Realized P&L
-$174
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
42.0%
Resolved
78
Trades
167
lifetime
Volume
$1000
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$84
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-23
last 10-25 23:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
67% 12% +$36
Other
19% 0% -$118
Sports
8% 0% -$61
Crypto
6% 14% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? Yes +829 $37 4¢ $32 -$5 10-15 20:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +1,547 $11 0¢ $8 -$3 10-21 17:42
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +4,228 $6 0¢ $6 +$0 09-29 19:18
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +315 $24 2¢ $6 -$17 10-08 20:24
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3,000 $3 0¢ $4 +$2 09-29 19:19
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +857 $6 0¢ $4 -$2 10-08 20:18
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,667 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 09-29 19:15
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +628 $3 1¢ $3 +$0 10-08 20:20
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,000 $2 0¢ $3 +$1 09-29 19:21
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +2,000 $2 0¢ $3 +$1 09-29 19:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,780 $14 0¢ $3 -$11 10-09 20:33
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +750 $3 0¢ $3 $0 10-08 20:17
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,000 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 09-29 19:22
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,145 $8 0¢ $2 -$6 10-08 20:19