢ $532 -$615 10-11 08:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +3,679 $1,651 12¢ $460 -$1,191 10-11 02:05
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +493 $283 92¢ $451 +$168 09-12 19:51
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +700 $207 49¢ $343 +$136 09-03 00:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +480 $273 70¢ $336 +$63 08-30 20:33
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +2,308 $1,010 14¢ $323 -$686 10-11 15:16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +559 $281 56¢ $310 +$30 09-17 23:01
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +288 $197 96¢ $276 +$78 09-01 21:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +218 $147 82¢ $178 +$31 08-29 21:18
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +186 $99 82¢ $153 +$55 09-09 19:08
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +580 $247 23¢ $134 -$113 10-05 04:16
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +864 $423 12¢ $104 -$319 10-12 07:30
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +219 $98 33¢ $72 -$26 10-09 10:17
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +78 $32 92¢ $72 +$39 09-23 11:50
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No +59 $34 94¢ $56 +$22 09-03 23:30
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +37 $25 96¢ $35 +$10 09-02 21:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +48 $32 64¢ $31 -$1 10-04 15:57
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +116 $24 21¢ $24 +$0 09-10 18:58
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +21 $2 95¢ $20 +$18 08-26 13:37
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +15 $10 92¢ $14 +$4 07-30 08:23
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +30 $17 42¢ $13 -$4 09-17 07:54
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $30 2¢ $12 -$18 07-22 21:35
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +10 $6 84¢ $8 +$2 08-31 23:03
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +149 $80 5¢ $7 -$73 10-09 18:45