Unaware-Sturgeon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$447

Unrealized P&L

-$71

Hit rate

18.0%

Resolved

182

Trades

3,266

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 03:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

75% 20% -$320

Tech

12% — —

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Politics

5% 22% -$103

Crypto

2% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 208 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	+364	$13	3¢	$12	$0	11-01 19:58
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	+100	$28	3¢	$3	-$25	10-31 18:14
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	+50	$4	6¢	$3	$0	10-31 09:21
Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	+96	$4	3¢	$2	-$2	10-31 17:59
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	+62	$2	3¢	$2	$0	11-02 03:05
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	+55	$19	3¢	$2	-$17	11-01 12:10
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?	Yes	+51	$28	3¢	$2	-$26	06-26 12:26
Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes	+50	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	10-31 09:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	106	$382	1,736	1,636	+100	open	—	10-31 18:14
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?	41	$344	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	08-29 12:50
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	84	$321	1,474	1,474	+0	open	—	11-01 13:46
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	37	$301	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	07-15 09:22
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	60	$284	1,346	1,346	+0	open	—	08-29 09:06
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?	36	$247	1,211	1,211	+0	open	—	08-29 09:06
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	75	$243	1,409	1,389	+20	open	—	10-31 23:05
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	63	$236	1,254	1,199	+55	open	—	11-01 12:10
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	51	$235	1,570	1,370	+200	open	—	11-02 03:24
Glean IPO before 2027?	50	$233	1,133	1,133	+0	open	—	10-27 09:40
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	36	$233	913	913	+0	open	—	08-31 20:41
Vanta IPO before 2027?	70	$206	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	09-17 11:42
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	35	$204	980	980	+0	open	—	09-01 07:35
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	20	$199	400	400	+0	No	+$0	06-01 13:51
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	16	$197	944	944	+0	open	—	07-23 08:03
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?	64	$174	1,002	843	+159	open	—	10-27 09:49
LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	47	$170	1,362	1,362	+0	No	-$16	09-23 21:13
ByteDance IPO before 2027?	50	$163	1,255	1,181	+73	open	—	10-31 09:22
Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	38	$158	1,022	922	+100	No	-$38	09-23 21:11
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?	17	$152	144	144	+0	Yes	-$5	09-15 20:16
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?	43	$145	821	821	+0	open	—	09-02 06:53
LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	49	$136	1,239	1,239	+0	No	-$27	09-27 15:34
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $38B by September 30?	3	$135	178	178	+0	Yes	+$131	09-15 20:00
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	12	$135	252	252	+0	open	—	09-18 06:37
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?	24	$134	388	337	+51	open	—	06-26 12:26
tim cook out as apple ceo by march 31	19	$129	895	1,175	-280	No	+$46	01-23 08:24
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?	13	$128	360	360	+0	No	-$1	06-01 13:54
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?	53	$127	803	678	+125	open	—	10-31 09:29
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?	24	$126	327	327	+0	Yes	-$16	09-17 16:48
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	15	$125	211	211	+0	open	—	09-18 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:24:40	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xfc23aa…
11-02 03:24:40	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2a7cba…
11-02 03:05:34	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x4b265f…
11-02 02:50:31	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x552b65…
11-02 01:52:21	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xc3a4e0…
11-02 01:52:09	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x11cf65…
11-01 19:58:30	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xb9e3d4…
11-01 19:58:28	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x78aa24…
11-01 16:47:37	Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x6dc72a…
11-01 16:47:25	Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc12af6…
11-01 16:37:55	Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe30d10…
11-01 16:11:52	Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb095d0…
11-01 13:46:06	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x995436…
11-01 12:10:00	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x9819c1…
11-01 10:17:21	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x6a135a…
11-01 10:13:34	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x821e7e…
11-01 06:37:24	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x36f455…
11-01 06:25:39	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$1	0x7c5938…
11-01 06:14:40	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xa93a07…
11-01 06:14:30	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x98cd9d…
11-01 02:59:03	Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xe751d6…
11-01 00:27:40	Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x960e2c…
10-31 23:05:49	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x1f9599…
10-31 23:02:18	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xf56c05…
