Little-Drummer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$909

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

179

Trades

26,861

lifetime

Volume

$184.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-22 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 44% +$61

Other

29% 43% +$846

Politics

15% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	148	$8.6K	16,808	173	+16,636	open	—	04-09 00:52
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner	34	$4.6K	3,694	2,365	+1,328	FULL SENSE	+$1,282	05-08 13:16
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	41	$4.3K	4,795	2,312	+2,483	Global Esports	+$2,323	05-08 12:25
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	72	$3.0K	4,989	0	+4,989	Dragon Ranger Gaming	$-1,237	05-08 14:00
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	58	$3.0K	5,864	0	+5,864	open	—	04-09 17:23
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	29	$2.3K	3,784	826	+2,958	Team Vitality	$-785	05-08 18:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	28	$1.6K	3,107	0	+3,107	open	—	04-09 00:24
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	27	$1.4K	2,848	0	+2,848	open	—	04-09 01:52
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	26	$1.3K	2,622	0	+2,622	open	—	04-08 22:52
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	28	$1.3K	2,632	0	+2,632	open	—	04-03 17:44
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	20	$1.3K	2,194	123	+2,070	open	—	04-09 23:26
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	19	$1.2K	2,451	0	+2,451	open	—	04-08 22:53
will trump praise allah again by april 15	20	$1.1K	2,247	0	+2,247	open	—	04-09 01:26
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	22	$1.0K	2,051	0	+2,051	open	—	04-08 06:04
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	19	$1.0K	2,121	0	+2,121	open	—	04-09 15:45
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	18	$1.0K	2,039	0	+2,039	open	—	04-08 20:30
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	27	$990	1,530	204	+1,326	open	—	04-09 15:31
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	31	$968	1,656	0	+1,656	FULL SENSE	$-119	05-08 13:01
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	23	$926	1,844	0	+1,844	open	—	04-08 22:54
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	42	$888	882	841	+41	open	—	03-25 14:06
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	26	$846	1,669	0	+1,669	open	—	04-03 08:57
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	12	$844	1,706	0	+1,706	open	—	04-09 00:58
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner	44	$828	1,459	0	+1,459	FULL SENSE	$-429	05-07 11:21
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	25	$790	1,402	119	+1,283	open	—	04-08 04:01
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	18	$771	1,512	0	+1,512	Yes	$-15	04-07 20:38
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	12	$747	1,481	0	+1,481	open	—	04-01 22:23
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	12	$722	1,069	123	+946	open	—	04-09 23:26
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	12	$686	1,352	0	+1,352	open	—	04-09 01:45
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	15	$683	1,469	0	+1,469	open	—	04-02 17:37
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner	41	$640	1,098	0	+1,098	Global Esports	$-235	05-07 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 18:24:18	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x772571…
07-22 18:24:06	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x6b0d5f…
07-22 18:23:42	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xcadfc4…
07-22 08:24:39	Discord IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x854ac2…
07-22 08:24:22	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x2904c9…
07-22 08:23:49	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0xe5b875…
07-22 08:23:31	US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xb6344d…
07-22 08:23:31	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x637e78…
07-22 08:23:13	Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x63733f…
07-22 08:23:13	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x204f38…
07-22 08:21:18	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x01cf2c…
07-22 08:20:12	Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	91¢	$16	0x0a51f2…
07-22 08:19:55	OKX IPO in 2026?	No	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x236157…
07-22 08:19:54	Glean IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x253c95…
07-22 08:19:54	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x156596…
07-22 08:19:52	Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	79¢	$17	0xdff7ce…
07-22 08:19:52	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x16accf…
07-22 08:19:34	Nothing Ever Happens: Obama	Something	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x4738ab…
06-27 03:08:50	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	No	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xc16827…
06-27 03:08:35	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x1802c9…
06-27 03:08:07	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3ca099…
06-27 03:07:59	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x34bd27…
06-27 03:07:31	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x586ff5…
06-27 03:06:46	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x0754e2…
06-27 03:06:14	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd5f25b…
06-27 03:06:02	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x940162…
06-27 03:05:41	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x6de815…
06-27 03:05:34	Rippling IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0xb9edf5…
06-19 21:10:10	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x8cb626…
06-19 21:09:59	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x5aab57…
06-19 21:09:53	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x6a4070…
05-25 02:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xd6e5f1…
05-25 02:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x730462…
05-25 02:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x6ebd14…
05-25 02:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x43a7f3…
05-25 02:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x515a3d…
05-25 02:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd62900…
05-25 02:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf33fc0…
05-25 02:02:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9e1f1a…
05-25 02:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb5f4c2…
05-25 02:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb7a5f6…
05-25 02:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf1abf0…
05-25 02:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5a6223…
05-25 02:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x332275…
05-25 02:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf414bd…
05-25 01:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x51319f…
05-25 01:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd23775…
05-25 01:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4ef914…
05-25 01:56:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xab671a…
05-25 01:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x8ac9aa…
05-25 01:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x154570…
05-25 01:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x03ad29…
05-25 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xa4cd14…
05-25 01:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x49c21b…
05-25 01:55:04	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4b1c1b…
05-25 01:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xcfc96a…
05-25 01:54:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9eb19b…
05-25 01:54:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x19ce75…
05-25 01:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd7cf41…
05-25 01:52:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc0cbdf…
05-25 01:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x76ce78…
05-25 01:51:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe26432…
05-25 01:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x22c76a…
05-25 01:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8ad014…
05-25 01:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa0e1e7…
05-25 01:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x381f6d…
05-25 01:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x0e5b50…
05-25 01:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4b2982…
05-25 01:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xac2274…
05-25 01:40:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x0a591e…
05-25 01:40:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0x5a19c3…
05-25 01:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x9ad8d5…
05-25 01:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf07ed8…
05-25 01:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x887e57…
05-25 01:39:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc5c658…
05-25 01:39:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x98222b…
05-25 01:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdac33f…
05-25 01:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x35455c…
05-25 01:32:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x900353…
05-25 01:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x27588b…
05-25 01:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6576d5…
05-25 01:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x69a472…
05-25 01:26:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x97fd4b…
05-25 01:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x025e7f…
05-25 01:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xed9c88…
05-25 01:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xeb310f…
05-25 01:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xe94f2c…
05-25 01:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7bdc67…
05-25 01:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x9795a6…
05-25 01:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x4464f1…
05-25 01:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa85ae5…
05-25 01:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc76486…
05-25 01:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbbce89…
05-25 01:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0c5796…
05-25 01:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf609bd…
05-25 01:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe0dfab…
05-25 01:14:49	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5622f9…
05-25 01:11:05	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2e3233…
05-25 01:10:56	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xafac61…
05-25 01:10:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x9c52d0…