Realized P&L
-$332
Unrealized P&L
-$389
Hit rate
23.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,522
lifetime
Volume
$33.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$44
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-30 18:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $-22
Other
20% 0% $-8
Sports
14% 43% $-301
Crypto
6%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +142 $36 16¢ $23 $-13 06-30 19:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,249 $115 $6 $-109 06-17 03:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +5,229 $119 $5 $-114 06-15 22:52
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? Yes +60 $6 $5 $-1 06-27 01:12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $103 $2 $-101 06-14 23:21
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +687 $40 $1 $-38 06-18 21:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +480 $-3 $1 +$4 06-20 00:10
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +1,200 $6 $1 $-5 06-17 00:27
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +97 $12 $0 $-12 06-27 21:37