Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$7,012
$70 in 24h
Trades
425
Unique wallets
92
Liquidity
$12,975
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-22 08:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $101 | $915 | $814 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $219 | $1.4K | $1.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $50 | $547 | $498 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $41 | $357 | $316 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $64 | $123 | $59 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $23 | $462 | $439 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $103 | $102 |
| Below median | 12 | $45 | $388 | $343 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $50 | $251 | $201 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $133 | $570 | $438 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $42 | $449 | $407 |
| unranked | 35 | $52 | $869 | $817 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +223 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 07-13 03:59 |
| Unwelcome-Fig 0xc46f…3130 | No | +216 | $213 | $213 | 1 | 07-13 03:56 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +195 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-08 13:28 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +195 | $181 | $181 | 1 | 06-08 13:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fad…ef43 | Yes | +152 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-20 08:27 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | +150 | $0 | $39 | 17 | 07-20 09:13 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +130 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +130 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-05 22:54 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +130 | $117 | $142 | 7 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +130 | $119 | $595 | 17 | 06-14 22:45 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +120 | $117 | $117 | 6 | 07-13 07:47 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +119 | $17 | $32 | 4 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +119 | $112 | $391 | 5 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +100 | $3 | $18 | 5 | 07-20 08:26 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +100 | $8 | $11 | 10 | 07-20 08:27 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +98 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-22 00:24 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +94 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 07-03 08:49 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +88 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-08 13:28 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +67 | $5 | $23 | 12 | 07-05 06:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8883…df82 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-12 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0afd…e79e | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-20 09:13 |
| Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | +50 | $46 | $94 | 6 | 07-03 08:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ec…eea0 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-20 09:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x290b…56c8 | No | +49 | $48 | $50 | 2 | 07-22 08:19 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +42 | $-0 | $3 | 5 | 07-21 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd42a…750d | Yes | +34 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 18:55 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +20 | $3 | $19 | 16 | 07-20 08:25 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-05 22:57 |
| Opulent-Sentencing 0x162f…978f | Yes | +19 | $3 | $20 | 17 | 06-05 18:14 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +18 | $-1 | $17 | 10 | 07-22 08:19 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +15 | $17 | $732 | 8 | 07-13 14:12 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-05 22:54 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 23:01 |
| Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $18 | 8 | 06-24 17:30 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +10 | $13 | $31 | 6 | 06-15 07:40 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-15 07:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 23:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 08:19:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x16accf… |
| 07-22 08:19:52 | (anonymous) 0x290b…56c8 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x16accf… |
| 07-22 08:19:52 | Little-Drummer 0xa42a…cb8e | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x16accf… |
| 07-21 18:55:07 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x925668… |
| 07-21 18:55:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x925668… |
| 07-20 09:13:49 | (anonymous) 0xb2ec…eea0 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x06ed90… |
| 07-20 09:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x0afd…e79e | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x06ed90… |
| 07-20 09:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x290b…56c8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x06ed90… |
| 07-20 09:13:49 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 150 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x06ed90… |
| 07-20 08:27:03 | (anonymous) 0x4fad…ef43 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaf9eda… |
| 07-20 08:27:03 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf9eda… |
| 07-20 08:27:03 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 172 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xaf9eda… |
| 07-20 08:26:13 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xf29319… |
| 07-20 08:26:13 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 172 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xf29319… |
| 07-20 08:26:09 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xacc854… |
| 07-20 08:26:09 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 170 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xacc854… |
| 07-20 08:26:09 | (anonymous) 0x8763…bf06 | No | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $42 | 0xacc854… |
| 07-20 08:26:09 | (anonymous) 0x4181…d668 | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0xacc854… |
| 07-20 08:25:12 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 363 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x354763… |
| 07-20 08:25:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x354763… |
| 07-20 08:25:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 342 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x354763… |
| 07-15 16:19:38 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xec1c72… |
