Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on May 5?
open
Total volume
$562
$5,182 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$1,026
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 18:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $132 | $132 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $12 | $361 | $349 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $132 | $132 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $35 | $35 |
| Median | 12 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 18 | $11 | $306 | $295 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | No | +133 | $132 | $132 | 1 | 05-05 10:30 |
| Elaborate-Vivo 0x10e0…92e4 | No | +122 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 05-05 09:21 |
| Menacing-Resort 0xd066…2981 | No | +92 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 05-05 06:10 |
| Grand-Hacienda 0x1b3d…8ad6 | Yes | +87 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 23:44 |
| Biodegradable-Heart 0x51ee…2912 | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-05 10:56 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-05 16:47 |
| Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-05 04:15 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 09:35 |
| Powerless-Nudge 0x2b66…db0a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 05:09 |
| Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-04 21:04 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-05 09:01 |
| Definitive-Plot 0x3acd…3a4f | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 22:24 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 01:50 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 09:35 |
| Angry-Disparity 0x847c…9ff8 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 00:04 |
| Skeletal-Close 0x9915…0cfe | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 06:40 |
| Marvelous-Provider 0xab91…2ec7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 18:05:00 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xb151d0… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08ecad… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x116a5d… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7bf3c5… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3a308… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb32059… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x320d98… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde696a… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fb28e… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x96354f… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d9633… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd020a5… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30a027… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ccaf1… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61342f… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3393ed… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaf7e99… |
| 05-05 16:47:38 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d6b25… |
| 05-05 14:32:20 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3114ee… |
| 05-05 11:15:18 | Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ace14… |
| 05-05 10:56:26 | Clueless-Slip 0x6e05…d898 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xe12b91… |
| 05-05 10:56:22 | Biodegradable-Heart 0x51ee…2912 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0xc6a7c7… |
| 05-05 10:46:14 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x8405eb… |
| 05-05 10:30:16 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | SELL | 27 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x7f5dee… |
| 05-05 10:30:12 | Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | No | BUY | 133 | 99¢ | $132 | 0x2fdbb4… |
| 05-05 09:35:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7aa54f… |
| 05-05 09:35:06 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x2f5aea… |
| 05-05 09:26:16 | Marvelous-Provider 0xab91…2ec7 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x932581… |
| 05-05 09:21:14 | Elaborate-Vivo 0x10e0…92e4 | No | BUY | 122 | 98¢ | $120 | 0xa9ff6b… |
| 05-05 09:01:20 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xf7c1fe… |
| 05-05 08:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x7e57…ca80 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf85e9c… |
| 05-05 06:40:50 | Skeletal-Close 0x9915…0cfe | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf95b49… |
| 05-05 06:40:34 | Tangible-Philosophy 0x3afe…075d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x153208… |
| 05-05 06:10:22 | Menacing-Resort 0xd066…2981 | No | BUY | 68 | 97¢ | $66 | 0x387b11… |
| 05-05 06:10:10 | Menacing-Resort 0xd066…2981 | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0xd1e103… |
| 05-05 05:09:52 | Powerless-Nudge 0x2b66…db0a | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x0782ae… |
| 05-05 04:15:00 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xea49ec… |
| 05-05 03:55:08 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x400837… |
| 05-05 01:50:18 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x02de0e… |
| 05-05 00:04:58 | Angry-Disparity 0x847c…9ff8 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x3382ac… |
| 05-04 23:44:40 | Grand-Hacienda 0x1b3d…8ad6 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x84869c… |
| 05-04 22:24:40 | Definitive-Plot 0x3acd…3a4f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x33e946… |
| 05-04 21:04:44 | Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xcd6a73… |