10-31 23:01:22	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x990c31…
10-31 22:59:40	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x69ca0a…
10-31 22:59:25	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x73dd1d…
10-31 22:58:51	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xe5943d…
10-31 22:48:42	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xfc9cb8…
10-31 22:29:07	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xb9dbc1…
10-31 22:28:55	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xc3f1d3…
10-31 22:28:33	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x1b8340…
10-31 18:14:21	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0x92d7f7…
10-31 18:14:21	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x891afd…
10-31 17:59:18	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xd6e1c3…
10-31 09:35:00	Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xd83e1b…
10-31 09:34:51	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xf0fbfc…
10-31 09:34:43	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x0db4a0…
10-31 09:34:37	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x8ca1e8…
10-31 09:34:24	Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xf830d7…
10-31 09:29:54	Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0xfdb73e…
10-31 09:29:46	Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0xdfa7a0…
10-31 09:29:01	Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	3¢	$3	0x7d6588…
10-31 09:27:45	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x64cbac…
10-31 09:26:52	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc9a059…
10-31 09:22:31	Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5fb6eb…
10-31 09:22:19	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x9a0390…
10-31 09:22:10	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbf5891…
10-31 09:22:01	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x55358b…
10-31 09:21:48	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x4d8f60…
10-31 09:21:33	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf164d8…
10-31 09:21:24	WHOOP IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0x7df766…
10-31 09:21:13	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x1a9053…
10-31 02:31:18	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x8fc248…
10-31 02:28:12	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf4083c…
10-31 02:27:58	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xa540f5…
10-31 02:26:42	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x5a8d6b…
10-31 02:26:40	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x80939b…
10-31 02:20:31	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x3bff5b…
10-31 00:33:54	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x940b0d…
10-31 00:29:06	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb03f10…
10-31 00:28:46	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x14f3ef…
10-31 00:16:57	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc6d976…
10-31 00:15:18	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xd2c09d…
10-31 00:09:55	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x74170c…
10-31 00:05:43	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x58f4f2…
10-30 23:48:51	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xbb9170…
10-30 22:57:13	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xac7c5a…
10-30 22:14:30	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x635b94…
10-30 21:19:13	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xce0d95…
10-30 21:13:48	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x20db85…
10-30 21:10:24	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd21bfb…
10-30 20:51:01	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x868979…
10-30 18:54:10	Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x95ef16…
10-30 14:46:36	Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x2c897f…
10-30 13:02:28	WHOOP IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xefe661…
10-30 13:02:13	WHOOP IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xe95cb7…
10-30 12:17:10	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0xa2b9a2…
10-30 12:13:52	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xc28622…
10-30 12:09:39	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x71971a…
10-30 12:08:25	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	169	3¢	$6	0x2db593…
10-30 11:58:10	Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xe95d79…
10-30 11:58:06	Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x3cb124…
10-30 11:56:07	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x265889…
10-30 11:55:40	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x750c88…
10-30 11:54:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	599	2¢	$10	0xa23857…
10-29 17:40:10	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x2036d9…
10-29 17:31:29	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xfd56fc…
10-29 06:00:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1b0454…
10-29 02:05:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb8a872…
10-28 19:52:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe26848…
10-28 19:09:25	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	3¢	$6	0x924bce…
10-28 19:07:25	WHOOP IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf17543…
10-28 19:06:34	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	212	3¢	$7	0xef0121…
10-28 17:04:22	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xca2388…
10-28 14:41:40	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	212	3¢	$7	0x28d5ca…
10-27 19:44:09	Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xede7a4…
10-27 19:40:48	WHOOP IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x15d9fb…
10-27 18:11:29	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x337bd4…
10-27 12:00:17	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0x962513…