Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved
161
Trades
347
lifetime
Volume
$1.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$349
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 10-29 05:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Politics
63% 75% -$1
Other
26% 62% +$13
Sports
8% 67% +$8
Tech
3% 57% +$0
Crypto
0% 50% $0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +224 $151 55¢ $122 -$29 10-29 05:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +20 $12 97¢ $19 +$8 09-08 04:41
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +33 $20 58¢ $19 -$1 10-21 06:29
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +17 $16 99¢ $17 +$1 10-27 09:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +31 $22 52¢ $16 -$6 09-19 20:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +14 $12 100¢ $14 +$2 10-20 05:35
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $14 57¢ $13 -$1 09-28 19:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 09-06 17:06
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 10-21 06:27
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 10-21 06:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 09-06 17:15
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 09-06 17:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $9 82¢ $9 +$0 09-20 20:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +22 $14 36¢ $8 -$6 09-04 06:00
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 09-06 17:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-03 06:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 09-06 17:25
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +9 $5 56¢ $5 $0 10-21 06:24
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027 No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 07-06 19:08
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 07-06 19:09
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 07-06 19:09
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 95¢ $4 $0 07-06 19:09
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 09-06 17:28
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 09-06 17:11
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 07-06 19:08
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 $0 09-06 06:47
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 06-26 13:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-04 18:00
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 08-07 19:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 08-21 07:57