| 07-15 16:19:38 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xec1c72… |
| 07-13 14:12:29 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 119 | 98¢ | $116 | 0x14945a… |
| 07-13 14:12:29 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 119 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x14945a… |
| 07-13 07:47:38 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 119 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xd896ef… |
| 07-13 07:47:38 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 119 | 98¢ | $117 | 0xd896ef… |
| 07-13 07:47:17 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xae9816… |
| 07-13 07:47:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xae9816… |
| 07-13 07:46:46 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 198 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xd52236… |
| 07-13 07:46:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xd52236… |
| 07-13 07:46:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd52236… |
| 07-13 07:46:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd52236… |
| 07-13 03:59:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x89775c… |
| 07-13 03:59:11 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x89775c… |
| 07-13 03:56:47 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x8474b5… |
| 07-13 03:56:47 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8474b5… |
| 07-13 03:56:47 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8474b5… |
| 07-13 03:56:47 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8474b5… |
| 07-13 03:56:47 | Unwelcome-Fig 0xc46f…3130 | No | BUY | 216 | 99¢ | $213 | 0x8474b5… |
| 07-13 03:56:47 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8474b5… |
| 07-13 03:56:47 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8474b5… |
| 07-12 23:13:35 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x586434… |
| 07-12 23:13:35 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x586434… |
| 07-12 19:55:13 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xef61f0… |
| 07-12 19:55:13 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xef61f0… |
| 07-12 18:18:47 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xbda5b5… |
| 07-12 18:18:47 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbda5b5… |
| 07-12 16:33:56 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe18d05… |
| 07-12 16:33:56 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe18d05… |
| 07-12 14:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9504ca… |
| 07-12 14:52:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 88 | 98¢ | $86 | 0x9504ca… |
| 07-12 14:52:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9504ca… |
| 07-12 14:52:32 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9504ca… |
| 07-12 13:14:40 | (anonymous) 0x8883…df82 | No | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $52 | 0x9d9075… |
| 07-12 13:14:40 | Slushy-Parrot 0x0615…836f | No | SELL | 334 | 99¢ | $329 | 0x9d9075… |
| 07-12 13:14:40 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x9d9075… |
| 07-12 13:14:40 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x9d9075… |
| 07-12 13:14:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x9d9075… |
| 07-12 13:14:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d9075… |
| 07-12 13:14:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 88 | 98¢ | $86 | 0x9d9075… |
| 07-12 13:14:40 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x9d9075… |
| 07-12 13:14:40 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x9d9075… |
| 07-12 13:14:40 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x9d9075… |
| 07-11 14:52:14 | Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x991202… |
| 07-11 14:52:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x991202… |
| 07-10 08:50:56 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdcab9a… |
| 07-10 08:50:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdcab9a… |
| 07-08 21:57:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3f69fd… |
| 07-08 21:57:17 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x3f69fd… |
| 07-08 21:57:17 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3f69fd… |
| 07-08 21:42:34 | (anonymous) 0x0bc5…8b88 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x529cc0… |
| 07-08 21:42:34 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x529cc0… |
| 07-08 21:42:32 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xb4077e… |
| 07-08 21:42:32 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 236 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xb4077e… |
| 07-08 21:42:32 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb4077e… |
| 07-08 21:42:32 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb4077e… |
| 07-08 21:42:32 | Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | No | SELL | 454 | 98¢ | $446 | 0xb4077e… |
| 07-08 21:42:32 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xb4077e… |
| 07-08 21:42:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb4077e… |
| 07-08 20:42:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b2984… |
| 07-08 20:42:23 | Homely-Read 0x6d41…5957 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0b2984… |
| 07-08 20:42:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b2984… |
| 07-08 20:42:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b2984… |
| 07-08 20:42:23 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b2984… |
| 07-07 20:12:44 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x64b6e9… |
| 07-07 20:12:44 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 75 | 98¢ | $74 | 0x64b6e9… |
| 07-07 19:20:58 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x948898… |
| 07-07 19:20:58 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x948898… |
| 07-07 18:12:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 99 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2eab93… |
| 07-07 18:12:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 99 | 98¢ | $97 | 0x2eab93… |
| 07-07 17:52:55 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x47de9d… |
| 07-07 17:52:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x47de9d… |
| 07-07 17:51:11 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 75 | 98¢ | $74 | 0x0d3586… |
| 07-07 17:51:11 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x0d3586… |
| 07-07 17:51:11 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x0d3586… |
| 07-07 17:51:11 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x0d3586… |
| 07-07 17:51:11 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 562 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x0d3586… |
| 07-07 17:51:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0d3586… |
| 07-07 17:51:11 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x0d3586… |