Realized P&L
+$151
Unrealized P&L
+$2.68K
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
638
Trades
4,692
lifetime
Volume
$513.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$109
Open exposure
$199.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-26 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
46% 72% +$413
Other
46% 86% -$366
Sports
7% 100% +$125
Tech
1% 0% -$21
Crypto
0% 89% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 614 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +28,657 $24,425 92¢ $26.5K +$2,083 10-26 16:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +29,517 $20,510 70¢ $20.8K +$299 10-26 18:17
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +19,806 $16,038 94¢ $18.7K +$2,659 10-26 09:34
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +21,024 $19,082 81¢ $17.0K -$2,084 10-26 09:34
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +16,447 $16,110 100¢ $16.4K +$280 10-26 09:34
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +26,077 $8,049 30¢ $8.0K -$95 10-26 18:17
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,680 $7,655 100¢ $7.7K +$18 10-26 09:34
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,680 $7,659 100¢ $7.7K +$9 10-26 09:34
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +9,400 $5,712 64¢ $6.0K +$318 10-26 15:55
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +19,307 $5,732 24¢ $4.6K -$1,108 10-26 09:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,705 $4,585 97¢ $4.6K -$7 10-21 15:39
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,289 $4,282 100¢ $4.3K +$0 10-25 17:36
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,532 $4,155 64¢ $4.2K +$58 10-20 19:01
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,777 $4,076 68¢ $4.0K -$119 10-25 01:53
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,842 $3,838 100¢ $3.8K -$2 10-24 11:09
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,792 $3,781 100¢ $3.8K -$7 10-26 18:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,787 $3,799 78¢ $3.8K -$41 10-21 15:39
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +9,400 $3,658 36¢ $3.3K -$321 10-26 15:55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8,811 $3,092 36¢ $3.1K +$36 10-23 09:16
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +3,089 $2,945 99¢ $3.1K +$109 10-26 16:22
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +3,089 $3,002 96¢ $3.0K -$20 10-26 16:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +2,996 $2,958 99¢ $3.0K -$4 10-21 19:04
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +3,116 $2,889 95¢ $3.0K +$65 10-24 23:15
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,973 $2,815 98¢ $2.9K +$106 10-20 18:52
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +3,089 $2,570 90¢ $2.8K +$195 10-26 16:22
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +2,792 $2,694 99¢ $2.8K +$66 10-25 20:30
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +3,089 $2,847 89¢ $2.7K -$99 10-26 16:22
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +3,089 $2,628 88¢ $2.7K +$75 10-26 16:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +3,720 $2,445 72¢ $2.7K +$214 10-22 16:55
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,596 $2,592 100¢ $2.6K +$0 10-22 11:26