Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$437
$577 in 24h
Trades
48
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$780
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 40 | $17 | $286 | $269 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $4 | $52 | $48 |
| Median | 5 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
| unranked | 27 | $12 | $222 | $210 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xa9bd…e555 | No | +106 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 09:36 |
| Mindless-Flexibility 0xbb27…cc9d | Yes | +79 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 16:02 |
| Educated-Anarchist-Gravel 0xbf25…4f10 | Yes | +48 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 21:29 |
| Fatal-Plate 0xd3ce…618d | No | +36 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 05-05 18:42 |
| Quick-Dispatch 0x13b2…1dec | No | +34 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-05 18:21 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-05 16:57 |
| Ultimate-Subject 0x5bcd…cf4b | Yes | +29 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 16:57 |
| Tan-Illiteracy 0xb2ea…fe59 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-05 09:21 |
| Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | No | +16 | $19 | $31 | 2 | 05-05 17:27 |
| Another-Journey 0xe752…2200 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:39 |
| Past-Download 0xd136…ef46 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 16:47 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-05 17:07 |
| All-Member 0x18ec…8b90 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 14:05 |
| Memorable-Dignity 0x365a…c6c8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 00:54 |
| Sweltering-Blackfish 0xd57d…f5d4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 12:20 |
| Cheap-Art 0x26c7…2f01 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 17:14 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 05-05 17:55 |
| Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 17:17 |
| Scary-Pleat 0xa876…e7b3 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 16:17 |
| Accurate-Date 0xa9c1…be67 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:29 |
| Spiteful-Cleaner 0x80e7…d585 | No | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 05-05 18:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 20:29:46 | Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | No | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xb6e742… |
| 05-05 19:21:22 | Full-Polyester 0x673b…07e0 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1773f7… |
| 05-05 19:03:02 | Rowdy-Elongation 0xf143…b143 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa940eb… |
| 05-05 18:57:10 | Wretched-Freelance 0x09c2…8210 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2084ca… |
| 05-05 18:47:20 | Crazy-Jockey 0x0583…b86f | Yes | SELL | 47 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x331678… |
| 05-05 18:42:40 | Fatal-Plate 0xd3ce…618d | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x98b457… |
| 05-05 18:38:04 | Hateful-Autumn 0x6ff2…d91d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf557f4… |
| 05-05 18:34:50 | Fatal-Plate 0xd3ce…618d | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xeca428… |
| 05-05 18:21:06 | Quick-Dispatch 0x13b2…1dec | No | BUY | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0xdb2cb8… |
| 05-05 18:13:12 | Ill-Fated-Stepgrandmother 0xe260…3f01 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xea8b20… |
| 05-05 18:12:40 | Spiteful-Cleaner 0x80e7…d585 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe0b893… |
| 05-05 17:55:00 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xe4ae30… |
| 05-05 17:54:52 | Crazy-Jockey 0x0583…b86f | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xbebed6… |
| 05-05 17:29:56 | Putrid-Memo 0xea74…2fad | No | SELL | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xed80ec… |
| 05-05 17:29:46 | Rough-Efficiency 0x4e56…8dcd | No | SELL | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x48bd79… |
| 05-05 17:27:28 | Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | No | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xd65a32… |
| 05-05 17:19:46 | Kosher-Visa 0xda18…4282 | No | SELL | 84 | 67¢ | $56 | 0x85ca74… |
| 05-05 17:17:42 | Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x2c30d3… |
| 05-05 17:14:44 | Warm-Basement 0x4676…b720 | No | SELL | 2 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x64300d… |
| 05-05 17:14:40 | Cheap-Art 0x26c7…2f01 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x4da5c4… |
| 05-05 17:09:38 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x6e8abc… |
| 05-05 17:09:36 | Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x324f92… |
| 05-05 17:07:44 | Warm-Basement 0x4676…b720 | No | SELL | 3 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xd70ae4… |
| 05-05 17:07:40 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xdadccd… |
| 05-05 16:57:20 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xac5f2b… |
| 05-05 16:57:20 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x6180ef… |
| 05-05 16:57:20 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x504130… |
| 05-05 16:57:20 | Ultimate-Subject 0x5bcd…cf4b | Yes | BUY | 29 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x58b743… |
| 05-05 16:47:34 | Past-Download 0xd136…ef46 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xa94fba… |
| 05-05 16:44:52 | Wretched-Freelance 0x09c2…8210 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xfda98a… |
| 05-05 16:39:54 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0caad8… |
| 05-05 16:39:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x307a96… |
| 05-05 16:39:54 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x56c326… |
| 05-05 16:39:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa89dcc… |
| 05-05 16:39:38 | Another-Journey 0xe752…2200 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x609279… |
| 05-05 16:17:20 | Tan-Confectionery-Arthur 0xf884…8f01 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4d45d3… |
| 05-05 16:17:18 | Scary-Pleat 0xa876…e7b3 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x57b821… |
| 05-05 16:02:28 | Mindless-Flexibility 0xbb27…cc9d | Yes | BUY | 79 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x69ddfa… |
| 05-05 15:14:48 | Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | No | BUY | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x91abe2… |
| 05-05 14:05:32 | All-Member 0x18ec…8b90 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x85f942… |
| 05-05 12:20:24 | Sweltering-Blackfish 0xd57d…f5d4 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7cab64… |
| 05-05 09:56:18 | Spiteful-Cleaner 0x80e7…d585 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x33203b… |
| 05-05 09:36:10 | (anonymous) 0xa9bd…e555 | No | BUY | 106 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x855e82… |
| 05-05 09:21:26 | Tan-Illiteracy 0xb2ea…fe59 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x8291e4… |
| 05-05 00:59:36 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5bfb3c… |
| 05-05 00:54:40 | Memorable-Dignity 0x365a…c6c8 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc9c2da… |
| 05-04 21:29:34 | Accurate-Date 0xa9c1…be67 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x68feed… |
| 05-04 21:29:32 | Educated-Anarchist-Gravel 0xbf25…4f10 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x590a11… |