Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$4,216
$70 in 24h
Trades
315
Unique wallets
71
Liquidity
$12,975
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-04 20:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $99 | $615 | $516 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $188 | $938 | $750 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $45 | $304 | $260 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $38 | $179 | $141 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $63 | — | +$63 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $23 | $462 | $439 |
| Median | 6 | $1 | $103 | $102 |
| Below median | 7 | $36 | $102 | $66 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $30 | $251 | $221 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $125 | $557 | $432 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $42 | $153 | $111 |
| unranked | 27 | $51 | $408 | $357 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | No | +454 | $421 | $421 | 1 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +195 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-08 13:28 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +195 | $181 | $181 | 1 | 06-08 13:28 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +178 | $28 | $35 | 4 | 06-30 10:51 |
| Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | +150 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 06-08 15:40 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +130 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +130 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-05 22:54 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +130 | $117 | $142 | 7 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +130 | $119 | $595 | 17 | 06-14 22:45 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +119 | $17 | $32 | 4 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +119 | $112 | $391 | 5 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +112 | $7 | $13 | 9 | 07-02 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +105 | $8 | $52 | 18 | 06-19 02:38 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +98 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-22 00:24 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +94 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 07-03 08:49 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +88 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-08 13:28 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +81 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-05 22:57 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +74 | $7 | $10 | 6 | 07-03 08:49 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +70 | $5 | $23 | 11 | 06-14 23:16 |
| Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | +50 | $46 | $94 | 6 | 07-03 08:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4181…d668 | No | +43 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-30 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x8763…bf06 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 06-30 10:51 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +41 | $4 | $17 | 12 | 07-03 08:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd42a…750d | Yes | +34 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 16:44 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-05 22:57 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-14 22:36 |
| Opulent-Sentencing 0x162f…978f | Yes | +19 | $3 | $20 | 17 | 06-05 18:14 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $16 | 4 | 06-16 22:46 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +15 | $15 | $134 | 2 | 06-14 23:16 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-05 22:54 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 23:01 |
| Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $18 | 8 | 06-24 17:30 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +10 | $13 | $31 | 6 | 06-15 07:40 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-15 07:40 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 07-04 20:30 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 23:03 |
| Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bc5…8b88 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 01:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 20:30:55 | Juvenile-Ballet 0xf8b0…ac2a | No | SELL | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x46e3f7… |
| 07-04 20:30:55 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x46e3f7… |
| 07-03 20:27:58 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf18671… |
| 07-03 20:27:58 | (anonymous) 0x6e84…a57b | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf18671… |
| 07-03 09:26:02 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4c8afb… |
| 07-03 09:26:02 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4c8afb… |
| 07-03 08:49:44 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xa43372… |
| 07-03 08:49:44 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa43372… |
| 07-03 08:49:44 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa43372… |
| 07-03 08:49:44 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xa43372… |
| 07-03 04:54:20 | (anonymous) 0x6e84…a57b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7eb7d1… |
| 07-03 04:54:20 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7eb7d1… |
| 07-03 04:52:17 | (anonymous) 0x6e84…a57b | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x409a67… |
| 07-03 04:52:17 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x409a67… |
| 07-03 03:53:41 | (anonymous) 0x6e84…a57b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x9d19a2… |
| 07-03 03:53:41 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9d19a2… |
| 07-03 03:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x6e84…a57b | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xf77b64… |
| 07-03 03:51:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf77b64… |
| 07-02 19:54:58 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x69e713… |
| 07-02 19:54:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x69e713… |
| 07-02 07:46:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc9751a… |
| 07-02 07:46:17 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc9751a… |
| 07-02 07:46:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x329bc8… |
| 07-02 07:46:08 | (anonymous) 0x80a3…10c6 | No | SELL | 24 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x329bc8… |
| 07-02 07:46:08 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 44 | 94¢ | $42 | 0x329bc8… |
