Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,583

lifetime

Volume

$36.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-10 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% 25% +$3,417

Politics

44% 0% $-163

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	229	$8.2K	11,155	1,068	+10,087	No	+$3,248	03-21 21:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	31	$7.8K	2,604	12,369	-9,765	Yes	$-162	03-16 21:27
aapl above 250 on march 31 2026	65	$2.8K	4,551	0	+4,551	open	—	03-16 00:22
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$2.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	02-20 12:37
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	1	$1000	2,969	0	+2,969	open	—	02-20 12:35
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$1000	1,961	0	+1,961	open	—	02-20 12:35
aapl above 240 on march 31 2026	20	$987	2,435	0	+2,435	open	—	03-16 00:22
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	11	$888	1,063	0	+1,063	No	+$175	03-21 21:18
aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	27	$658	1,903	0	+1,903	open	—	03-16 14:50
aapl above 270 on march 31 2026	17	$566	1,153	0	+1,153	open	—	03-16 00:21
aapl above 260 on march 31 2026	18	$562	735	0	+735	open	—	03-16 00:20
aapl above 230 on march 31 2026	19	$492	1,335	0	+1,335	open	—	03-16 14:50
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	92	$365	7,485	227	+7,257	open	—	03-21 21:23
aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	14	$269	1,728	0	+1,728	open	—	03-16 14:50
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	11	$257	376	330	+46	open	—	06-12 10:56
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?	39	$248	3,739	125	+3,614	open	—	03-21 21:17
will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	18	$230	923	147	+775	open	—	03-16 23:59
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	20	$219	2,304	2,304	+0	open	—	06-29 12:49
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	14	$210	1,224	1,224	+0	open	—	08-04 15:25
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	9	$154	318	294	+24	open	—	07-23 11:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	13	$149	388	352	+36	open	—	07-23 10:12
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 11:55
aapl above 300 on march 31 2026	13	$140	971	0	+971	open	—	03-16 00:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	4	$139	153	152	+0	open	—	07-31 21:05
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$137	80	80	+0	open	—	04-07 14:19
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	21	$131	106	106	+0	open	—	04-07 14:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	11	$126	184	163	+20	open	—	08-09 21:45
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	5	$121	164	111	+53	open	—	06-12 22:51
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	2	$121	96	96	+0	open	—	06-20 01:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$119	241	241	+0	open	—	07-22 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 10:29:22	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xc9b8b5…
08-09 21:45:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0x115194…
08-09 17:13:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x211b75…
08-09 17:10:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0x291381…
08-09 14:51:04	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0xfb7c13…
08-07 20:21:57	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0xbe9b90…
08-07 20:21:55	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	10¢	$6	0xbfbf0b…
08-07 18:30:58	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb6c217…
08-07 18:30:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	67	26¢	$17	0xa30af4…
08-07 18:03:06	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x14b380…
08-07 18:03:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	118	13¢	$15	0x13f271…
08-07 13:06:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x279747…
08-07 13:06:37	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x16580f…
08-06 21:45:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	43	57¢	$24	0x356048…
08-06 20:35:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	77	32¢	$25	0x343912…
08-06 01:29:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xf9069e…
08-06 01:29:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x48905a…
08-05 22:49:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xbb5eb6…
08-05 07:50:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xff9734…
08-05 07:50:24	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x1e4c49…
08-05 07:50:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	224	4¢	$10	0xc926ac…
08-05 07:50:23	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x69164c…
08-05 07:50:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	567	2¢	$10	0x1ba2c8…
08-05 07:50:21	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x449c7a…
08-04 23:51:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x185ed5…
08-04 23:51:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xe1dae9…
08-04 23:51:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	22	39¢	$9	0xca077e…
08-04 23:51:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x1cf667…
08-04 20:45:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	75	32¢	$24	0x465925…
08-04 15:50:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	47	51¢	$24	0x7a5483…
08-04 15:49:05	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	Yes	BUY	295	3¢	$10	0x9bab02…
08-04 15:25:11	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	293	20¢	$59	0x62bdef…
08-04 15:04:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe6bc65…
08-04 12:50:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0x8975ca…
08-04 11:50:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	45	31¢	$14	0x0d1484…
08-04 11:24:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	77	14¢	$11	0xb3cf0a…
08-04 11:24:06	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	293	3¢	$10	0x4d298b…
08-04 11:24:05	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x8bc901…
08-03 19:01:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x7515d0…
08-03 19:01:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0x0a26f4…
08-03 16:00:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0xe913d1…
08-03 09:56:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	274	7¢	$20	0x0ee371…
08-03 09:56:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0x063fbf…
08-03 09:56:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x8c7de9…
08-03 06:55:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x78c75a…
08-03 06:55:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	192	2¢	$4	0x4c5cb5…
08-02 12:56:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xd2b0a7…
08-02 12:56:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x97b607…
08-02 12:56:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	42	28¢	$12	0x8f8cb1…
07-31 23:35:12	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	343	1¢	$2	0xc89e14…
07-31 21:59:44	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xae5f6d…
07-31 21:05:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	71	60¢	$43	0xc2aaec…
07-31 21:00:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	182	23¢	$43	0x532f38…
07-31 17:34:45	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xab6f29…
07-31 14:03:08	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	SELL	62	9¢	$6	0x1674d7…
07-31 10:17:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x7c8e49…
07-30 21:25:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	452	7¢	$30	0xabc345…
07-30 20:22:20	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe867ab…
07-30 18:55:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	56	47¢	$27	0xb13750…
07-30 18:51:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc017b2…
07-30 18:07:50	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9531dc…
07-30 17:51:48	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb0bd51…
07-30 17:51:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	452	4¢	$20	0xd87310…
07-30 17:51:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	3,922	1¢	$20	0x6ba277…
07-30 17:51:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xe2e0f1…
07-30 15:18:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x4e7ac2…
07-30 12:51:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x05c5c3…
07-30 10:28:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa37e79…
07-30 08:34:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xa21338…
07-30 08:31:39	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x7c3fe3…
07-30 08:31:38	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe41ce5…
07-30 08:28:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x178003…
07-30 08:28:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa9a265…
07-30 08:28:24	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1d808f…
07-30 08:28:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xeeedf7…
07-30 08:26:00	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x93aa02…
07-30 08:25:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfd5341…
07-30 08:25:51	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xcb8d3e…
07-30 08:25:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xa2e4ae…
07-30 08:25:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6bb6c0…
07-30 08:25:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x00e110…
07-30 08:25:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4b6ee8…
07-30 08:23:54	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x62537f…
07-30 08:23:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x94dc30…
07-30 08:23:50	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x846340…
07-30 08:19:51	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xca583b…
07-30 08:19:51	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc57a81…
07-30 08:19:51	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x766473…
07-30 08:16:23	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x461fc5…
07-30 08:16:21	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb1bac4…
07-30 08:08:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x18e7d0…
07-30 08:08:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x07fc8b…
07-29 20:33:06	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	343	3¢	$10	0x98f3d1…
07-29 13:01:12	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x8b9124…
07-29 13:01:11	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xb0fd2b…
07-29 13:01:11	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x9c1f60…
07-29 10:22:24	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0x0cb243…
07-29 10:19:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xd0c714…
07-28 22:52:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	81	44¢	$36	0xbecec8…
07-28 22:17:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	28	46¢	$13	0xda7cc0…