Realized P&L (7d)
+$4.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.65K
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved (7d)
502
Trades (7d)
1,561
6,755 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$167.0K
$790.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$117
Open exposure
$111.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 11-05 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
49% 79% +$4,712
Other
44% 82% -$1,746
Sports
6% 75% +$16
Tech
1% 73% +$1,627
Crypto
0% 80% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 664 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +19,132 $14,653 66¢ $12.7K -$1,930 11-05 16:13
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +14,862 $9,390 67¢ $9.9K +$508 11-03 13:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +19,963 $5,047 36¢ $7.3K +$2,240 11-05 16:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +7,174 $7,000 99¢ $7.1K +$127 10-29 07:13
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +16,074 $6,014 34¢ $5.4K -$629 11-03 12:47
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5,552 $3,937 97¢ $5.4K +$1,432 11-02 17:29
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +5,388 $4,920 96¢ $5.1K +$228 11-05 18:15
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +5,388 $5,130 93¢ $5.0K -$127 11-05 18:15
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +5,388 $4,627 82¢ $4.4K -$225 11-05 18:15
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +5,388 $4,509 80¢ $4.3K -$172 11-05 18:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +3,720 $2,445 82¢ $3.1K +$624 10-22 16:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +2,996 $2,958 99¢ $3.0K +$19 10-21 19:04
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +5,388 $3,243 48¢ $2.6K -$684 11-05 18:15
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +2,834 $1,806 85¢ $2.4K +$603 11-05 15:35
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $2,329 98¢ $2.3K +$8 11-05 20:10
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $2,324 97¢ $2.3K +$5 11-05 20:10
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $2,329 97¢ $2.3K -$19 11-05 20:10
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $2,296 96¢ $2.3K +$9 11-05 20:10
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $2,301 95¢ $2.3K -$20 11-05 20:10
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $2,263 95¢ $2.3K -$1 11-05 20:10
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $2,254 94¢ $2.2K -$20 11-05 20:10
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $2,278 92¢ $2.2K -$88 11-05 20:10
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,232 $2,088 94¢ $2.1K -$1 11-05 20:10
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $2,130 87¢ $2.1K -$52 11-05 20:10
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $1,919 86¢ $2.1K +$148 11-05 20:10
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +2,071 $249 98¢ $2.0K +$1,770 11-03 12:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,995 $1,970 96¢ $1.9K -$52 10-21 15:08
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,390 $1,908 78¢ $1.9K -$56 11-05 20:10
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,863 $1,810 98¢ $1.8K +$18 10-29 11:55
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,812 $1,785 98¢ $1.8K -$15 11-05 20:10