Realized P&L
+$676
Unrealized P&L
-$1.58K
Hit rate
55.2%
Resolved
1,345
Trades
105,815
lifetime
Volume
$384.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-15 06:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
41%
67%
+$726
Politics
27%
82%
-$440
Crypto
17%
67%
-$411
Sports
12%
56%
+$795
Tech
3%
60%
+$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk
• peak 197 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 9,565 | $25.9K | 219,786 | 224,718 | -4,933 | open | — | 08-13 07:59 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 22,671 | $25.5K | 223,189 | 226,260 | -3,071 | open | — | 09-18 21:25 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | 438 | $18.7K | 60,489 | 61,631 | -1,143 | open | — | 09-11 02:22 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 4,019 | $15.5K | 236,656 | 242,867 | -6,211 | No | +$510 | 09-04 03:25 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 3,795 | $14.7K | 272,715 | 273,219 | -504 | No | -$40 | 09-04 11:46 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | 2,795 | $14.3K | 15,698 | 15,521 | +177 | Yes | +$93 | 05-08 18:02 |
| will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026 | 2,274 | $14.0K | 20,945 | 20,664 | +281 | No | -$165 | 01-28 10:24 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 2,118 | $11.1K | 100,949 | 103,284 | -2,336 | No | +$435 | 07-28 01:23 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,832 | $10.6K | 572,480 | 577,836 | -5,355 | No | -$4 | 06-12 16:47 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | 850 | $10.1K | 34,997 | 34,998 | -0 | open | — | 08-14 16:23 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1,210 | $9.6K | 5,762 | 5,976 | -214 | open | — | 08-14 00:58 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | 1,549 | $8.4K | 339,427 | 315,565 | +23,862 | No | -$94 | 06-16 15:29 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 2,977 | $7.4K | 91,687 | 92,485 | -797 | No | +$122 | 08-21 15:16 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 529 | $7.3K | 37,356 | 39,020 | -1,664 | No | +$928 | 08-16 16:50 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 787 | $6.8K | 344,477 | 345,407 | -930 | No | -$629 | 07-28 01:23 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 1,986 | $6.6K | 184,339 | 185,672 | -1,333 | open | — | 08-29 00:47 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1,487 | $6.4K | 4,481 | 4,512 | -30 | open | — | 08-13 09:10 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,651 | $6.2K | 571,576 | 581,278 | -9,701 | No | +$261 | 06-10 14:41 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,706 | $6.2K | 164,966 | 168,340 | -3,374 | Yes | -$673 | 06-15 15:02 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 313 | $5.7K | 3,268 | 3,429 | -161 | open | — | 09-04 03:30 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 166 | $5.6K | 34,576 | 35,412 | -836 | Yes | +$442 | 07-28 01:23 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1,086 | $5.2K | 100,968 | 106,437 | -5,469 | open | — | 09-04 03:32 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | 548 | $5.1K | 17,669 | 16,982 | +687 | open | — | 08-19 16:02 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 1,262 | $5.0K | 390,839 | 394,385 | -3,546 | No | -$164 | 07-28 01:24 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 667 | $4.4K | 39,913 | 40,236 | -323 | open | — | 08-14 16:57 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,216 | $4.4K | 275,885 | 289,117 | -13,232 | No | +$43 | 06-13 04:45 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | 164 | $4.3K | 17,910 | 18,228 | -318 | open | — | 09-11 02:21 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 772 | $4.1K | 15,259 | 15,298 | -39 | open | — | 09-07 05:42 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | 179 | $3.9K | 21,376 | 21,637 | -261 | open | — | 08-23 13:54 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 654 | $3.8K | 2,026 | 2,129 | -103 | open | — | 08-13 13:08 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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