White-Donkey 0x993fe2…3b35cb
whale bot hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.11K
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
87.5%
Resolved
27,447
Trades
347,537
lifetime
Volume
$2.24M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$161
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 05-19 22:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Other
97% 87% +$2,205
Crypto
2% 52% -$73
Politics
1% 85% -$8
Sports
0% 79% +$19
Tech
0% 55% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 60% -$13
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 05-02 21:46
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$1 05-02 22:33
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 05-02 22:33
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +18 $17 100¢ $18 +$1 05-02 22:33
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 05-02 22:33
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +18 $8 89¢ $16 +$8 05-02 22:33
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? No +20 $9 73¢ $15 +$5 05-02 21:46
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? No +20 $12 50¢ $10 -$2 05-02 21:46
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -8 -$2 46¢ $-4 -$2 05-03 16:02
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 -$2 96¢ $-3 -$1 05-03 16:30
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -4 $0 67¢ $-3 -$3 05-03 16:22
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes -4 -$1 57¢ $-2 -$1 05-03 16:24
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes -5 -$2 50¢ $-2 $0 05-03 09:26
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +18 $12 12¢ $2 -$10 05-02 22:32
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -4 $0 55¢ $-2 -$2 05-03 15:58
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -11 -$2 17¢ $-2 +$1 05-03 11:23
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes -5 -$2 27¢ $-1 +$1 05-03 09:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -4 -$2 28¢ $-1 +$1 05-03 15:58
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$0 05-03 16:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes -4 -$1 21¢ $-1 +$1 05-03 16:24
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5 $0 14¢ $-1 $0 05-03 16:15
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes -3 -$1 20¢ $-1 $0 05-03 16:22
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -11 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$1 05-03 11:23
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5 $0 11¢ $-1 $0 05-03 16:15
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -4 -$2 10¢ $-0 +$1 05-03 15:58
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes -4 $0 9¢ $-0 $0 05-03 16:24
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 05-03 16:15
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes -3 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 05-03 16:22
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -4 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-03 16:15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes -4 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 05-03 16:11