| 06-30 10:51:17 | (anonymous) 0x8763…bf06 | No | BUY | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x503609… |
| 06-30 10:51:17 | (anonymous) 0x4181…d668 | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x503609… |
| 06-30 10:51:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x503609… |
| 06-30 10:51:17 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x503609… |
| 06-29 16:18:07 | (anonymous) 0x8763…bf06 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9809dc… |
| 06-29 16:18:07 | Vacant-Courthouse 0x97b9…11d7 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9809dc… |
| 06-26 14:44:25 | Graceful-Extension 0x3ada…7eab | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x213421… |
| 06-26 14:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x8763…bf06 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x213421… |
| 06-25 13:01:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc77444… |
| 06-25 13:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x8763…bf06 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc77444… |
| 06-25 12:59:52 | (anonymous) 0x80a3…10c6 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x41bf51… |
| 06-25 12:59:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x41bf51… |
| 06-25 01:32:41 | (anonymous) 0x80a3…10c6 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x8d569d… |
| 06-25 01:32:41 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8d569d… |
| 06-24 17:30:02 | Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xad2803… |
| 06-24 17:30:02 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xad2803… |
| 06-24 16:39:46 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4ed8d7… |
| 06-24 16:39:46 | Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4ed8d7… |
| 06-23 19:53:40 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1cbe20… |
| 06-23 19:53:40 | Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1cbe20… |
| 06-23 16:44:58 | (anonymous) 0x80a3…10c6 | No | BUY | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x8c19ea… |
| 06-23 16:44:58 | (anonymous) 0xd42a…750d | Yes | BUY | 34 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x8c19ea… |
| 06-23 16:44:19 | Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc91115… |
| 06-23 16:44:19 | Brave-Daily 0xe037…836f | Yes | SELL | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc91115… |
| 06-22 00:24:17 | Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | Yes | SELL | 128 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x38cfd2… |
| 06-22 00:24:17 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x38cfd2… |
| 06-22 00:24:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x38cfd2… |
| 06-20 13:08:05 | Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x06cd90… |
| 06-20 13:08:05 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x06cd90… |
| 06-19 02:38:10 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3449fc… |
| 06-19 02:38:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3449fc… |
| 06-19 02:37:50 | Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa2aabe… |
| 06-19 02:37:50 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xa2aabe… |
| 06-17 13:12:08 | Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x990587… |
| 06-17 13:12:08 | Aromatic-Pony 0x230b…7409 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x990587… |
| 06-17 11:36:40 | (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x5eb258… |
| 06-17 11:36:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5eb258… |
| 06-17 02:06:07 | (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x106479… |
| 06-17 02:06:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x106479… |
| 06-16 22:47:01 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1c4f41… |
| 06-16 22:47:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1c4f41… |
| 06-16 22:46:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x78d2c4… |
| 06-16 22:46:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x78d2c4… |
| 06-16 22:46:58 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x78d2c4… |
| 06-16 22:46:56 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x7e0679… |
| 06-16 22:46:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x7e0679… |
| 06-16 22:46:56 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7e0679… |
| 06-16 22:46:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x7e0679… |
| 06-16 03:17:01 | Unselfish-Lift 0x83ab…a8ab | No | SELL | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0xc7db4f… |
| 06-16 03:17:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc7db4f… |
| 06-16 01:07:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6bc51d… |
| 06-16 01:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x0bc5…8b88 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6bc51d… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x0be1f5… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x0be1f5… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x0be1f5… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x0be1f5… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | No | BUY | 454 | 93¢ | $421 | 0x0be1f5… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x0be1f5… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x0be1f5… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 70 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x7928e7… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0be1f5… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xf55653… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 70 | 93¢ | $65 | 0xf55653… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x7928e7… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x0be1f5… |
| 06-16 01:07:57 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 119 | 93¢ | $111 | 0x7928e7… |
| 06-15 09:54:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 33 | 92¢ | $31 | 0xb45e26… |
| 06-15 09:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 33 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xb45e26… |
| 06-15 07:40:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x4f20d8… |
| 06-15 07:40:58 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x4f20d8… |
| 06-15 07:40:52 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7bd436… |
| 06-15 07:40:52 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x7bd436… |
| 06-15 07:40:52 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x7bd436… |
| 06-15 07:40:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7bd436… |
| 06-15 07:40:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb8c…3363 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x7bd436… |