Grand-Hacienda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

Trades

519

lifetime

Volume

$4.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 05-19 02:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 29% $-6

Other

49% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 80 81f	3	$540	348	340	+7	open	—	04-02 20:12
btc updown 5m 1772758800	6	$377	470	464	+6	open	—	03-06 01:03
highest temperature in miami on april 6 2026 84 85f	11	$231	180	178	+2	open	—	04-07 01:12
highest temperature in miami on april 3 2026 84 85f	2	$215	115	115	+1	open	—	04-04 01:00
btc updown 5m 1772758500	4	$129	119	117	+2	open	—	03-06 00:58
btc updown 5m 1772588400	2	$120	160	159	+1	open	—	03-04 01:42
highest temperature in miami on april 4 2026 82 83f	5	$109	134	132	+2	open	—	04-05 02:05
btc updown 5m 1772911200	4	$109	216	214	+2	open	—	03-07 19:23
btc updown 5m 1772759100	2	$109	158	41	+116	open	—	03-06 01:06
btc updown 5m 1774570200	6	$108	108	107	+1	open	—	03-27 00:14
btc updown 5m 1772757900	4	$103	190	189	+1	open	—	03-06 00:47
btc updown 5m 1772586900	4	$95	230	229	+1	open	—	03-04 01:19
btc updown 5m 1772758200	2	$93	105	103	+2	open	—	03-06 00:53
highest temperature in miami on april 5 2026 82 83f	3	$93	75	74	+1	open	—	04-04 19:16
btc updown 5m 1772588100	2	$75	39	39	+0	open	—	03-04 01:40
highest temperature in toronto on april 5 2026 9c	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	04-05 17:07
btc updown 5m 1772757600	4	$62	85	83	+1	open	—	03-06 00:42
highest temperature in ankara on april 8 2026 11c	3	$61	35	34	+0	open	—	04-07 12:53
btc updown 5m 1772637900	1	$56	537	0	+537	open	—	03-04 15:26
highest temperature in miami on april 3 2026 82 83f	2	$50	86	84	+2	open	—	04-03 22:29
highest temperature in miami on april 3 2026 80 81f	1	$50	185	0	+185	open	—	04-02 20:25
btc updown 5m 1772586600	2	$48	75	74	+1	open	—	03-04 01:14
btc updown 5m 1772587200	4	$46	83	82	+1	open	—	03-04 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 27?	2	$44	39	38	+1	open	—	04-27 20:21
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 27?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-28 04:15
btc updown 5m 1772637600	3	$43	124	21	+103	open	—	03-04 15:23
highest temperature in miami on april 8 2026 82 83f	2	$42	191	182	+8	open	—	04-07 23:12
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 82 83f	1	$41	45	0	+45	open	—	04-02 09:28
btc updown 5m 1774570500	3	$41	82	12	+70	open	—	03-27 00:19
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 80 81f	2	$40	26	25	+1	open	—	04-01 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 02:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x37a38e…
05-19 02:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x23122a…
05-19 02:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x43b979…
05-19 02:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2ee7a7…
05-19 02:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa410ca…
05-19 02:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0xdd57a2…
05-19 02:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7fe563…
05-19 02:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaa0cd7…
05-19 02:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xfa5d36…
05-19 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa2b0f9…
05-19 01:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd929f7…
05-19 01:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x59d6e8…
05-19 01:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x1cf1a1…
05-19 01:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbc297e…
05-19 01:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x59dee3…
05-19 01:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7d63ef…
05-19 01:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7184c4…
05-19 01:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x59fc04…
05-19 01:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb1aeb8…
05-19 01:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92bd67…
05-13 09:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x9d2c0e…
05-13 09:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbb5cc3…
05-13 09:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0465ad…
05-13 09:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf269b3…
05-13 09:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe1f4ee…
05-13 09:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xdbb101…
05-13 09:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x215ea1…
05-13 01:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0x2f6ce7…
05-13 01:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa857d0…
05-12 20:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1e0aef…
05-12 20:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8e4538…
05-12 20:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdd52e7…
04-28 10:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0x9ed595…
04-28 04:15:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xd430bc…
04-28 02:23:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfcec71…
04-28 02:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2cf116…
04-28 00:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 27?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeff6d5…
04-28 00:48:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 27?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8fc07c…
04-28 00:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb88b91…
04-28 00:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe8e554…
04-27 23:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xcd45b8…
04-27 20:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x7c5248…
04-27 20:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	38	43¢	$16	0xc5dc8b…
04-27 20:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x086379…
04-27 20:05:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1575fe…
04-27 20:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x90e6d7…
04-27 19:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x8dc7e5…
04-27 19:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x4435e0…
04-27 19:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0xe1184d…
04-27 19:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xd09f20…
04-27 19:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x69bd2e…
04-27 19:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xf8e3a7…
04-27 17:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xf43452…
04-27 17:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x317be2…
04-27 17:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6e8484…
04-27 17:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe954e8…
04-27 17:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x6a8c73…
04-27 17:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on April 29?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xfb45e8…
04-27 17:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcc6557…
04-27 17:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x818f94…
04-27 17:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8d13bc…
04-27 16:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5f9a00…
04-27 16:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdd9cf7…
04-27 16:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x965e59…
04-27 16:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x22f26f…
04-27 16:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb1c8f6…
04-27 15:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1a3b6b…
04-27 15:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2d0ef6…
04-27 15:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 27?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x182525…
04-27 15:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfb0574…
04-27 15:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x96360d…
04-27 15:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xde4d61…
04-27 15:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x644ec4…
04-27 14:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cc323…
04-27 14:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 27?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x61d88d…
04-27 10:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb86463…
04-27 09:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8bf72a…
04-27 01:33:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5878e2…
04-27 01:32:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 27?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb9a359…
04-27 01:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0cf03e…
04-27 01:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x714937…
04-27 01:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf834af…
04-26 21:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x74ea7a…
04-26 18:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xf44a2d…
04-26 18:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa662af…
04-26 01:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2bcb18…
04-26 01:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x4d9f4a…
04-26 01:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x0f9db5…
04-26 01:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0d1dd1…
04-26 01:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x19d568…
04-26 01:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xa571e0…
04-26 00:34:52	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc224df…
04-26 00:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0a0a8d…
04-25 23:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x3db4ec…
04-25 23:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc1ef28…
04-25 23:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 26?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb998ac…
04-25 22:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x33c1ff…
04-25 22:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 25?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4dbb7c…
04-25 21:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xee8326…
04-25 21:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 25?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x3c812f…