Realized P&L
-$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
38.2%
Resolved
2,324
Trades
27,026
lifetime
Volume
$187.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$244
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-04 19:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Crypto
55% 44% -$733
Other
29% 37% +$75
Politics
15% 34% -$1,122
Tech
0% 57% -$4
Sports
0% 69% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -27 -$26 94¢ $-25 +$0 06-19 21:10
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -24 -$24 100¢ $-24 $0 06-19 21:08
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -21 -$17 94¢ $-20 -$3 07-22 08:19
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -18 -$18 99¢ $-18 $0 06-27 03:05
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? No — -18 -$18 100¢ $-18 $0 06-27 03:08
OKX IPO in 2026? No -18 -$16 97¢ $-18 -$1 07-22 08:19
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -18 -$17 99¢ $-18 $0 06-27 03:06
Rippling IPO before 2027? No -18 -$15 96¢ $-17 -$2 06-27 03:05
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -17 -$16 98¢ $-17 -$1 06-27 03:08
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No -14 -$13 98¢ $-14 -$1 07-22 18:24
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$12 92¢ $-12 $0 07-22 18:24
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -12 -$12 100¢ $-12 $0 06-27 03:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? No -12 -$12 99¢ $-12 +$0 07-22 08:23
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$4 88¢ $-10 -$6 07-22 08:23
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? No -8 -$3 55¢ $-4 -$1 07-22 08:24
Discord IPO before 2027? No -2 -$1 95¢ $-2 -$1 07-22 08:24
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -16 -$4 10¢ $-1 +$3 07-22 08:21
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -22 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$3 06-27 03:05
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 07-22 08:19
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -15 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 06-27 03:05
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -15 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 07-22 08:21
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -15 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 11-04 19:54
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-22 08:23