Fatal-Plate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$168

Unrealized P&L

-$32

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

1,983

Trades

4,010

lifetime

Volume

$163.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-24 23:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Other

95% 95% -$45

Politics

5% 76% -$130

Tech

0% 80% -$7

Crypto

0% 25% -$14

Sports

0% 100% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+2,000	$34	1¢	$13	-$21	08-31 19:28
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+1,500	$13	0¢	$2	-$11	09-24 23:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	4	$1.2K	0	1,244	-1,244	No	-$5	01-01 09:49
highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 48forhigher	1	$1.2K	1,219	0	+1,219	No	+$2	03-07 00:39
highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 10c	4	$846	425	425	+0	Yes	+$3	03-26 22:42
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?	20	$843	600	262	+337	No	+$19	05-02 20:51
highest temperature in ankara on march 26 2026 14c	2	$798	400	400	+0	No	+$1	03-26 16:34
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	6	$769	400	400	+0	No	+$11	01-14 20:29
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 16c	3	$769	773	0	+773	No	+$5	04-04 18:34
highest temperature in taipei on march 30 2026 25corbelow	5	$751	786	0	+786	Yes	+$34	03-30 08:24
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	10	$720	500	250	+250	No	+$27	01-30 19:46
highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 36 37f	10	$667	681	0	+681	No	+$14	03-02 21:20
highest temperature in chicago on march 17 2026 32forhigher	1	$650	651	0	+651	No	+$1	03-17 23:33
highest temperature in paris on march 16 2026 15c	1	$625	635	0	+635	No	+$10	03-16 09:41
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$583	400	200	+200	No	+$6	02-28 00:36
highest temperature in warsaw on march 26 2026 10c	4	$569	288	288	+0	Yes	+$5	03-26 17:29
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 66forhigher	2	$569	570	0	+570	No	+$1	04-18 22:04
highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 12corbelow	12	$519	500	500	+0	Yes	-$440	03-04 14:28
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 46forhigher	1	$496	500	0	+500	No	+$4	03-03 17:06
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 12 2026 26c	4	$490	500	0	+500	Yes	+$10	04-12 21:01
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 3 2026 13c	9	$487	500	0	+500	No	+$13	04-03 20:47
highest temperature in chengdu on april 8 2026 20c	10	$487	250	249	+0	No	-$2	04-07 08:38
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 44 45f	1	$485	500	0	+500	No	+$15	03-03 13:46
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 21c	3	$448	450	0	+450	No	+$2	04-12 08:05
highest temperature in mexico city on april 4 2026 30c	1	$428	429	0	+429	No	+$0	04-04 23:07
highest temperature in toronto on april 12 2026 15corhigher	5	$418	425	0	+425	No	+$7	04-12 22:37
highest temperature in paris on march 2 2026 19corhigher	3	$414	424	10	+414	No	+$0	03-02 15:36
highest temperature in chongqing on april 11 2026 22c	6	$412	415	0	+415	No	+$3	04-11 09:11
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 21c	6	$412	416	0	+416	Yes	+$4	04-16 21:04
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 23c	5	$410	418	0	+418	No	+$8	04-06 18:17
highest temperature in lucknow on april 10 2026 34c	2	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	04-10 12:27
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	8	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$3	02-23 08:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 23:53:05	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x89497f…
09-24 21:42:53	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xd346ea…
09-02 20:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xfbb425…
08-31 19:28:49	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	961	2¢	$14	0x911277…
08-28 22:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 28?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4fc940…
08-28 22:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x58f8ad…
08-28 22:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5302a9…
08-28 21:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8cb7e6…
08-28 21:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 28?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4e99ee…
08-28 21:02:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 28?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x130e18…
08-28 21:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xf5b63b…
08-28 21:01:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x50ac42…
08-28 19:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x00f85a…
08-28 19:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 28?	No	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0xe6a27a…
08-28 18:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0x473d0b…
08-28 16:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb3a7bc…
08-28 13:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x7173cd…
08-28 13:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 28?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xfa4059…
08-28 10:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 28?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x782008…
08-28 09:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xa361cd…
08-28 09:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x404afd…
08-28 09:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1403fe…
08-28 09:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf42912…
08-28 09:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x93502a…
08-28 09:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xfd0d1a…
08-28 08:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x240eb0…
08-28 08:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3990db…
08-28 08:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3f4079…
08-28 08:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0xadd443…
08-28 08:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xca6ff0…
08-28 08:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x66a2cb…
08-27 23:19:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 27?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x0dead6…
08-27 22:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x62b4fd…
08-27 22:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$42	0x54ead9…
08-27 21:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 27?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8d2736…
08-27 21:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0xd0487c…
08-27 21:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 27?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$63	0x557ccd…
08-27 21:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xb3b9cb…
08-27 21:02:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x735496…
08-27 21:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 27?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x02d210…
08-27 20:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x7603dd…
08-27 20:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x18dd37…
08-27 19:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x019a6c…
08-27 19:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x017819…
08-27 19:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 27?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x2dcb3f…
08-27 19:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 27?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x1ee542…
08-27 19:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4db731…
08-27 18:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa0d36d…
08-27 18:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x808774…
08-27 18:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xedff8b…
08-27 17:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x192bb0…
08-27 17:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0xc48e39…
08-27 17:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x13e668…
08-27 09:54:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xe5ed3f…
08-27 09:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x25bf9a…
08-27 09:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 27?	No	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x46f71e…
08-27 08:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xd1a048…
08-27 08:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 27?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0xc5624e…
08-27 08:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 27?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xf0e235…
08-27 08:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x8be222…
08-27 08:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x76b803…
08-27 08:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 27?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xdf7b3e…
08-27 08:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 27?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb2af00…
08-27 07:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 27?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x73a935…
08-27 07:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf3c3a9…
08-27 07:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xe0d11d…
08-27 07:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xc39e4e…
08-27 07:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x66b0fb…
08-27 07:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x23b50e…
08-27 06:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 27?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xa1e175…
08-27 06:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0xbb1119…
08-27 06:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xf90d67…
08-27 06:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x9cf793…
08-27 06:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x7bcc12…
08-27 06:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8bcca3…
08-27 06:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x279a78…
08-27 06:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xe40caf…
08-26 22:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xd05b86…
08-26 22:00:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 26?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xf17f2d…
08-26 21:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 26?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x415696…
08-26 21:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xde3358…
08-26 21:40:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85bde3…
08-26 21:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x246b05…
08-26 21:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 26?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x44f4d9…
08-26 21:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 26?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x668882…
08-26 21:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x1196c2…
08-26 21:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x4c6b2b…
08-26 21:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xf5a99a…
08-26 21:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 26?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xeb8461…
08-26 21:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 26?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x00b4a5…
08-26 20:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 26?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd7635f…
08-26 20:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 26?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x0bf1f2…
08-26 20:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 26?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb58d78…
08-26 20:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 26?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x287885…
08-26 20:23:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc4a3be…
08-26 20:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa85976…
08-26 20:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0d5e9d…
08-26 20:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5b8a7c…
08-26 20:12:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 26?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x63a591…
08-26 19:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 26?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9488cb…