Imaginary-Skullcap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.00K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

13,783

Trades

54,010

lifetime

Volume

$21.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-01 07:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 289 days

Categories

Other

79% 21% +$3,394

Sports

9% 21% +$433

Crypto

8% 29% -$70

Politics

3% 56% +$206

Tech

1% 41% +$47

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026?	Yes	-39	-$2	2¢	$-1	+$1	10-12 19:54
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$0	4¢	$0	+$0	10-12 08:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	-1	$0	3¢	$-0	+$0	05-25 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp monteir lajovic 2026 02 15 match total 23pt5	4	$138	200	166	+34	Over	+$151	02-15 22:06
WTT - Men's Singles: Slovenia vs Spain	13	$120	272	211	+61	Spain	+$87	04-28 19:23
scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 dfc	15	$117	289	166	+123	Yes	+$112	03-07 21:40
fif kr uzb 2026 10 06 spread away 5pt5	4	$103	103	103	+0	Korea Republic	+$101	09-22 22:21
fif kr uzb 2026 10 06 spread away 4pt5	3	$101	103	103	+0	Korea Republic	+$99	09-22 22:21
atp altmaie kecmano 2026 03 04 first set total 9pt5	5	$99	141	99	+42	Under	+$65	03-04 20:51
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 26	36	$86	216	297	-81	No	-$4	02-27 10:59
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC: O/U 2.5	11	$82	152	152	+0	Over	+$79	10-19 05:57
atp monteir lajovic 2026 02 15 match total 22pt5	5	$78	150	83	+67	Over	+$108	02-15 22:06
atp cina rodiono 2026 04 06 match total 21pt5	3	$75	180	74	+106	Under	+$96	04-07 09:57
MLB Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Guardians vs. White Sox	9	$66	857	73	+784	Guardians	+$65	10-11 04:54
atp monteir lajovic 2026 02 15 match total 21pt5	5	$62	190	66	+124	Over	+$114	02-15 22:08
will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	67	$61	596	322	+275	Yes	+$38	03-01 10:26
LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5	16	$59	87	87	+0	No	+$58	10-23 02:13
will marlon score a goal in the 2026 sidemen charity match	21	$59	624	72	+552	Yes	+$62	04-18 19:12
den nor agf 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	29	$59	171	147	+23	FC Nordsjælland	+$54	04-15 07:49
Will OFI win on 2026-04-25?	12	$59	48	87	-38	No	+$59	04-26 21:34
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 corners first half total 5pt5	20	$58	245	58	+188	Over	+$78	06-14 17:55
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	5	$58	19	102	-83	No	-$26	04-22 19:09
mlb stl lad 2026 09 02 hrr joshua baez 4pt5	4	$56	55	55	+0	Over	+$54	09-03 13:40
CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: Club Nacional de Football O/U 5.5 Corners	5	$56	56	56	+0	Over	+$55	07-28 23:48
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 4Q O/U 58.5	2	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$55	10-23 01:54
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 4Q O/U 56.5	2	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$55	10-23 01:54
mex caz atla 2026 08 01 corners team away 2pt5	8	$55	56	56	+0	Over	+$54	08-02 04:18
will angryginge13 score a goal in the 2026 sidemen charity match	9	$55	349	57	+292	Yes	+$53	04-18 17:35
atp monteir lajovic 2026 02 15 set totals 2pt5	9	$52	378	101	+277	Over 2.5	+$235	02-15 22:08
wta charaev you 2026 02 18 match total 22pt5	8	$51	88	53	+35	Over	+$48	02-18 22:06
mlb mil oak 2026 06 10 extra innings	8	$51	150	50	+100	No	+$47	06-11 03:52
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Team Liquid PH (BO7) - MPL Philippines Playoffs	4	$48	56	56	+0	Aurora Gaming PH	+$47	10-24 13:41
Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Score in Second Half	4	$48	56	56	+0	Yes	+$46	10-25 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:48:07	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x05252e…
11-01 05:09:04	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc5aa4b…
11-01 05:09:04	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x0dfe17…
11-01 05:00:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xe6cb64…
11-01 04:13:54	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $540 in November?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x7710d1…
11-01 03:10:39	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0x25f0b6…
11-01 02:16:45	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 28, 2026 and January 3, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf269b4…
11-01 00:25:49	Overwatch: Team Liquid vs Dallas Fuel (BO5) - OCS North America Stage 3 Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x09ce43…
10-31 23:05:09	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x545d45…
10-31 22:58:54	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5d3bdb…
10-31 18:38:52	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $300 end of November?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x880bc9…
10-31 18:36:00	will stop the wedding ashe be the 2 song this week november 6	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x73286e…
10-31 18:36:00	will aint in la adela be the 2 song this week november 6	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x265625…
10-31 18:36:00	will stop the wedding ashe be the 2 song this week november 6	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x131496…
10-31 18:36:00	will aint in la adela be the 2 song this week november 6	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x01dd82…
10-31 18:20:15	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x461f3c…
10-31 18:19:39	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd21c22…
10-31 18:17:15	will the cure olivia rodrigo be the 2 song this week november 6	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb98f2a…
10-31 18:15:48	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x21fcc3…
10-31 18:08:34	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x0a91b4…
10-31 17:53:34	ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x747651…
10-31 17:28:39	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x49603d…
10-31 17:28:04	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x45fde8…
10-31 16:21:51	Stroemsgodset IF vs. Moss FK: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xfea022…
10-31 16:21:49	Stroemsgodset IF vs. Moss FK: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x5d78e2…
10-31 15:34:18	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xc2d83f…
10-31 15:34:18	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb37621…
10-31 15:34:18	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7775f7…
10-31 13:48:34	Will Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x70ad8a…
