Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
open
Total volume
$1,641
$70 in 24h
Trades
186
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$12,975
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 11:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $85 | $4 | +$81 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $105 | $432 | $327 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $70 | $129 | $58 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $22 | $54 | $32 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $50 | — | +$50 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $12 | $11 |
| Below median | 4 | $25 | $28 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $29 | — | +$29 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $96 | $425 | $329 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $31 | — | +$31 |
| unranked | 16 | $43 | $153 | $110 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +195 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-08 13:28 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +195 | $181 | $181 | 1 | 06-08 13:28 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +186 | $28 | $34 | 3 | 06-05 23:03 |
| Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | +150 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 06-08 15:40 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +130 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-05 22:54 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +130 | $117 | $362 | 13 | 06-05 23:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +124 | $10 | $39 | 12 | 06-09 14:32 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +110 | $8 | $20 | 9 | 06-11 21:22 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +88 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-08 13:28 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +87 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 06-08 13:28 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +81 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-05 22:57 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 22:54 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +60 | $52 | $77 | 6 | 06-05 22:57 |
| Aromatic-Pony 0x230b…7409 | Yes | +58 | $2 | $10 | 4 | 06-09 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb8c…3363 | Yes | +55 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-11 09:05 |
| Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | +44 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 11:18 |
| Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | +26 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 06-11 07:41 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-05 22:57 |
| Opulent-Sentencing 0x162f…978f | Yes | +19 | $3 | $20 | 17 | 06-05 18:14 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-05 22:54 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 23:01 |
| Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 22:54 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 23:03 |
| Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 18:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 11:18:01 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa1345e… |
| 06-12 11:18:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 24 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa1345e… |
| 06-11 21:22:06 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x76d2f1… |
| 06-11 21:22:06 | Attentive-Concern 0x9b2f…1c0f | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x76d2f1… |
| 06-11 09:05:19 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7139ec… |
| 06-11 09:05:19 | (anonymous) 0xbb8c…3363 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7139ec… |
| 06-11 07:41:28 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc0c6b4… |
| 06-11 07:41:28 | (anonymous) 0xbb8c…3363 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xc0c6b4… |
| 06-11 07:41:28 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0xc0c6b4… |
| 06-10 23:32:18 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xcb446d… |
| 06-10 23:32:18 | Spectacular-Markup 0x6218…f344 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xcb446d… |
| 06-10 16:27:40 | Huge-Bark 0x9b91…297b | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x80511d… |
| 06-10 16:27:40 | Grim-Artificer 0x5f88…1d4d | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x80511d… |
| 06-10 13:48:40 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9b504c… |
| 06-10 13:48:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9b504c… |
| 06-09 14:33:01 | Aromatic-Pony 0x230b…7409 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x5b9c79… |
| 06-09 14:33:01 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x5b9c79… |
| 06-09 14:32:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 55 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x23b9d7… |
| 06-09 14:32:01 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x23b9d7… |
| 06-09 00:00:31 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa4a7ed… |
| 06-09 00:00:31 | Aromatic-Pony 0x230b…7409 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa4a7ed… |
| 06-08 15:40:28 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5a761f… |
| 06-08 15:40:28 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5a761f… |
| 06-08 15:23:18 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xac9fdf… |
| 06-08 15:23:18 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xac9fdf… |
| 06-08 15:09:49 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x74b756… |
| 06-08 15:09:49 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x74b756… |
| 06-08 15:09:18 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x6a7e13… |
| 06-08 15:09:18 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x6a7e13… |
| 06-08 13:29:48 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x416c62… |
| 06-08 13:29:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x416c62… |
| 06-08 13:28:43 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xea77e9… |
| 06-08 13:28:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 44 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xea77e9… |
| 06-08 13:28:43 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xea77e9… |
| 06-08 13:28:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 80 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xea77e9… |
| 06-08 13:28:43 | (anonymous) 0xbc30…5037 | Yes | SELL | 444 | 8¢ | $34 | 0xea77e9… |
| 06-08 13:28:43 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xea77e9… |
| 06-08 13:28:43 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 195 | 7¢ | $14 | 0xea77e9… |
| 06-08 13:28:42 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 195 | 93¢ | $181 | 0x2ec7be… |
| 06-08 13:28:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x2ec7be… |
| 06-08 13:28:42 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 107 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x2ec7be… |
| 06-07 15:27:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x737c7f… |
| 06-07 15:27:07 | Graceful-Extension 0x3ada…7eab | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x737c7f… |
| 06-07 15:11:00 | Graceful-Extension 0x3ada…7eab | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x6ede77… |
| 06-07 15:11:00 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6ede77… |
| 06-06 21:52:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xdf3ca2… |
| 06-06 21:52:33 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xdf3ca2… |
| 06-06 07:45:16 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xa76981… |
| 06-06 07:45:16 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa76981… |
| 06-06 02:12:42 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x20338e… |
| 06-06 02:12:42 | (anonymous) 0xbeff…da9f | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x20338e… |
| 06-05 23:03:03 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xa4bd13… |
| 06-05 23:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xbf5171… |
| 06-05 23:03:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xaa3d2d… |
| 06-05 23:03:03 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xa4bd13… |
| 06-05 23:03:03 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 11 | 84¢ | $10 | 0xbf5171… |
| 06-05 23:03:03 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xaa3d2d… |
| 06-05 23:01:54 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xcc6bcd… |
| 06-05 23:01:54 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 26 | 88¢ | $23 | 0xcc6bcd… |
| 06-05 23:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x3b6e42… |
| 06-05 23:01:49 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | SELL | 41 | 88¢ | $36 | 0x3b6e42… |
| 06-05 23:01:21 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xcccf73… |
| 06-05 23:01:21 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xcccf73… |
| 06-05 23:01:10 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 72 | 88¢ | $63 | 0x64b14f… |
| 06-05 23:01:10 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 13 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x64b14f… |
| 06-05 23:01:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 59 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x64b14f… |
| 06-05 22:57:19 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x1fcfc5… |
| 06-05 22:57:19 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1fcfc5… |
| 06-05 22:57:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 81 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x1fcfc5… |
| 06-05 22:57:18 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x244c50… |
| 06-05 22:57:18 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | SELL | 14 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x244c50… |
| 06-05 22:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 70 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x315953… |
| 06-05 22:54:54 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x315953… |
| 06-05 22:54:54 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 75 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x315953… |
| 06-05 22:54:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5fe612… |
| 06-05 22:54:52 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5fe612… |
| 06-05 22:54:52 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 42 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x5fe612… |
| 06-05 22:54:52 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x46d781… |
| 06-05 22:54:52 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5fe612… |
| 06-05 22:54:52 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb68067… |
| 06-05 22:54:52 | Aromatic-Pony 0x230b…7409 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x46d781… |
| 06-05 22:54:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb68067… |
| 06-05 22:54:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x9a5f72… |
| 06-05 22:54:51 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9a5f72… |
| 06-05 22:54:51 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 27 | 90¢ | $24 | 0x9a5f72… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 66 | 89¢ | $59 | 0xc4fcef… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x45cfe9… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x37df25… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xd4b42d… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 44 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x37df25… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 37 | 89¢ | $33 | 0x86d48e… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x86d48e… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x13d814… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x45cfe9… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 11¢ | $7 | 0xc4fcef… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd4b42d… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 74 | 89¢ | $66 | 0x37df25… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x13d814… |
| 06-05 22:54:49 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x45cfe9… |
| 06-05 22:54:48 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xe27f73… |