Slushy-Parrot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$3.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 08-07 01:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

44% 50% $-13

Politics

34% 100% +$9

Sports

17% 100% +$5

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$329	0	334	-334	open	—	07-12 13:14
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	1	$314	0	316	-316	open	—	08-04 11:01
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	1	$300	899	0	+899	open	—	08-04 11:03
will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723192605548	2	$300	370	0	+370	open	—	08-07 01:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	04-27 20:08
will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723192605547	2	$200	339	0	+339	open	—	08-07 01:25
will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723192605546	1	$100	1,286	0	+1,286	open	—	08-07 01:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	05-04 21:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	05-15 15:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-26 13:06
Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$87	455	455	+0	open	—	05-10 12:03
will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	2	$80	266	0	+266	open	—	06-29 11:53
will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	2	$56	167	167	+0	open	—	06-30 10:43
Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?	1	$50	190	0	+190	open	—	05-02 15:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	1	$50	1,667	0	+1,667	open	—	08-04 11:05
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	1	$50	70	0	+70	open	—	06-28 12:31
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$50	93	0	+93	open	—	07-02 10:59
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	06-28 12:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	04-26 13:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	1	$45	0	46	-46	open	—	06-10 11:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$39	103	103	+0	open	—	05-19 19:55
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	08-03 16:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	04-26 13:06
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	2	$21	17	17	+0	LOUD	+$1	05-09 17:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$18	27	0	+27	No	+$9	04-27 15:18
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	2	$15	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 18:43
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	2	$14	14	14	+0	100 Thieves	+$4	05-09 02:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$12	80	80	+0	open	—	05-11 16:26
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	161	0	+161	open	—	04-26 12:59
bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	1	$10	59	0	+59	open	—	06-09 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 01:25:06	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723192605548	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xd84f5a…
08-07 01:25:01	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723192605547	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x9d45b0…
08-07 01:25:00	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723192605546	No	BUY	1,286	8¢	$100	0xfb1095…
08-07 01:24:54	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723192605547	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x540dad…
08-07 01:24:51	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723192605548	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x99314c…
08-04 11:05:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,667	3¢	$50	0x78573f…
08-04 11:03:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	899	33¢	$300	0x8f6b99…
08-04 11:01:39	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	316	99¢	$314	0xbc5b9d…
08-03 16:10:11	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xa782a4…
07-12 13:14:40	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	334	99¢	$329	0x9d9075…
07-05 19:53:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5e4db7…
07-04 12:05:29	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf343d0…
07-04 12:05:23	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x23127d…
07-03 11:54:50	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Ghana	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7f44a3…
07-03 11:54:19	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0b878c…
07-03 11:53:32	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x766589…
07-03 11:53:02	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xd862f3…
07-02 10:59:10	Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd0723e…
07-02 10:59:01	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x4b5320…
07-02 10:53:41	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3dcfba…
07-01 15:19:56	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf52fe2…
07-01 15:19:41	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5052a9…
06-30 10:43:41	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	SELL	167	21¢	$36	0x22e084…
06-29 11:53:01	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x1540f3…
06-28 12:31:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xc6e31a…
06-28 12:30:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xfda861…
06-28 12:25:17	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1d15db…
06-28 12:11:52	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb72300…
06-27 12:53:31	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd9099d…
06-27 12:53:14	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xca5b93…
06-27 12:53:02	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6daf48…
06-27 12:52:47	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x24066b…
06-27 12:49:53	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x361ee9…
06-27 12:48:47	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1beda9…
06-27 12:47:02	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xf6ad51…
06-26 15:14:25	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf57e47…
06-26 15:13:52	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc07d93…
06-25 11:01:19	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	United States	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf3765b…
06-25 10:59:55	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 first half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4af593…
06-25 10:59:29	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfe95ff…
06-25 10:59:22	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 3pt5	Netherlands	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x85db37…
06-25 10:59:05	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x426925…
06-25 10:58:55	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3fee21…
06-24 13:41:14	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x35a0ae…
06-22 20:50:07	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xde5a96…
06-22 20:49:43	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 5pt5	France	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcab025…
06-22 20:49:32	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 3pt5	France	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8c8712…
06-22 20:49:11	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x47ec28…
06-22 01:00:56	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x186c4a…
06-22 00:59:50	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x5944a9…
06-22 00:58:37	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x280035…
06-21 21:16:08	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcfdc9a…
06-21 21:15:44	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfe4659…
06-21 18:14:22	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbcb11a…
06-21 15:44:10	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5ee328…
06-21 15:06:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdd97fd…
06-21 15:05:38	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6994a6…
06-20 10:27:44	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe708b2…
06-20 10:25:46	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6d5d0e…
06-19 21:21:16	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 goals igor thiago gte1	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0bfe48…
06-19 21:20:25	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 goals raphinha gte1	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc77c77…
06-19 21:13:17	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa18765…
06-19 21:12:25	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2a6764…
06-19 21:11:34	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x04cac2…
06-19 21:11:11	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6f7482…
06-17 01:35:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xf347bb…
06-10 11:40:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0xd31597…
06-09 01:04:45	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xbda0f4…
06-07 23:41:03	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x76a972…
06-07 23:37:28	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xca3cc7…
05-19 20:04:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x24a165…
05-19 19:55:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	9¢	$9	0x744fec…
05-16 19:03:51	LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	Fluxo W7M	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x843dae…
05-16 19:03:21	LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 Winner	Fluxo W7M	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xad6cdd…
05-16 18:04:04	LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	Fluxo W7M	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7b57f7…
05-15 19:22:58	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x47998e…
05-15 15:47:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x478e79…
05-14 21:35:31	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner	Leviatán Esports	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd0c377…
05-14 21:22:01	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner	Leviatán Esports	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe6fd81…
05-11 16:26:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x08fb5f…
05-10 21:13:03	Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner	LOUD	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x77f69d…
05-10 12:04:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x942389…
05-10 12:04:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x03dcc0…
05-10 12:03:05	Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	455	8¢	$37	0x91917c…
05-09 17:25:51	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x983b18…
05-09 17:17:50	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x0ff314…
05-09 17:11:39	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x278a5d…
05-09 16:41:07	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner	LOUD	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x647fa8…
05-09 16:23:35	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc109a7…
05-09 02:36:27	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	100 Thieves	SELL	14	68¢	$9	0xd8a400…
05-09 02:25:01	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	100 Thieves	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x5f816c…
05-09 01:50:41	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbc16c0…
05-09 01:35:52	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner	FURIA Esports	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x87bc0c…
05-09 01:29:29	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x658f61…
05-08 18:47:11	Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xdbc6a7…
05-07 09:47:13	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb5f193…
05-04 21:06:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x0690c3…
05-02 18:43:44	LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	FURIA Esports	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0x20db23…
05-02 18:00:24	LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	FURIA Esports	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe2d16c…
05-02 15:34:58	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	190	26¢	$50	0x38106b…