Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
330
Trades
4,498
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$52
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 10-28 11:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Politics
98% 5% +$217
Other
2% 0% -$213
Sports
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +500 $5 2¢ $11 +$6 07-09 16:08
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,167 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 07-19 20:18
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,500 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 08-01 19:38
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +648 $4 0¢ $3 -$1 07-19 20:17
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,073 $6 0¢ $3 -$3 10-10 12:53
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +500 $4 1¢ $3 -$1 07-09 16:08
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +906 $7 0¢ $3 -$4 07-19 20:17
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,500 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 07-19 20:19
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,167 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 07-19 20:19
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,167 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 07-19 20:19
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,153 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 07-19 20:18
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +653 $4 0¢ $2 -$2 07-19 20:17
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 $0 07-19 20:19
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 $0 07-08 15:37
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $3 0¢ $2 -$2 07-08 15:34
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $3 0¢ $2 -$2 07-08 15:34
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +917 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 07-19 20:18
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +369 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-10 12:53
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +833 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 07-09 15:50
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +969 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 07-19 20:19
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +71 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-28 11:23