10-31 13:42:01	Will Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa914fa…
10-31 13:41:12	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9b8e57…
10-31 13:03:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xda187c…
10-31 13:02:27	Exact Score: Beitar Jerusalem FC 3 - 1 Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3c5b77…
10-31 13:02:25	Exact Score: Beitar Jerusalem FC 3 - 1 Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x451746…
10-31 13:02:12	Exact Score: Beitar Jerusalem FC 3 - 1 Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x5f65a2…
10-31 12:03:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x69103d…
10-31 12:02:48	Will Çorum FK win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xa488f6…
10-31 11:59:49	Will Çorum FK win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x3c9893…
10-31 11:26:42	ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xaaeb56…
10-31 10:09:03	Will ETH/BTC dip to 0.0280 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x64ab4f…
10-31 10:08:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb95d40…
10-31 10:01:07	ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x434f49…
10-31 09:08:19	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x1318e7…
10-31 07:46:48	Will ETH/BTC dip to 0.0275 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xca68f3…
10-31 07:42:55	Will ETH/BTC dip to 0.0275 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x535361…
10-31 05:27:43	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x497360…
10-31 05:27:43	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3fe16e…
10-31 05:21:30	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xafb374…
10-31 04:54:58	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x4845b2…
10-31 01:34:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x966977…
10-31 00:23:27	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7871b3…
10-31 00:23:25	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x57cc3b…
10-30 23:02:42	Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xe860cf…
10-30 22:04:18	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x35cc39…
10-30 22:02:21	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x1af249…
10-30 19:27:58	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x314066…
10-30 19:02:12	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x6187ad…
10-30 17:56:33	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1136c3…
10-30 16:14:10	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xe71c9d…
10-30 16:11:06	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 25 and January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcd32e1…
10-30 16:11:06	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xba99b1…
10-30 16:08:33	Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)	Real Racing Club	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x25be35…
10-30 16:08:33	Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0295 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x01fa23…
10-30 15:51:39	Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0295 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x009630…
10-30 15:30:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xc1f8b2…
10-30 14:53:24	Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x35df82…
10-30 14:16:36	Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x913837…
10-30 14:01:22	Will USD/BRL hit 4 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x37a985…
10-30 12:27:48	ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd4e648…
10-30 12:27:48	ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x424be4…
10-30 12:19:07	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb4846b…
10-30 12:19:06	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x7df04f…
10-30 12:07:37	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 25 and January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf11976…
10-30 12:07:37	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x8f623a…
10-30 12:07:37	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x3186aa…
10-30 11:39:51	Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Lilmix	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xda1165…
10-30 11:39:51	Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Lilmix	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb134b6…
10-30 11:38:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x48c819…
10-30 11:26:33	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xff842f…
10-30 09:45:13	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 28, 2026 and January 3, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe0b502…
10-30 09:45:12	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xcdbb44…
10-30 09:45:12	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa7a281…
10-30 09:45:12	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 25 and January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x24fe2b…
10-30 09:08:15	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x653523…
10-30 07:54:01	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xf22e7b…
10-30 07:50:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 0%-35%?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x0daef9…
10-30 06:04:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	No	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x6c2c5c…
10-30 05:38:52	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x6f2126…
10-30 05:02:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 35% or more?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xcd375a…
10-30 03:59:52	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xdd3d80…
10-30 03:59:21	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xfce97f…
10-30 03:35:22	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x27c0a7…
10-30 03:15:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 28, 2026 and January 3, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xca4209…
10-30 03:15:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xae7db2…
10-30 03:15:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xab3679…
10-30 03:15:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x691f7d…
10-30 03:15:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x5be124…
10-30 03:15:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x21b79a…
10-30 03:15:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 25 and January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x08236a…
10-30 03:15:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x05a33b…