Realized P&L
+$676
Unrealized P&L
-$1.58K
Hit rate
55.2%
Resolved
1,345
Trades
105,815
lifetime
Volume
$384.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-15 06:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
41% 67% +$726
Politics
27% 82% -$440
Crypto
17% 67% -$411
Sports
12% 56% +$795
Tech
3% 60% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -202 -$129 62¢ $-125 +$4 05-20 17:04
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -1,143 -$742 11¢ $-120 +$622 09-11 02:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -4,933 $24 2¢ $-96 -$120 08-13 07:59
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,165 -$26 3¢ $-95 -$69 08-17 02:59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -103 -$82 87¢ $-90 -$8 08-13 13:08
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -161 $37 55¢ $-89 -$126 09-04 03:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -884 -$42 9¢ $-83 -$41 08-13 03:51
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,333 -$20 2¢ $-80 -$60 08-19 05:52
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +687 $137 12¢ $79 -$58 08-19 16:02
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -292 -$67 26¢ $-77 -$11 05-20 13:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -3,071 $262 2¢ $-75 -$337 09-18 21:25
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,479 -$177 1¢ $-74 +$103 09-04 03:32
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,075 -$56 2¢ $-72 -$16 08-13 03:50
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,784 -$43 4¢ $-64 -$21 08-21 06:53
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -61 -$60 91¢ $-56 +$4 05-20 05:56
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -2,554 -$30 2¢ $-55 -$25 09-11 02:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +66 $36 82¢ $54 +$17 08-13 09:10
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -26,375 $338 0¢ $-40 -$377 10-15 06:02
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,714 $103 1¢ $-37 -$140 09-04 03:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +34 $18 90¢ $31 +$13 08-14 00:58
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes -1,679 -$130 2¢ $-26 +$104 09-07 05:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -248 -$30 10¢ $-24 +$5 05-05 15:13
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,714 $23 0¢ $-20 -$43 09-04 03:27
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -7,407 $22 0¢ $-19 -$41 09-04 03:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,956 $313 0¢ $-18 -$331 10-13 09:41
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -96 -$22 18¢ $-17 +$5 05-06 12:01
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -440 $328 4¢ $-16 -$344 10-10 19:21
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -921 $2 2¢ $-14 -$16 08-21 15:44
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,545 $6 0¢ $-14 -$20 09-04 09:29
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,807 $264 0¢ $13 -$250 10-13 09:40