Powerless-Nudge — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$34

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

2,155 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$149

$7.72K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-10 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

55% 54% -$117

Crypto

45% 42% -$196

Sports

0% 44% -$3

Tech

0% 67% +$4

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		-17	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-04 20:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	24	$516	415	415	+0	Yes	+$20	05-04 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 02:25 UTC	61	$302	560	395	+166	Up	-$58	04-19 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?	18	$185	203	70	+133	Yes	-$47	05-05 05:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 05:05 UTC	24	$119	163	138	+25	Up	-$11	04-19 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 4?	5	$113	60	60	+0	No	+$1	05-04 20:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?	4	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$2	05-04 15:44
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 29?	7	$92	121	0	+121	No	+$29	04-28 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	4	$87	197	0	+197	Yes	+$75	04-24 07:14
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	20	$82	93	87	+6	Yes	+$36	04-22 14:47
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	6	$76	90	0	+90	Yes	+$14	04-23 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 5?	6	$76	40	40	+0	No	+$2	05-05 13:31
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	8	$64	115	97	+18	No	+$0	04-28 17:46
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	19	$63	60	47	+13	No	-$4	04-23 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 5?	5	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-05 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on April 25?	14	$57	85	50	+35	No	-$36	04-25 21:46
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 4?	2	$52	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-04 12:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?	4	$49	26	26	+0	No	+$3	05-04 14:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	05-03 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 5?	3	$47	25	25	+0	No	+$3	05-05 13:20
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	18	$45	37	36	+1	Yes	+$5	04-24 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:50 UTC	9	$45	76	39	+37	Down	-$15	04-18 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 5?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-05 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 4?	4	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-04 16:06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-05 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-05 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?	4	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-05 16:11
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 20c	18	$38	44	44	+0	Yes	+$5	04-24 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	5	$38	176	0	+176	No	-$38	04-24 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 4?	3	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-04 16:25
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 16c	15	$37	47	40	+7	No	-$2	04-23 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 15:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	176	3¢	$5	0x3145ec…
10-10 15:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5c07b8…
10-10 15:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x21252c…
10-10 15:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xae8b99…
10-10 15:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x38e05d…
10-10 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x78c9e2…
10-10 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x374a04…
10-10 14:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x73a70a…
10-10 14:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd4462d…
10-10 14:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x70dc46…
10-10 14:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe6c6a1…
10-10 14:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x03900c…
10-10 14:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc6c74d…
10-10 14:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa96f5c…
10-10 14:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xf8d5ce…
10-10 14:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x51d6c5…
10-10 14:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2044de…
10-10 14:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9e6e27…
10-10 14:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9e61fe…
10-10 14:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x30ac3a…
10-10 14:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf87e54…
10-10 14:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0db935…
10-10 12:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf58cec…
10-10 12:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x43840a…
10-10 12:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x99e58d…
10-10 12:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x93244c…
10-10 12:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xca3b2c…
10-10 12:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd1fbe3…
10-10 08:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf81eec…
10-10 08:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x43ee05…
10-10 08:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfa8bea…
10-10 07:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd802a3…
10-10 07:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9503f2…
10-10 07:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb11fbb…
10-10 07:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3b1d79…
10-10 07:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9aa13c…
10-10 06:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x48233c…
10-10 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc51339…
10-10 06:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x85dcac…
10-10 06:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x277f67…
10-10 06:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xca7b09…
10-10 05:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3c809b…
10-10 05:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf13a24…
10-10 05:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc6fa25…
10-10 05:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0130cd…
10-10 05:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5e3288…
10-10 05:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x33c466…
10-10 04:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x20b618…
10-10 04:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x542ebe…
10-10 04:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa29aa0…
10-10 04:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x6fb530…
10-10 04:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6c666b…
10-10 04:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x79375c…
10-10 04:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbdd2f6…
10-10 04:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x583287…
10-10 04:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4d3a80…
10-10 04:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x695b43…
10-09 20:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdf5bc3…
10-09 20:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaa2f95…
10-09 20:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6d65bb…
10-09 18:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfc9614…
10-09 18:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0d96b5…
10-09 18:33:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6fd183…
10-09 18:32:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaf2fac…
10-09 18:31:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x32126a…
10-09 18:30:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8e4005…
10-09 16:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7c1a3a…
10-09 16:23:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2bbac4…
10-09 16:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x29b005…
10-09 16:16:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5fa912…
10-09 16:15:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9d297e…
10-09 16:14:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8aaa06…
10-09 16:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x6f4504…
10-09 16:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf59ea4…
10-09 16:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9f701f…
10-09 16:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe76758…
10-09 16:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xac5c4e…
10-09 16:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xab5488…
05-08 13:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x7f0263…
05-08 13:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x099fd9…
05-08 13:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x7b4c8f…
05-08 13:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc3d900…
05-08 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xedcdc0…
05-08 13:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa38754…
05-07 20:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfe0a72…
05-07 19:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdf941d…
05-07 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xe7faba…
05-07 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8a5349…
05-07 18:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x70bf2b…
05-07 18:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x3bbaad…
05-07 18:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x466201…
05-07 18:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x4ba3b2…
05-07 18:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2a6b76…
05-07 15:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf8e78d…
05-07 15:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x79c29e…
05-07 15:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb01a19…
05-07 15:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2f8884…
05-07 15:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x68e049…
05-07 15:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xf15903…
05-07 15:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4cd79e…