Realized P&L
+$262
Unrealized P&L
-$98
Hit rate
78.0%
Resolved
67
Trades
468
lifetime
Volume
$1.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$420
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 09-29 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
56% 25% +$437
Other
41% 36% -$159
Crypto
2% 57% +$0
Sports
1% 0% -$11
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +1,560 $186 14¢ $211 +$25 09-29 21:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,000 $195 6¢ $130 -$65 07-06 05:35
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +400 $8 5¢ $20 +$12 06-19 20:43
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,500 $28 0¢ $16 -$12 06-15 12:39
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +10,824 $37 0¢ $16 -$21 06-15 14:58
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $3 1¢ $6 +$2 06-18 21:44
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +400 $16 1¢ $5 -$11 06-06 08:55
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,500 $4 0¢ $4 $0 09-05 13:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +200 $12 2¢ $4 -$8 06-20 22:18
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,667 $5 0¢ $2 -$2 06-18 21:43
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $7 2¢ $2 -$5 05-05 23:23
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +500 $15 0¢ $2 -$13 06-19 15:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +30 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 09-12 09:43