Powerless-Nudge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,770

lifetime

Volume

$4.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 05-08 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 62% +$7

Other

30% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 198 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776565500	61	$302	560	395	+166	open	—	04-19 02:29
btc updown 5m 1776575100	24	$119	163	138	+25	open	—	04-19 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	4	$87	197	0	+197	open	—	04-24 07:14
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	20	$82	93	87	+6	open	—	04-22 14:47
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	6	$76	90	0	+90	open	—	04-23 14:52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 29?	6	$76	101	0	+101	open	—	04-28 10:14
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	19	$63	60	47	+13	open	—	04-23 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on April 25?	14	$57	85	50	+35	open	—	04-25 21:46
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	18	$45	37	36	+1	open	—	04-24 06:30
btc updown 5m 1776545400	9	$45	76	39	+37	open	—	04-18 20:53
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 20c	18	$38	44	44	+0	open	—	04-24 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	5	$38	176	0	+176	open	—	04-24 06:31
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 16c	15	$37	47	40	+7	open	—	04-23 19:39
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on April 25?	3	$36	40	38	+2	open	—	04-25 21:20
highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 18c	11	$31	36	34	+2	open	—	04-24 07:02
btc updown 15m 1770220800	6	$29	55	46	+9	open	—	02-04 16:13
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	19	$28	108	0	+108	open	—	04-22 15:02
btc updown 15m 1770304500	11	$28	44	43	+0	open	—	02-05 15:25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?	8	$26	41	26	+15	open	—	04-26 18:58
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	6	$25	100	0	+100	open	—	04-28 09:02
sol updown 5m 1775915400	5	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	04-11 13:53
highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 22c	6	$25	26	10	+16	open	—	04-23 15:13
btc updown 5m 1776565800	5	$25	85	33	+52	open	—	04-19 02:32
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 17c	19	$24	170	0	+170	open	—	04-22 14:22
eth updown 5m 1776072900	2	$23	50	47	+3	open	—	04-13 09:39
btc updown 15m 1770306300	7	$21	29	29	+0	open	—	02-05 15:57
btc updown 15m 1770282900	10	$21	54	16	+38	open	—	02-05 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?	4	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	04-28 09:03
highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	5	$18	22	10	+12	open	—	04-23 13:40
btc updown 15m 1770284700	9	$17	53	6	+47	open	—	02-05 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 13:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x7f0263…
05-08 13:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x099fd9…
05-08 13:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x7b4c8f…
05-08 13:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc3d900…
05-08 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xedcdc0…
05-08 13:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa38754…
05-07 20:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfe0a72…
05-07 19:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdf941d…
05-07 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xe7faba…
05-07 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8a5349…
05-07 18:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x70bf2b…
05-07 18:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x3bbaad…
05-07 18:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x466201…
05-07 18:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x4ba3b2…
05-07 18:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2a6b76…
05-07 15:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf8e78d…
05-07 15:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x79c29e…
05-07 15:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb01a19…
05-07 15:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2f8884…
05-07 15:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x68e049…
05-07 15:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xf15903…
05-07 15:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4cd79e…
05-07 15:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x12a69d…
05-07 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x43157d…
05-07 15:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0487ef…
05-07 15:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeddf4a…
05-07 15:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc2a954…
05-07 15:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x38d431…
05-05 07:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6e3597…
05-04 10:30:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x350781…
05-02 14:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb8f53f…
05-02 14:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfaaf7c…
05-02 14:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4d5e39…
05-02 14:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd0363b…
05-02 14:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc98cf6…
05-02 14:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa268c5…
05-02 14:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe47e77…
05-02 14:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa600b5…
05-02 14:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xec7e8e…
05-02 14:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x06fa24…
05-02 14:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5dd724…
05-02 14:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1cc85e…
05-02 14:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x52121e…
05-02 14:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5fd935…
05-02 14:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x37beee…
05-02 14:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9a0a54…
05-02 13:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x519bcd…
05-01 14:58:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x3bd669…
04-30 15:00:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2bef14…
04-30 14:01:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xa3093c…
04-30 13:59:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x7c29cb…
04-30 11:13:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe9699f…
04-28 15:18:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x9649f5…
04-28 13:26:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x058b9c…
04-28 10:14:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 29?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x64936e…
04-28 10:13:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 29?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x7e91cf…
04-28 09:49:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 29?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb15871…
04-28 09:49:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 29?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xf98801…
04-28 09:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 29?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1dfc1e…
04-28 09:09:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 29?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x82e716…
04-28 09:09:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 29?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x27a3eb…
04-28 09:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xe4f151…
04-28 09:02:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xb9d26f…
04-28 08:58:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0xcb7828…
04-28 08:57:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xbd1e68…
04-28 08:57:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x075ea6…
04-28 08:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0xe4f78b…
04-28 08:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x182336…
04-28 08:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x4c79de…
04-28 08:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6db181…
04-28 08:36:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc3fe26…
04-28 08:35:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0566a4…
04-28 08:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd50fe3…
04-28 08:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x77b7fa…
04-28 08:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd6e071…
04-27 08:43:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x99f926…
04-27 08:37:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x87e9fe…
04-26 19:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5daf93…
04-26 18:58:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0xf559f5…
04-26 18:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xee4b5d…
04-26 18:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 26?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xb8895d…
04-26 18:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x924fd5…
04-26 18:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x93fb5c…
04-26 18:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xb94ccd…
04-26 18:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xa20bf8…
04-26 18:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x05f235…
04-26 18:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x6e6aa2…
04-26 18:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7900bd…
04-26 18:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4ad794…
04-26 18:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xf39d4d…
04-26 18:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x411c27…
04-26 18:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x91594c…
04-26 18:12:32	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc947de…
04-26 18:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5a3f12…
04-26 18:10:40	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x593749…
04-26 18:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x60bc29…
04-26 18:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2baa5e…
04-26 18:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x27c3f0…
04-26 18:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfac0a8…
04-26 17:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x92f9c8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	496	$10.0K	1,468	05-08 13:54
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	489	$9.69K	1,454	04-26 19:01
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	395	$313.2K	34,522	04-21 09:24
Sniveling-Billion 0x8709…930d	357	$82.7K	17,923	04-18 11:44
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	354	$763	1,689	05-07 15:40
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	344	$4.27K	975	05-08 13:49
(anonymous) 0x8c90…6e09	313	$136.8K	3,095	04-14 19:24
Joyful-Algorithm 0xf16a…f999	309	$9.20K	963	05-08 13:54